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American Public Education, Inc.(APEI)

$47.77—

WatchlistAsk AI Chart

American Public Education, Inc.(APEI)

NASDAQAbout this data

$47.77—

WatchlistAsk AI Chart Studio

APEI(APEI)

APEI

10/9/26

American Public Education (APEI)

Friday

6:30 AM

ThesisAmerican Public Education: the story is balanced — Total student enrollment trends and new student starts - particularly military enrollment at APUS and nursing program…

Revenue Outlook

Metric	FY2025	FY2026E	FY2027E
Revenue	$649M	$694M	$735M
Rev. Growth	+3.9%	+6.9%	+5.9%
EPS	$1.40	$2.62	$3.06
EPS Growth	+146%	+87.4%	+16.7%
P/E (fwd)	34.1×	18.2×	15.6×

★ Analysts see FY2026 revenue reaching $694M — +6.9% growth in a single year.

What Moves the Stock

01Total student enrollment trends and new student starts - particularly military enrollment at APUS and nursing program enrollment at Rasmussen
02Regulatory developments affecting Title IV federal student aid eligibility, gainful employment rules, and 90/10 revenue requirements (must derive at least 10% of revenue from non-federal sources)
03Student retention rates and course completion metrics which drive revenue persistence and regulatory compliance
04Operating margin trajectory reflecting ability to leverage fixed cost base as enrollment scales
05Federal education policy changes including Pell Grant funding levels and military tuition assistance program modifications
06APUS tuition revenue (estimated 40-45% of total) - primarily online degree programs serving military and veteran students with lower price points ($270-$350 per credit hour)
07Rasmussen University tuition revenue (estimated 50-55% of total) - hybrid campus and online programs in nursing, healthcare, and professional studies with higher price points ($400-$500 per credit hour)
08Other educational services and institutional partnerships (estimated 5% of total)

FY2025 Snapshot

Revenue: $649M
Rev. Growth: +3.9%
Gross Margin: 51.7%
Op. Margin: 8.3%
Net Margin: 4.9%
Net Income: $32M
NI Growth: +95.8%
EPS: $1.40
1Y Return: +29.1%

APEI Chart

My Notes

growth/turnaround - The 100% one-year return and 119% EPS growth attract momentum investors betting on operational recovery and margin…
Rising interest rates negatively impact the business through multiple channels: (1) higher student loan costs reduce affordability…
Watch on earnings: Department of Education cohort default rates (three-year CDR) for both APUS and Rasmussen - regulatory threshold is 30%, 90/10 revenue ratio - must remain below 90% Title IV revenue to maintain federal aid eligibility, Unemployment rate (UNRATE) - inverse correlation with adult learner enrollment demand.

One Sentence Summary:

American Public Education: the story is balanced — total student enrollment trends and new student starts - particularly military enrollment at apus and nursing program enrollment.

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.

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Metric

FY2025

FY2026E

FY2027E

P/E (fwd)

34.1×

18.2×

15.6×

What Moves the Stock

01Total student enrollment trends and new student starts - particularly military enrollment at APUS and nursing program enrollment at Rasmussen

02Regulatory developments affecting Title IV federal student aid eligibility, gainful employment rules, and 90/10 revenue requirements (must derive at least 10% of revenue from non-federal sources)

03Student retention rates and course completion metrics which drive revenue persistence and regulatory compliance

04Operating margin trajectory reflecting ability to leverage fixed cost base as enrollment scales

05Federal education policy changes including Pell Grant funding levels and military tuition assistance program modifications

06APUS tuition revenue (estimated 40-45% of total) - primarily online degree programs serving military and veteran students with lower price points ($270-$350 per credit hour)

07Rasmussen University tuition revenue (estimated 50-55% of total) - hybrid campus and online programs in nursing, healthcare, and professional studies with higher price points ($400-$500 per credit hour)

08Other educational services and institutional partnerships (estimated 5% of total)

My Notes

growth/turnaround - The 100% one-year return and 119% EPS growth attract momentum investors betting on operational recovery and margin…

Rising interest rates negatively impact the business through multiple channels: (1) higher student loan costs reduce affordability…

Watch on earnings: Department of Education cohort default rates (three-year CDR) for both APUS and Rasmussen - regulatory threshold is 30%, 90/10 revenue ratio - must remain below 90% Title IV revenue to maintain federal aid eligibility, Unemployment rate (UNRATE) - inverse correlation with adult learner enrollment demand.