APG
Next earnings: Jul 30, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-2.02%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 41Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
44.14
Open
43.70
Day Range42.87 – 43.82
42.87
43.82
52W Range30.00 – 49.99
30.00
49.99
66% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
3.1M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-67.6x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.31
Market-like
Performance
1D
-2.02%
5D
-3.57%
1M
-3.63%
3M
-2.61%
6M
+15.80%
YTD
+13.04%
1Y
+41.71%
Best: 1Y (+41.71%)Worst: 1M (-3.63%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +15% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
STRONG
CR 1.4 · FCF $1.58/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$18.74B
Revenue TTM$8.17B
Net Income TTM$324.00M
Free Cash Flow$680.00M
Gross Margin29.1%
Net Margin4.0%
Operating Margin6.7%
Return on Equity9.7%
Return on Assets3.6%
Debt / Equity0.00
Current Ratio1.44
EPS TTM$0.75
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Organic revenue growth rates in Safety Services segment, particularly recurring inspection/monitoring contract wins

M&A activity and integration execution - APi pursues roll-up strategy acquiring regional specialty contractors at 6-8x EBITDA multiples

Commercial construction spending trends and non-residential building activity driving project backlog

Operating margin expansion from service mix shift and integration synergies (targeting 100-150bps annual improvement)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-high - Revenue is tied to commercial construction spending (new projects) and facility management budgets (service work). Non-residential construction is cyclical, lagging GDP by 6-12 months. However, the recurring service base (40-45% of revenue) and mission-critical nature of fire/life safety systems provide downside protection. Industrial end markets (manufacturing facilities, energy infrastructure) add cyclical exposure, while healthcare and data center verticals offer more defensive characteristics.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create headwinds through multiple channels: (1) Higher financing costs for customers delay construction projects and capital expenditures, reducing project backlog; (2) Increased debt service costs on APi's $1.7B net debt (0.93x D/E) compress margins; (3) Valuation multiple compression as growth stocks de-rate in higher rate environments. However, strong free cash flow generation ($500M+ annually) enables debt paydown and reduces refinancing risk. Rate cuts would stimulate commercial construction activity and improve project economics.

Key Risks

Labor availability and wage inflation - skilled trades shortage (electricians, pipefitters, HVAC technicians) constrains growth and pressures margins as wage rates increase 4-6% annually

Regulatory changes to building codes and fire safety standards - while often driving retrofit demand, compliance costs and liability exposure increase; potential for federal infrastructure spending shifts affecting project mix

Technology disruption in building management systems - IoT-enabled monitoring and predictive maintenance could commoditize traditional inspection services, though APi is investing in digital platforms

Investor Profile

growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) - Investors attracted to recurring revenue model, M&A-driven growth algorithm, and margin expansion story. The 76.9% one-year return and 63.4% net income growth appeal to growth investors, while 2.5x P/S and improving cash generation attract value-oriented funds. Not a dividend story (minimal payout) but rather a compounding story through reinvestment in M&A. Private equity background (Blackstone-backed until 2019 IPO) attracts investors comfortable with leveraged growth models.

Watch on Earnings
Dodge Momentum Index (non-residential construction planning) - leading indicator for project backlog 9-12 months forwardCommercial construction spending (Census Bureau) - correlates directly with new installation project revenueData center construction activity and hyperscale capex announcements - high-growth vertical for fire protection and MEP servicesSkilled trades unemployment rate and wage inflation - impacts labor availability and margin pressure
Health Radar
2 strong3 watch1 concern
49/100
Liquidity
1.44Watch
Leverage
0.00Strong
Coverage
6.1xStrong
ROE
9.7%Watch
ROIC
5.9%Concern
Cash
$912MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
BUY
+22.5%upside to target
L $49.00
Med $53.00consensus
H $55.00
Buy
8100%
8 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 41 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.44
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 10.7%

-1.3% vs SMA 50 · +9.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI40.8
Momentum fading
MACD-0.36
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$49.99+15.6%
EMA 50
$44.33+2.5%
Current
$43.25
EMA 200
$39.75-8.1%
52W Low
$30.00-30.6%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$30.0066th %ile$49.99
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:3
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)3.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.2M-30%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 8 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$6.9B
$6.8B$7.0B
-$2.12
±2%
High5
FY2024
$7.0B
$7.0B$7.2B
+1.2%$1.22
±2%
High7
FY2025
$7.9B
$7.9B$7.9B
+12.7%$1.45+18.5%
±3%
High8
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 5 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryAPG
Last 8Q
+4.3%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates falling
+4%
Q3'24
Q4'24
-2%
Q1'25
+9%
Q2'25
+5%
Q3'25
+5%
Q4'25
+6%
Q1'26
+7%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
RBC CapitalSector Perform → Outperform
Jan 14
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Buy
Jul 11
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $64.7M sold · 30d window
Ashken Ian G HDir
$6.0M
May 4
SELL
Ashken Ian G HDir
$1.6M
May 4
SELL
Ashken Ian G HDir
$38.0M
May 4
SELL
Ashken Ian G HDir
$2.3M
May 5
SELL
Ashken Ian G HDir
$683K
May 5
SELL
Lillie James EDir
$8.1M
May 4
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
34.4M
2
Invesco Ltd.
6.5M
3
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership
6.3M
4
Findlay Park Partners LLP
6.0M
5
Pictet Asset Management Holding SA
5.4M
6
MONTRUSCO BOLTON INVESTMENTS INC.
4.7M
7
WESTFIELD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CO LP
4.6M
8
Capital Research Global Investors
4.6M
News & Activity

APG News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

api group inc. is a multi-billion-dollar parent company to more than 40 independently managed life safety, energy, specialty construction and infrastructure companies in over 200 locations worldwide. api group combines the personal attention of small-to-medium sized construction companies with the strength of an industry leader to bring innovation to the construction industry. api group is one of the largest specialty contractors in north america, ranking fifth overall among engineering news-record (enr) 2017 top 600 specialty contractors. in addition, api group leads enr's top 600 specialty contractors list for the life safety industry, ranking number one for top 20 firms in fire protection and sprinklers. api group and its family of companies are committed to building great leaders™ throughout the entire organization. api group is dedicated to each and every employee’s development. each team member has the opportunity to be a leader, and while api group is small enough to offer a fam

CEO
Russell A. Becker
Country
United States
Andrew WhiteExecutive Vice President of Operations
Craig FellmanSenior Vice President & Specialty Services Segment Leader
Glenn David JackolaExecutive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
APG
$43.25-2.02%$18.7B57.5+1272.4%381.7%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-2.43%26.7+931.0%1886.7%1500