AR
Next earnings: Jul 29, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move+3.13%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 43Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
37.08
Open
37.64
Day Range37.27 – 38.27
37.27
38.27
52W Range29.10 – 45.75
29.10
45.75
55% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
5.6M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
12.4x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.04
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.93%
5D
+1.64%
1M
+2.69%
3M
+6.67%
6M
+7.92%
YTD
+7.60%
1Y
-8.44%
Best: 6M (+7.92%)Worst: 1Y (-8.44%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +23% YoY
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 12x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.4 (low) · FCF $5.74/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$11.85B
Revenue TTM$5.48B
Net Income TTM$961.66M
Free Cash Flow$1.77B
Gross Margin26.0%
Net Margin17.5%
Operating Margin20.9%
Return on Equity12.7%
Return on Assets6.3%
Debt / Equity0.59
Current Ratio0.40
EPS TTM$3.11
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Henry Hub natural gas spot prices and forward curve shape - every $0.50/Mcf move impacts annual EBITDA by approximately $250-300M

Natural gas liquids pricing, particularly ethane and propane spreads to crude oil - NGL realizations typically 30-40% of WTI equivalent

Appalachian basis differentials - widening basis (local prices below Henry Hub) directly erodes realizations despite hedges

LNG export capacity additions and utilization rates - drives incremental demand for Appalachian gas reaching Gulf Coast

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Natural gas demand is highly correlated with industrial production (power generation, chemical feedstock, manufacturing) and weather-driven residential/commercial consumption. Economic slowdowns reduce industrial gas demand and LNG export economics, while recessions can collapse gas prices below cash costs. The company's 80% gas weighting creates asymmetric exposure to gas-specific demand drivers rather than broader crude oil-linked economic activity.

Interest Rates

Rising rates negatively impact Antero through two channels: (1) higher financing costs on the $2.4B net debt position (assuming 0.68 D/E ratio), with every 100bps increase adding approximately $24M in annual interest expense, and (2) valuation multiple compression as energy E&P stocks trade on EV/EBITDA and P/CF metrics that contract when risk-free rates rise. However, if rates rise due to strong economic growth, the demand benefit for natural gas can offset financing headwinds. The current 0.55 current ratio indicates tight near-term liquidity, making refinancing risk more acute in a rising rate environment.

Key Risks

Energy transition and coal-to-renewables switching reducing long-term natural gas demand for power generation, though LNG exports and industrial uses provide partial offset through 2030s

Regulatory restrictions on pipeline infrastructure development limiting Appalachian Basin takeaway capacity and creating persistent basis differentials that erode realizations

Methane emissions regulations increasing compliance costs and potentially restricting drilling permits in core operating areas

Investor Profile

value - The 12.3% free cash flow yield, 2.0x P/S ratio, and 8.6x EV/EBITDA multiples attract value investors seeking cash flow generation at discounted valuations. The stock appeals to energy specialists willing to take commodity price risk in exchange for leverage to natural gas price recovery. Momentum investors have been absent given the -17.2% one-year return, but the stock can attract tactical traders during natural gas price spikes. Not suitable for dividend-focused investors as E&P companies typically prioritize debt reduction and drilling over dividends.

Watch on Earnings
Henry Hub natural gas futures curve (NGUSD) - front month and 12-month strip pricingAppalachian basis differentials (Dominion South, Tennessee Zone 4) - spread to Henry HubUS LNG export volumes and capacity utilization rates - drives incremental Appalachian gas demandNatural gas storage levels vs. 5-year average - indicates supply/demand balance and price direction
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
44/100
Liquidity
0.40Concern
Leverage
0.59Strong
Coverage
11.8xStrong
ROE
12.7%Watch
ROIC
6.2%Concern
Cash
$210MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE25 analysts
BUY
+28.1%upside to target
L $38.00
Med $49.00consensus
H $57.00
Strong Buy
14%
Buy
1768%
Hold
728%
18 Buy (72%)7 Hold (28%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 43 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.40 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 116 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 12.2%

-2.7% vs SMA 50 · +9.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI42.9
Momentum fading
MACD-0.60
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$45.75+19.6%
Current
$38.24
EMA 50
$37.83-1.1%
EMA 200
$36.41-4.8%
52W Low
$29.10-23.9%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$29.1055th %ile$45.75
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:0
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)5.6M
Recent Vol (5D)
4.2M-25%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 11 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$5.1B
$5.0B$5.2B
$1.81
±6%
High11
FY2026(current)
$6.8B
$6.1B$7.1B
+32.3%$4.41+143.6%
±16%
High10
FY2027
$6.9B
$6.5B$7.3B
+1.4%$4.74+7.3%
±33%
High11
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryAR
Last 8Q
-26.0%avg beat
Beat 1 of 8 quartersMissed 7 Estimates rising
-7%
Q3'24
-173%
Q4'24
+45%
Q1'25
-6%
Q2'25
-16%
Q3'25
-32%
Q4'25
-17%
Q1'26
-2%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Wells FargoUnderweight → Overweight
Nov 3
UPGRADE
CitigroupNeutral → Buy
Sep 23
UPGRADE
Roth CapitalNeutral
Aug 18
DOWNGRADE
Wells FargoOverweight → Underweight
Oct 1
DOWNGRADE
Wolfe ResearchPeer Perform → Outperform
Sep 11
UPGRADE
ScotiabankSector Perform → Outperform
Aug 19
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyPositive → Overweight
Apr 17
UPGRADE
Tudor PickeringHold → Buy
Jan 17
UPGRADE
Wells FargoEqual-Weight → Overweight
Dec 14
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesMarket Perform → Strong Buy
Oct 24
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesStrong Buy → Market Perform
Feb 6
DOWNGRADE
Tudor PickeringHold
Nov 30
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $8.9M sold · 30d window
Schultz Yvette KSee Remarks
$1.5M
May 4
SELL
Schultz Yvette KSee Remarks
$22K
May 4
SELL
Kennedy Michael N.Dir
$6.7M
May 4
SELL
Kennedy Michael N.Dir
$598K
May 4
SELL
Hardesty Benjamin A.Dir
$528K
Mar 19
SELL
Pearce SheriSee Remarks
$750K
Mar 10
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
27.4M
2
FMR LLC
22.8M
3
STATE STREET CORP
10.8M
4
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
10.2M
5
Invesco Ltd.
9.0M
6
Sourcerock Group LLC
8.3M
7
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
5.6M
8
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
5.5M
News & Activity

AR News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

antero resources is an independent exploration and production (e&p) company engaged in the exploitation, development, and acquisition of natural gas, ngls and oil properties located in the appalachia basin. headquartered in denver, colorado, we are focused on creating value through the development of our large portfolio of repeatable, low cost, liquids-rich drilling opportunities in two of the premier north american shale plays.

Industry
Crude Petroleum Extraction 
CEO
Paul Rady
Michael N. KennedyChief Executive Officer, President & Director
Steven WoodwardSenior Vice President of Business Development
Timothy J. C. RadySenior Vice President of Land
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
AR
$38.24+0.93%$11.8B12.3+2172.8%1265.4%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-2.01%20.2+1059.6%2013.0%1500