ARDT
Next earnings: Aug 4, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-3.69%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 43Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
9.21
Open
9.26
Day Range8.80 – 9.26
8.80
9.26
52W Range8.28 – 16.19
8.28
16.19
7% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
558.8K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
6.0x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-2.13%
5D
+1.92%
1M
+6.99%
3M
+5.21%
6M
+12.10%
YTD
+14.38%
1Y
-33.68%
Best: YTD (+14.38%)Worst: 1Y (-33.68%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +7% YoY · 50% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 6x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.1 · FCF $1.51/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.45B
Revenue TTM$6.43B
Net Income TTM$134.28M
Free Cash Flow$213.81M
Gross Margin49.7%
Net Margin2.1%
Operating Margin9.0%
Return on Equity9.1%
Return on Assets2.6%
Debt / Equity0.70
Current Ratio2.12
EPS TTM$0.95
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Same-facility admission growth and case mix index (higher acuity = higher reimbursement): 1% volume growth typically adds $60M revenue

Labor cost per adjusted admission: contract labor as % of total labor (target <5%, industry average 8-10% in 2024-2025)

Payer mix shift: 1% shift from Medicaid to commercial insurance adds approximately 200-300bps to operating margin

Medicare/Medicaid reimbursement rate updates: annual CMS IPPS updates (typically 2-3%) and state Medicaid rate changes

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Healthcare utilization shows defensive characteristics as emergency and critical care is non-discretionary, but elective procedures (20-25% of volumes) correlate with employment levels and consumer confidence. During recessions, payer mix deteriorates as unemployment rises and patients shift from commercial insurance to Medicaid or uninsured status, compressing margins by 200-400bps. However, total volumes remain relatively stable compared to cyclical industries. The 10.3% revenue growth reflects post-pandemic normalization and market share gains rather than pure economic sensitivity.

Interest Rates

Rising rates increase interest expense on the company's $2.5B+ debt load (implied from 1.84x D/E and equity base), with estimated $150-200M annual interest expense. A 100bps rate increase adds approximately $15-20M in annual interest costs if floating rate debt comprises 60-70% of the structure. Higher rates also pressure valuation multiples as healthcare REITs and hospital operators trade at yields relative to risk-free rates. Conversely, rate cuts improve refinancing opportunities and reduce cash interest burden, directly benefiting free cash flow. The company's 2.08x current ratio provides adequate liquidity buffer for debt service.

Key Risks

Medicare reimbursement pressure: CMS rate updates may not keep pace with cost inflation (labor +5-7% annually, supplies +3-4%), compressing margins as Medicare represents 30-35% of revenue. Site-neutral payment policies threaten outpatient facility fees.

Shift to outpatient/ambulatory settings: technological advances enable procedures previously requiring inpatient stays to migrate to lower-cost ASCs and physician offices, reducing high-margin inpatient volumes by 2-3% annually structurally

Regulatory risk: surprise billing legislation (No Surprises Act) limits out-of-network billing leverage; potential Medicaid expansion or contraction in operating states (Texas non-expansion state) dramatically affects payer mix

Investor Profile

value - The 0.2x P/S, 1.1x P/B, and 5.6x EV/EBITDA multiples indicate deep value territory, attracting contrarian investors betting on operational turnaround and margin expansion. The 9.1% FCF yield appeals to value investors despite execution risks. The 354% EPS growth (off depressed base) and -34.9% one-year return suggest the stock has been in distress/restructuring mode, now potentially stabilizing. Not a dividend story (no dividend data provided) or growth story given mature hospital industry dynamics. Recent 12.2% three-month return vs. -22.7% six-month suggests potential inflection point attracting momentum/turnaround investors.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly admission trends by service line (medical/surgical, ICU, maternity, behavioral health) and emergency department visit volumesPayer mix percentages: commercial vs. Medicare vs. Medicaid vs. uninsured - track quarterly for margin impactLabor cost per adjusted admission and contract labor as % of total labor expense - key margin driverCMS IPPS annual rate update (typically announced in spring for October implementation) and state Medicaid rate changes in operating states
Health Radar
3 strong3 watch
60/100
Liquidity
2.12Strong
Leverage
0.70Strong
Coverage
11.2xStrong
ROE
9.1%Watch
ROIC
10.7%Watch
Cash
$710MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE11 analysts
BUY
+46.6%upside to target
L $12.00
Med $13.00consensus
H $14.00
Buy
873%
Hold
218%
Sell
19%
8 Buy (73%)2 Hold (18%)1 Sell (9%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 43 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.12 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 116 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 11.3%

-12.1% vs SMA 50 · -22.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI43.3
Momentum fading
MACD-0.21
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$16.19+82.5%
EMA 200
$11.38+28.3%
EMA 50
$9.97+12.4%
Current
$8.87
52W Low
$8.28-6.7%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$8.287th %ile$16.19
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:6
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)385K
Recent Vol (5D)
383K-1%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 9 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$5.5B
$5.5B$5.6B
$0.16
±1%
High6
FY2024
$5.8B
$5.8B$5.9B
+5.6%$1.21+666.2%
±10%
High7
FY2025
$6.4B
$6.3B$6.4B
+8.8%$1.05-13.6%
±38%
High9
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryARDT
Last 8Q
+26.7%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
+13%
Q3'24
-43%
Q4'24
+62%
Q1'25
+38%
Q2'25
+73%
Q3'25
+23%
Q4'25
-8%
Q1'26
+56%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
KeyBancOverweight → Sector Weight
Nov 17
DOWNGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Neutral
Nov 6
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
2 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Webb Robert ThomasDir
$165K
Nov 8
BUY
Webb Robert ThomasDir
$175K
Nov 8
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
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2.3M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
1.8M
3
ExodusPoint Capital Management, LP
658K
4
FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP
479K
5
UBS Group AG
451K
6
DENALI ADVISORS LLC
249K
7
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
246K
8
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
241K
News & Activity

ARDT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

David ByersSenior Vice President & Chief Accounting Officer
Kevin J. Gross FACHERegional President of Oklahoma Region
David Anthony StybloSenior Vice President of Investor Relations
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ARDT
$8.87-2.13%$1.3B10.6+600.5%214.7%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-2.85%30.5+341935.6%-3471.3%1500