AREN
Next earnings: Aug 10, 2026
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-5.62%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.1× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 29Oversold — bounce setup
PRICE
Prev Close
1.78
Open
1.76
Day Range1.62 – 1.83
1.62
1.83
52W Range1.62 – 10.05
1.62
10.05
1% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
79.4K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
3.6x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-5.62%
5D
-38.46%
1M
-9.68%
3M
-50.15%
6M
-61.11%
YTD
-58.00%
1Y
-74.96%
Worst: 1Y (-74.96%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
48% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 4x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.1 · FCF $0.61/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$79.97M
Revenue TTM$123.42M
Net Income TTM$118.18M
Free Cash Flow$28.80M
Gross Margin47.7%
Net Margin95.8%
Operating Margin26.8%
Return on Equity-1182.9%
Return on Assets109.2%
Debt / Equity-13.47
Current Ratio2.10
EPS TTM$2.49
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Monthly unique visitor counts and pageview metrics across core properties, particularly post-Sports Illustrated license loss

Digital advertising CPM rates and programmatic fill rates, which fluctuate with broader ad market conditions

E-commerce affiliate conversion rates and average order values during key retail periods (Q4 holiday season)

Liquidity events, debt covenant compliance, and potential asset sales or restructuring announcements given negative equity position

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Digital advertising budgets are highly cyclical and among first expenses cut during economic slowdowns. Consumer discretionary spending drives e-commerce affiliate revenue, making the business sensitive to retail sales trends and consumer confidence. The -12.3% revenue decline reflects both company-specific issues and broader digital advertising market weakness. Economic downturns typically compress digital ad CPMs by 20-40% and reduce affiliate conversion rates.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact the business through multiple channels: (1) reduced valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies, (2) tighter advertising budgets as corporate borrowing costs increase, (3) lower consumer discretionary spending reducing affiliate revenue, and (4) increased debt service costs on the company's existing obligations. The negative equity position and -10.87 debt/equity ratio suggest refinancing risk if rates remain elevated.

Key Risks

Secular decline in digital media economics as social platforms (TikTok, Instagram) capture audience attention and advertising dollars, reducing traffic and CPMs for traditional content sites

AI-generated content and large language models disrupting SEO-driven traffic acquisition strategies, with Google prioritizing AI overviews over traditional search results

Commoditization of general-interest content reducing pricing power and differentiation versus free social media content

Investor Profile

momentum/speculative - The 129.3% one-year return followed by -53.3% six-month decline indicates highly speculative trading driven by restructuring hopes, short squeezes, or distressed situation arbitrage rather than fundamental value. The negative equity, negative cash flow, and operational challenges attract distressed debt investors and momentum traders rather than traditional growth or value investors. Institutional quality investors avoid given balance sheet insolvency risk.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly cash burn rate and runway to liquidity crisisDigital advertising CPM trends via industry benchmarks (Pubmatic, Magnite reported rates)Google organic search traffic share as indicator of SEO effectiveness post-algorithm changesRetail sales excluding autos (RSXFS) as leading indicator for affiliate revenue trends
Health Radar
3 strong2 watch1 concern
55/100
Liquidity
2.10Strong
Leverage
-13.47Strong
Coverage
3.1xWatch
ROE
-1182.9%Concern
ROIC
35.4%Strong
Cash
$10MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE2 analysts
BUY
+257.1%upside to target
Buy
2100%
2 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 29 — Oversold, watch for bounce
~
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.10 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 116 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 33.9%

-46.3% vs SMA 50 · -64.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI29.4
Oversold — potential bounce
MACD-0.27
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$10.05+498.2%
EMA 200
$4.70+179.7%
EMA 50
$2.95+75.5%
Current
$1.68
52W Low
$1.62-3.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$1.621th %ile$10.05
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:5
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)87K
Recent Vol (5D)
116K+32%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$244.7M
$244.7M$244.7M
-$2.22
Low1
FY2024
$269.9M
$269.9M$269.9M
+10.3%$0.11
Low1
FY2025
$140.6M
$140.6M$140.6M
-47.9%$2.64+2300.0%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryAREN
Last 8Q
-15.4%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
+6%
Q2'24
-17%
Q2'24
+86%
Q4'24
-67%
Q2'25
+37%
Q3'25
+8%
Q4'25
-15%
Q1'26
-160%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
3 Buys/3 SellsNeutral
Lee Laura AnneDir
$78K
Feb 12
SELL
Randall CavittDir
$78K
Feb 12
BUY
Petzel ChristopherDir
$34K
Feb 3
SELL
Randall CavittDir
$34K
Feb 3
BUY
Petzel ChristopherDir
$31K
Jan 17
SELL
Randall CavittDir
$31K
Jan 17
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
746K
2
LPL Financial LLC
262K
3
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
107K
4
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
107K
5
DEUTSCHE BANK AG\
50K
6
FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP
38K
7
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
29K
8
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
27K
News & Activity

AREN News

About

No description available.

Alex WasserburgerSenior Vice President & General Counsel
Chris HunterPresident of Business Operations
Manoj BhargavaPresident
PeersCommunication Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
AREN
$1.68-5.62%$80M0.7+708.5%9260.5%1500
$396.78-1.07%$4.8T30.0+1512.6%3280.0%1523
$393.32-0.97%$4.8T30.0+1512.6%3280.0%1522
$614.23-0.68%$1.6T22.1+2216.7%3008.4%1501
$87.02+0.09%$366.4B27.5+1585.1%2430.4%1479
$185.22-1.58%$200.4B19.3+848.8%1244.7%1485
$46.37-1.47%$193.6B11.2+252.5%1242.8%1505
Sector avg-1.61%20.1+1233.8%3392.4%1502