ASUR
Next earnings: Jul 30, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move-0.58%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.4× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 48Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
8.58
Open
8.50
Day Range8.46 – 8.94
8.46
8.94
52W Range6.80 – 11.48
6.80
11.48
37% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
111.0K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-23.1x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.34
Low vol
Performance
1D
-0.58%
5D
-7.18%
1M
-4.26%
3M
+19.30%
6M
+4.53%
YTD
-9.45%
1Y
-14.10%
Best: 3M (+19.30%)Worst: 1Y (-14.10%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +21% YoY · 68% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.2 (low) · FCF $0.34/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$244.65M
Revenue TTM$148.44M
Net Income TTM-$10.10M
Free Cash Flow$9.70M
Gross Margin67.9%
Net Margin-6.8%
Operating Margin-2.7%
Return on Equity-5.1%
Return on Assets-1.9%
Debt / Equity0.38
Current Ratio0.17
EPS TTM$-0.36
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net customer additions and churn rates - ability to grow SMB client base in competitive market

Average revenue per user (ARPU) trends - upselling additional modules (benefits administration, HR compliance tools) to existing payroll customers

Operating margin trajectory - path to profitability given current negative margins

M&A activity - consolidation in fragmented HCM market or potential acquisition by larger platform

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-high - SMB clients are economically sensitive, with higher failure rates and payroll freezes during recessions. Client headcount directly drives PEPM revenue, so employment trends at small businesses create cyclical revenue pressure. However, payroll processing is mission-critical and sticky, providing some downside protection. New business formation rates correlate with economic expansion, affecting customer acquisition velocity.

Interest Rates

Interest rates have dual impact: (1) Rising rates increase float income on payroll funds held temporarily, providing modest revenue tailwind (estimated 5-10% of revenue); (2) Higher rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable SaaS companies, as investors discount future cash flows more heavily. At current negative profitability, valuation compression likely dominates the float income benefit. Additionally, higher rates may pressure SMB clients' financing costs, indirectly affecting their ability to maintain headcount.

Key Risks

Market consolidation by dominant players (ADP, Paychex, Intuit) with superior scale, brand recognition, and integrated ecosystems - limits pricing power and market share gains

Regulatory complexity in payroll tax compliance across federal, state, and local jurisdictions requires continuous investment, creating barriers to margin expansion for smaller players

Shift toward integrated ERP platforms (NetSuite, Workday) that bundle HCM functionality may reduce demand for standalone SMB payroll solutions

Investor Profile

value/turnaround - The stock trades at 1.6x sales with negative profitability, attracting investors betting on operational improvement, margin expansion, or M&A. Not suitable for growth investors given 0.6% revenue growth. High-risk profile given execution challenges and competitive pressures. Potential appeal to special situations investors if management can demonstrate path to profitability or becomes acquisition target for larger HCM platform seeking SMB market share.

Watch on Earnings
US nonfarm payrolls and small business employment trends - direct driver of client headcount and PEPM revenueFederal funds rate - impacts float income on payroll fund balancesSMB business formation and failure rates - leading indicators for customer acquisition and churnSaaS valuation multiples (EV/Revenue for unprofitable software companies) - sector sentiment affects stock valuation
Health Radar
1 strong5 concern
18/100
Liquidity
0.17Concern
Leverage
0.38Strong
Coverage
-0.6xConcern
ROE
-5.1%Concern
ROIC
-1.4%Concern
Cash
$25MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE18 analysts
BUY
+64.1%upside to target
L $11.00
Med $14.00consensus
H $20.00
Strong Buy
16%
Buy
1583%
Hold
16%
Sell
16%
16 Buy (89%)1 Hold (6%)1 Sell (5%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 48 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.17 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 115 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 16.3%

+1.9% vs SMA 50 · +18.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI47.8
Neutral territory
MACD+0.07
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$11.48+34.6%
Current
$8.53
EMA 50
$8.50-0.4%
EMA 200
$7.21-15.4%
52W Low
$6.80-20.3%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$6.8037th %ile$11.48
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:0
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)85K
Recent Vol (5D)
64K-25%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$119.8M
$119.5M$119.9M
$0.62
±1%
High6
FY2025
$140.0M
$139.4M$140.4M
+16.9%$0.66+6.3%
±2%
High6
FY2026(current)
$160.8M
$160.2M$161.2M
+14.8%$0.85+27.7%
±8%
High7
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryASUR
Last 8Q
-8.8%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
-31%
Q3'24
-22%
Q4'24
-6%
Q1'25
+6%
Q2'25
-40%
Q3'25
-32%
Q4'25
+39%
Q1'26
+16%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Lake StreetHold → Buy
Jan 7
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
2 Buys/4 SellsNet Selling
Goldstein EyalChief Revenue …
$182K
Mar 11
SELL
Goepel PatrickDir
$43K
Aug 6
BUY
Drew William CarlDir
$208K
Aug 5
BUY
Reynolds BjornDir
$8K
May 28
SELL
Allen Ben FDir
$100K
May 8
SELL
Lee Grace G.Dir
$71K
Mar 17
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Private Capital Management, LLC
4.0M
2
NEEDHAM INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC
2.6M
3
JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC
1.8M
4
BlackRock, Inc.
1.5M
5
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
959K
6
Swedbank AB
800K
7
ArrowMark Colorado Holdings LLC
758K
8
Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, LLC
702K
News & Activity

ASUR News

About

Asure sees Human Capital Management (HCM) through the lens of entrepreneurs and executives with an owner's mentality. Asure helps more than 60,000 small and mid-sized businesses develop their 'Human Capital' to get to the next level, stay compliant, and allocate their time, money and technology toward growth. Asure HCM solution includes Asure Payroll & Tax, Asure HR, and Asure Time & Attendance. Asure HRServices offers ranges from online compliance tools to a fully outsourced HR department.

Industry
Computer Systems Design Services
Eyal GoldsteinPresident & Chief Revenue Officer
Jay WhiteheadSenior Vice President of AsurePay(TM) & Marketplace
Mike EralieSenior Vice President of Operations
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ASUR
$8.53-0.58%$245M+1732.1%1500
$888.31+0.00%$409.2B1526
$281.53-3.43%$294.2B1488
$171.18+0.00%$230.5B1486
$220.49+0.00%$173.8B1502
$270.56+0.45%$160.6B22.2+107.2%2912.3%1506
$399.44+0.00%$155.1B1506
Sector avg-0.51%22.2+919.7%2912.3%1502