North American Class 8 truck production volumes - directly impacts first-fit revenue and establishes future aftermarket installed base (ACT Research forecasts 240,000-280,000 units annually)
Aftermarket same-store sales growth and pricing power - reflects fleet utilization rates, miles driven, and ability to pass through cost inflation in replacement parts
OEM market share wins and platform launches - new filtration system awards on next-generation diesel and alternative fuel engines (natural gas, hydrogen)
Emissions regulation implementation timelines - EPA greenhouse gas Phase 3 (2027+) and Euro VII (2025+) drive content per vehicle increases for advanced filtration
high - Revenue directly correlates with commercial vehicle production (GDP-sensitive) and freight activity (industrial production-sensitive). Heavy-duty truck builds typically decline 30-50% in recessions as fleet operators defer purchases. Aftermarket revenue more resilient but still tied to freight ton-miles and fleet utilization rates, which contract 10-20% in downturns. Construction equipment filtration follows non-residential construction spending with 6-12 month lag.
Moderate sensitivity through customer financing costs. Rising rates increase monthly payments for fleet operators purchasing new trucks (typical 4-5 year financing), reducing Class 8 order rates. Higher rates also pressure valuation multiples for industrial growth stocks. However, established aftermarket revenue provides defensive cash flow characteristics. Company's 1.51x debt/equity means ~$3B debt at estimated 5-6% blended rate, so 100bps rate increase adds ~$30M annual interest expense.
Electric vehicle adoption in commercial trucking - Tesla Semi, Nikola, and OEM electric Class 8 trucks require minimal filtration versus diesel, potentially reducing long-term addressable market by 20-40% over 2030-2040 timeframe as battery costs decline
Emissions regulation delays or rollbacks - EPA Phase 3 greenhouse gas rules or Euro VII postponement would reduce content per vehicle and delay advanced filtration system adoption, compressing revenue growth
Vertical integration by OEMs - Cummins, PACCAR, or Daimler could bring filtration in-house to capture aftermarket margins, though capital intensity and scale economics create barriers
growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) investors seeking industrial compounders with recurring revenue models. The 62% one-year return and 13% EPS growth attract momentum investors, while 64% ROE and asset-light model appeal to quality-focused funds. Recent spinoff status draws event-driven and special situations investors. High 17.2x EV/EBITDA multiple reflects premium valuation for aftermarket exposure and margin expansion potential, attracting growth investors willing to pay for 10-15% long-term EPS growth.
Trend
-12.7% vs SMA 50 · -1.0% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $1.6B $1.6B–$1.6B | — | $1.97 | — | ±1% | Moderate3 |
FY2024 | $1.7B $1.7B–$1.7B | ▲ +1.6% | $2.45 | ▲ +24.2% | ±2% | High5 |
FY2025 | $1.7B $1.7B–$1.8B | ▲ +4.7% | $2.63 | ▲ +7.6% | ±1% | Moderate4 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
ATMU News
About
No description available.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ATMU◀ | $51.64 | -4.33% | $4.2B | 20.0 | +567.2% | 1175.5% | 1500 |
| $888.31 | -3.47% | $409.2B | 43.7 | +429.0% | 1312.8% | 1523 | |
| $281.53 | -3.43% | $294.2B | 33.7 | +1848.2% | 1898.2% | 1489 | |
| $171.18 | -2.56% | $230.5B | 31.8 | +974.1% | 759.8% | 1488 | |
| $220.49 | -3.80% | $173.8B | 79.6 | +3449.4% | 249.7% | 1503 | |
| $270.56 | +0.45% | $160.6B | 22.2 | +107.2% | 2912.3% | 1504 | |
| $399.44 | -2.12% | $155.1B | 38.9 | +1033.0% | 1489.7% | 1504 | |
| Sector avg | — | -2.75% | — | 38.6 | +1201.2% | 1399.7% | 1502 |