ATMU
Next earnings: Aug 14, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-4.33%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 39Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
53.98
Open
52.98
Day Range51.48 – 53.33
51.48
53.33
52W Range34.58 – 66.50
34.58
66.50
53% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.3M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
20.3x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-4.33%
5D
-6.07%
1M
-16.96%
3M
-19.46%
6M
+8.40%
YTD
-0.52%
1Y
+33.96%
Best: 1Y (+33.96%)Worst: 3M (-19.46%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +10% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 20x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 2.5 · FCF $1.94/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$4.22B
Revenue TTM$1.83B
Net Income TTM$211.10M
Free Cash Flow$158.00M
Gross Margin28.8%
Net Margin11.6%
Operating Margin17.3%
Return on Equity58.8%
Return on Assets11.5%
Debt / Equity2.62
Current Ratio2.53
EPS TTM$2.59
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

North American Class 8 truck production volumes - directly impacts first-fit revenue and establishes future aftermarket installed base (ACT Research forecasts 240,000-280,000 units annually)

Aftermarket same-store sales growth and pricing power - reflects fleet utilization rates, miles driven, and ability to pass through cost inflation in replacement parts

OEM market share wins and platform launches - new filtration system awards on next-generation diesel and alternative fuel engines (natural gas, hydrogen)

Emissions regulation implementation timelines - EPA greenhouse gas Phase 3 (2027+) and Euro VII (2025+) drive content per vehicle increases for advanced filtration

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Revenue directly correlates with commercial vehicle production (GDP-sensitive) and freight activity (industrial production-sensitive). Heavy-duty truck builds typically decline 30-50% in recessions as fleet operators defer purchases. Aftermarket revenue more resilient but still tied to freight ton-miles and fleet utilization rates, which contract 10-20% in downturns. Construction equipment filtration follows non-residential construction spending with 6-12 month lag.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through customer financing costs. Rising rates increase monthly payments for fleet operators purchasing new trucks (typical 4-5 year financing), reducing Class 8 order rates. Higher rates also pressure valuation multiples for industrial growth stocks. However, established aftermarket revenue provides defensive cash flow characteristics. Company's 1.51x debt/equity means ~$3B debt at estimated 5-6% blended rate, so 100bps rate increase adds ~$30M annual interest expense.

Key Risks

Electric vehicle adoption in commercial trucking - Tesla Semi, Nikola, and OEM electric Class 8 trucks require minimal filtration versus diesel, potentially reducing long-term addressable market by 20-40% over 2030-2040 timeframe as battery costs decline

Emissions regulation delays or rollbacks - EPA Phase 3 greenhouse gas rules or Euro VII postponement would reduce content per vehicle and delay advanced filtration system adoption, compressing revenue growth

Vertical integration by OEMs - Cummins, PACCAR, or Daimler could bring filtration in-house to capture aftermarket margins, though capital intensity and scale economics create barriers

Investor Profile

growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) investors seeking industrial compounders with recurring revenue models. The 62% one-year return and 13% EPS growth attract momentum investors, while 64% ROE and asset-light model appeal to quality-focused funds. Recent spinoff status draws event-driven and special situations investors. High 17.2x EV/EBITDA multiple reflects premium valuation for aftermarket exposure and margin expansion potential, attracting growth investors willing to pay for 10-15% long-term EPS growth.

Watch on Earnings
ACT Research North American Class 8 truck net orders and production forecasts - leading indicator of first-fit revenue trends with 6-9 month visibilityAmerican Trucking Associations Truck Tonnage Index - correlates with fleet utilization, miles driven, and aftermarket filter replacement demandIndustrial Production Index (manufacturing component) - drives construction and industrial equipment activity affecting off-highway filtration demandDiesel fuel prices and freight rates (DAT spot rates) - higher fuel costs and strong freight pricing support fleet profitability and equipment investment
Health Radar
4 strong1 watch1 concern
65/100
Liquidity
2.53Strong
Leverage
2.62Concern
Coverage
8.1xStrong
ROE
58.8%Strong
ROIC
16.4%Strong
Cash
$236MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE5 analysts
BUY
-18.7%downside to target
L $34.00
Med $42.00consensus
H $45.00
Buy
360%
Hold
240%
3 Buy (60%)2 Hold (40%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 39 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.53 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 18, 2026
In 125 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 13.3%

-12.7% vs SMA 50 · -1.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI38.7
Momentum fading
MACD-1.74
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$66.50+28.8%
EMA 50
$58.58+13.4%
Current
$51.64
EMA 200
$51.50-0.3%
52W Low
$34.58-33.0%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$34.5853th %ile$66.50
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.3M
Recent Vol (5D)
939K-30%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.6B
$1.6B$1.6B
$1.97
±1%
Moderate3
FY2024
$1.7B
$1.7B$1.7B
+1.6%$2.45+24.2%
±2%
High5
FY2025
$1.7B
$1.7B$1.8B
+4.7%$2.63+7.6%
±1%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryATMU
Last 8Q
+13.6%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+22%
Q3'24
+22%
Q4'24
+9%
Q1'25
+7%
Q2'25
+14%
Q3'25
+13%
Q4'25
+16%
Q1'26
+6%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Goldman SachsNeutral
May 27
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
5 Buys/1 SellNet Buying
NET BUYERS$110K bought · $0 sold · 30d window
Haggerty Gretchen RDir
$104K
May 12
BUY
Haggerty Gretchen RDir
$56
May 12
BUY
Haggerty Gretchen RDir
$6K
May 12
BUY
Donoso DiegoDir
$687
Sep 5
BUY
Donoso DiegoDir
$1K
Aug 13
BUY
Donoso DiegoDir
$977
Nov 13
SELL
Financials
Dividends0.42% yield
+5.6% avg annual growth
Annual Yield0.42%
Quarterly Div.$0.0550
Est. Annual / Share$0.22
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
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2
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4.9M
3
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4.5M
4
Invesco Ltd.
3.3M
5
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
3.3M
6
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
2.6M
7
FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP
2.2M
8
STATE STREET CORP
1.9M
News & Activity

ATMU News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Jack KienzlerSVP, CFO & Chief Accounting Officer
CharlesSenior Vice President & President of Power Solutions
Greg HoversonVice President & Chief Technology Officer
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ATMU
$51.64-4.33%$4.2B20.0+567.2%1175.5%1500
$888.31-3.47%$409.2B43.7+429.0%1312.8%1523
$281.53-3.43%$294.2B33.7+1848.2%1898.2%1489
$171.18-2.56%$230.5B31.8+974.1%759.8%1488
$220.49-3.80%$173.8B79.6+3449.4%249.7%1503
$270.56+0.45%$160.6B22.2+107.2%2912.3%1504
$399.44-2.12%$155.1B38.9+1033.0%1489.7%1504
Sector avg-2.75%38.6+1201.2%1399.7%1502