AVAV
Next earnings: Jun 23, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-2.16%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.1× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 55Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
184.97
Open
185.00
Day Range177.64 – 185.70
177.64
185.70
52W Range154.39 – 417.86
154.39
417.86
10% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.6M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-41.6x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.93
Market-like
Performance
1D
-5.15%
5D
-3.50%
1M
-2.27%
3M
-28.11%
6M
-49.33%
YTD
-23.53%
1Y
+14.21%
Best: 1Y (+14.21%)Worst: 6M (-49.33%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +117% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 5.5 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$9.03B
Revenue TTM$1.61B
Net Income TTM-$224.36M
Free Cash Flow-$195.30M
Gross Margin21.8%
Net Margin-13.9%
Operating Margin-6.1%
Return on Equity-6.4%
Return on Assets-4.1%
Debt / Equity0.19
Current Ratio5.51
EPS TTM$-4.60
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

US defense budget authorization levels and supplemental appropriations for Ukraine/Middle East conflicts

Switchblade loitering munition order volumes and international adoption rates (UK, Australia, Taiwan procurement)

Multi-year IDIQ contract awards from US Army and Special Operations Command

Competitive win/loss outcomes on next-generation tactical UAS programs (Future Tactical UAS, FTUAS)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Revenue is driven by government defense appropriations rather than GDP growth, with multi-year budget planning cycles insulating from short-term economic fluctuations. However, severe recessions can pressure discretionary defense spending and delay procurement timelines. Current geopolitical tensions (Ukraine, Taiwan Strait) create counter-cyclical demand drivers independent of economic conditions.

Interest Rates

Rising rates have moderate negative impact through higher discount rates applied to long-duration defense contracts and elevated cost of capital for R&D investments in HAPS and next-gen platforms. However, minimal debt (0.19 D/E) limits direct financing cost exposure. Valuation multiple compression is primary transmission mechanism, as high P/S (8.4x) reflects growth expectations sensitive to rate-driven multiple contraction.

Key Risks

Defense budget sequestration or pivot away from counter-insurgency/tactical systems toward peer-conflict platforms (F-35, submarines) could reduce sUAS/TMS funding priority

Technological obsolescence from rapidly advancing counter-UAS systems (electronic warfare, directed energy) degrading effectiveness of small drones in contested environments

Export control restrictions limiting international market expansion, particularly for advanced Switchblade variants to non-NATO countries

Investor Profile

growth - The stock attracts growth investors focused on defense modernization themes and geopolitical tailwinds, with 73.7% one-year return reflecting momentum from Ukraine conflict-driven demand. High valuation multiples (8.4x P/S vs defense sector average ~1.5x) indicate market pricing in significant revenue acceleration. Recent 17.5% three-month decline suggests profit-taking after strong run and sensitivity to defense budget uncertainty.

Watch on Earnings
US defense discretionary spending levels and Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO) funding for Ukraine/Middle EastQuarterly Switchblade order announcements and unit production ratesFunded backlog duration (months of revenue coverage)International revenue growth rate and geographic diversification
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
34/100
Liquidity
5.51Strong
Leverage
0.19Strong
Coverage
-5.3xConcern
ROE
-6.4%Concern
ROIC
-1.6%Concern
Cash
$41MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE27 analysts
BUY
+82.3%upside to target
L $236.00
Med $330.00consensus
H $450.00
Buy
1659%
Hold
1141%
16 Buy (59%)11 Hold (41%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 55 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 5.51 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 10.9%

-26.3% vs SMA 50 · -34.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI55.0
Neutral territory
MACD-17.57
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$417.9+130.9%
EMA 200
$248.9+37.6%
EMA 50
$236.3+30.6%
Current
$181.0
52W Low
$154.4-14.7%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$154.410th %ile$417.9
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:8
Dist days:6
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.5M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.3M+51%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 14 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$787.1M
$775.6M$806.6M
$3.04
±2%
High5
FY2026(current)
$1.9B
$1.8B$2.0B
+140.5%$2.88-5.2%
±10%
High14
FY2027
$2.2B
$2.0B$2.4B
+15.5%$4.04+40.2%
±21%
High14
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryAVAV
Last 8Q
+1.8%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
+105%
Q2'24
+37%
Q3'24
-35%
Q4'24
-48%
Q1'25
+17%
Q2'25
-12%
Q3'25
-43%
Q4'25
-6%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Consensus improving — momentum building
30d21
90d22
Goldman SachsNeutral
Apr 30
DOWNGRADE
Deutsche BankBuy
Apr 30
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesUnderperform → Strong Buy
Apr 30
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesStrong Buy → Underperform
Mar 2
DOWNGRADE
WedbushOutperform
Jun 25
UPGRADE
Alembic GlobalOverweight
Jun 24
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesMarket Perform
Jun 24
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform → Market Perform
Sep 16
DOWNGRADE
Exane BNP ParibasNeutral
Apr 4
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight
Apr 4
DOWNGRADE
Loop Capital MarketsBuy
Apr 4
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform
Nov 10
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $49K sold · 30d window
Page Stephen FDir
$49K
Apr 15
SELL
Page Stephen FDir
$53K
Mar 16
SELL
Shackley Brian Char…Chief Accounti…
$43K
Mar 16
SELL
Mcdonnell Kevin Pat…CFO
$89K
Mar 10
SELL
Page Stephen FDir
$75K
Mar 2
SELL
Page Stephen FDir
$69K
Feb 19
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Stephens Investment Management Group LLC
490K
2
CONGRESS ASSET MANAGEMENT CO /MA
393K
3
Swedbank AB
273K
4
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
225K
5
WEALTH ENHANCEMENT ADVISORY SERVICES, LLC
118K
6
PINNACLE ASSOCIATES LTD
106K
7
Nuveen, LLC
88K
8
ARS Investment Partners, LLC
65K
News & Activity

AVAV News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

since aerovironment's beginnings more than 45 years ago, our scientists and engineers have sought innovative solutions to many of our most difficult security, energy and infrastructure management challenges. but as remarkable as our products are, it's the actionable intelligence they provide our customers that most clearly defines our company. from the moment we developed our breakthrough unmanned aircraft systems, we understood their primary benefit—giving people the ability to see the situation ahead. with aerovironment's sophisticated eyes in the sky, we could provide life-saving intelligence, reconnaissance and surveillance for our troops on the battlefield. today, aerovironment has become the acknowledged expert and largest supplier of small, unmanned aircraft systems (uas) to the pentagon and to dozens of allied nations. as effective as our small uas have become on the battlefront, they promise to be equally life-saving on the home front. aerovironment's family of integrated and

CEO
Wahid Nawabi
Robert F. SmithExecutive VP & COO
Kevin Patrick McDonnellExecutive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Michael PaceSenior Vice President of Space & Directed Energy Mission Systems
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
AVAV
$180.98-5.15%$9.2B+1449.8%531.5%1500
$876.35-0.05%$414.0B43.8+429.0%1312.8%1522
$280.46-1.18%$299.4B34.3+1848.2%1898.2%1488
$173.36-1.18%$234.3B32.3+974.1%759.8%1486
$223.22-0.72%$179.2B82.1+3449.4%249.7%1504
$425.69-1.72%$165.1B40.4+1033.0%1489.7%1506
$263.90-1.17%$158.1B21.9+107.2%2912.3%1505
Sector avg-1.60%42.5+1327.3%1307.7%1502