AWR
Earnings in 1 day · May 6, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move+1.14%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 46Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
75.21
Open
74.75
Day Range74.75 – 76.74
74.75
76.74
52W Range69.45 – 82.94
69.45
82.94
49% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
314.0K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
22.6x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
0.48
Low vol
Performance
1D
+1.14%
5D
-3.65%
1M
-0.94%
3M
+6.11%
6M
+2.00%
YTD
+4.95%
1Y
-4.77%
Best: 3M (+6.11%)Worst: 1Y (-4.77%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +11% YoY · 63% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 23x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.3 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.98B
Revenue TTM$658.07M
Net Income TTM$130.44M
Free Cash Flow-$7.09M
Gross Margin63.4%
Net Margin19.8%
Operating Margin30.9%
Return on Equity13.1%
Return on Assets4.8%
Debt / Equity0.90
Current Ratio1.32
EPS TTM$3.38
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

California Public Utilities Commission rate case decisions - authorized ROE, rate base valuation, and revenue requirement approvals directly impact earnings trajectory

Capital expenditure deployment pace - faster infrastructure investment accelerates rate base growth and future earnings, particularly pipeline replacement programs

California water policy and drought conditions - regulatory responses to water scarcity affect conservation mandates, supply costs, and infrastructure investment priorities

Interest rate environment - utility stocks trade inversely to Treasury yields as bond proxies, with 10-year rates driving valuation multiples

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Water utility demand is highly inelastic with minimal GDP correlation. Residential consumption (70%+ of volume) remains stable through economic cycles. WRAM decoupling mechanism eliminates volumetric risk, ensuring revenue stability regardless of usage patterns. Commercial/industrial demand shows modest cyclicality but represents smaller revenue portion. Military contracts are entirely acyclical with government-backed revenue streams.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create dual impact: (1) Higher financing costs on $800M+ debt stack reduce net income margins, though regulatory lag allows eventual recovery through rate cases; (2) Utility stocks face valuation compression as bond proxies become less attractive relative to risk-free yields. 100bp rate increase typically compresses P/E multiples by 1-2 turns. However, authorized ROE adjustments in rate cases partially offset financing cost increases over 2-3 year cycles. Current 0.91x debt/equity ratio provides moderate balance sheet sensitivity.

Key Risks

California regulatory environment - CPUC rate case outcomes determine authorized returns, with political pressure for affordability potentially constraining ROE authorizations below historical 9.5-10.0% levels

Climate change and water supply constraints - prolonged drought conditions increase supply costs (purchased water, desalination), require conservation mandates reducing volumes, and necessitate costly infrastructure adaptation

Infrastructure liability exposure - aging pipeline systems create potential for contamination events or service failures, with California legal environment presenting elevated litigation risk despite regulatory protections

Investor Profile

dividend - AWR attracts income-focused investors seeking stable, growing dividends with 70+ year consecutive payment history and 4-5% yield. Defensive characteristics appeal to risk-averse capital during market volatility. Regulated utility model provides bond-like cash flow predictability with equity upside from rate base growth. ESG investors value water infrastructure's essential service nature and climate adaptation role.

Watch on Earnings
10-year Treasury yield (GS10) - primary valuation driver for utility stock multiples, with inverse correlation to P/E ratiosCalifornia housing permits and starts - leading indicator for customer connection growth in service territoriesCalifornia reservoir levels and drought monitor status - impacts water supply costs, conservation mandates, and infrastructure investment prioritiesCPUC rate case calendar and decisions - tracks timing and outcomes of regulatory proceedings affecting authorized returns and rate base
Health Radar
1 strong3 watch2 concern
37/100
Liquidity
1.32Watch
Leverage
0.90Strong
Coverage
4.3xWatch
ROE
13.1%Watch
ROIC
6.1%Concern
Cash
$19MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE10 analysts
HOLD
+17.7%upside to target
L $87.00
Med $89.50consensus
H $92.00
Buy
220%
Hold
550%
Sell
330%
2 Buy (20%)5 Hold (50%)3 Sell (30%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
0 of 5 signals bullish
2/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 46 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.32
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 27, 2026
In 114 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 2.2%

+0.3% vs SMA 50 · +2.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI45.8
Neutral territory
MACD+0.67
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$82.94+9.0%
EMA 50
$76.21+0.2%
Current
$76.07
EMA 200
$75.24-1.1%
52W Low
$69.45-8.7%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$69.4549th %ile$82.94
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:6
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)222K
Recent Vol (5D)
240K+8%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$609.7M
$609.7M$609.7M
$3.02
±0%
Moderate3
FY2025
$629.0M
$629.0M$629.0M
+3.2%$3.31+9.7%
±0%
Low1
FY2026(current)
$700.4M
$700.4M$700.4M
+11.4%$3.71+12.1%
±0%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryAWR
Last 8Q
+0.1%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
Q2'24
-2%
Q3'24
-3%
Q4'24
+8%
Q1'25
Q2'25
-5%
Q3'25
+5%
Q4'25
-1%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Bank of America Sec…Underperform
Feb 3
DOWNGRADE
CitigroupUnderperform
Feb 3
DOWNGRADE
Wells FargoEqual-Weight → Underweight
Jan 7
DOWNGRADE
Wells FargoUnderweight → Equal-Weight
Jul 31
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesMarket Perform
Jun 28
DOWNGRADE
UBSSell → Neutral
Jun 28
UPGRADE
Wells FargoEqual-Weight → Underweight
Jun 28
DOWNGRADE
Financials
Dividends2.60% yield
+9.5% avg annual growth
Annual Yield2.60%
Quarterly Div.$0.5040
Est. Annual / Share$2.02
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Perpetual Ltd
152K
2
Nuveen, LLC
121K
3
ProShare Advisors LLC
93K
4
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA PUBLIC SCHOOL EMPLS RETRMT SYS
79K
5
Cornerstone Wealth Management, LLC
65K
6
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
61K
7
DUFF & PHELPS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO
51K
8
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
49K
News & Activity

AWR News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

American States Water Company is the parent of Golden State Water Company, Bear Valley Electric Service, Inc. and American States Utility Services, Inc., serving over one million people in nine states. Through its water utility subsidiary, Golden State Water Company, the company provides water service to approximately 261,500 customer connections located within more than 80 communities in Northern, Coastal and Southern California. Through its electric utility subsidiary, Bear Valley Electric Service, Inc., the company distributes electricity to approximately 24,500 customer connections in the City of Big Bear Lake and surrounding areas in San Bernardino County, California. Through its contracted services subsidiary, American States Utility Services, Inc., the company provides operations, maintenance and construction management services for water distribution and wastewater collection and treatment facilities located on eleven military bases throughout the country under 50-year privatization contracts with the U.S. government. American States Water Company has paid dividends to shareholders every year since 1931, increasing the dividends received by shareholders each calendar year since 1954.

Sector
Industry
Water Supply and Irrigation Systems
CEO
Robert Sprowls
Christopher H. ConnorSenior Vice President of ASUS
Robert J. SprowlsChief Executive Officer, President & Director
Eva G. TangSenior Vice President of Finance, Chief Financial Officer, Corporate Secretary & Treasurer
PeersUtilities(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
AWR
$76.07+1.14%$3.0B22.5+1051.5%1982.2%1500
$1073.95+1.03%$288.6B30.8+894.3%1283.0%1527
$95.51-1.49%$199.2B24.4+1100.1%2487.3%1510
$95.99-0.74%$108.2B24.7+1058.6%1499
$321.05+4.30%$100.3B43.3+833.8%908.2%1494
$127.45-0.89%$99.2B19.9+619.3%1541.1%1498
$134.66-1.64%$73.2B19.5+937.2%1643.5%1515
Sector avg+0.24%26.5+927.8%1640.9%1506