Quarterly lot sales volume and average selling price per lot in Rio Rancho
New entitlement approvals expanding developable land inventory
Albuquerque metro housing starts and builder activity levels
Large commercial land sale transactions (can be lumpy and material)
high - Land development is highly cyclical, tied directly to housing demand. During recessions, homebuilders reduce lot purchases, extending AMREP's inventory turnover. The 90% net income growth despite -3% revenue decline suggests recent margin expansion, but top-line growth requires robust housing market conditions. New Mexico's economy (government, healthcare, energy) provides some stability versus pure boom-bust markets.
Rising mortgage rates directly reduce housing affordability, slowing homebuilder demand for lots. The 30-year mortgage rate is critical: each 100bp increase typically reduces buyer purchasing power by 10-12%, forcing builders to slow land acquisitions. AMREP's zero-debt structure insulates it from financing cost increases, but doesn't protect against demand destruction. Lower rates stimulate housing starts and lot absorption.
Geographic concentration in Rio Rancho/Albuquerque creates single-market dependency; adverse local economic conditions (military base closures, Sandia National Labs budget cuts) would disproportionately impact demand
Entitlement risk: regulatory changes, environmental restrictions, or water availability constraints in New Mexico could delay or prevent development of remaining land inventory
Climate/water scarcity: Southwest water rights and drought conditions pose long-term development constraints
value - Trading at 0.9x book value with 7.6% FCF yield attracts deep-value investors seeking asset-rich, underleveraged companies. The 25% net margin and recent 90% earnings growth appeal to turnaround investors betting on housing cycle recovery. Low liquidity and lack of analyst coverage limit institutional ownership. Suitable for patient capital willing to hold through housing cycles.
Trend
+4.8% vs SMA 50 · +22.3% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2025 | $50.6M $50.6M–$50.6M | — | $1.95 | — | — | Low1 |
FY2026(current) | $54.2M $54.2M–$54.2M | ▲ +7.1% | $2.11 | ▲ +8.2% | — | Low1 |
FY2027 | $50.5M $50.5M–$50.5M | ▼ -6.8% | $1.78 | ▼ -15.6% | — | Low1 |
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
AXR News
About
“our suite of services is designed to support customers with an integrated approach to their product fulfillment and marketing program requirements. we appreciate and value the trust our customers place in our team and capabilities, and proudly view our client’s success as our success.” - michael duloc, kable ceo kable puts the pieces together. kable fulfillment provides superior quality and flexible options combined with lower cost solutions, to its customers. headquartered in fairfield, ohio, kable has built long-standing relationships with clients – small to large (fortune 500) helping them meet their customer’s guidelines. in addition to our streamlined, state-of-the art fulfillment solutions, we also offer a variety of co-packaging services: variable work schedules to meet your production demands with our 12 flexible assembly lines. multitude of assembly technologies; such as: automated shrink tunnels, over wrapping, skin packaging and blister packaging. excellent pe
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AXR◀ | $25.19 | +3.49% | $134M | 10.4 | -326.1% | 2558.9% | 1500 |
| $404.35 | -3.20% | $2.1T | 30.5 | +3296.8% | 4510.0% | 1500 | |
| $132.58 | -6.05% | $307.9B | 20.7 | -44.8% | 1012.0% | 1500 | |
| $88.38 | -2.58% | $303.7B | 13.6 | +318.8% | 1510.7% | 1500 | |
| $148.08 | -1.13% | $282.6B | 21.0 | +597.3% | 2564.4% | 1500 | |
| $181.58 | -1.83% | $281.6B | 26.9 | +862.9% | 1745.9% | 1500 | |
| $183.40 | -0.23% | $256.1B | 16.8 | +213.3% | 1482.4% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | -1.65% | — | 20.0 | +702.6% | 2197.7% | 1500 |