BBDC
Earnings in 3 days · May 7, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move+0.93%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 59Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
9.15
Open
9.15
Day Range9.15 – 9.26
9.15
9.26
52W Range7.96 – 9.92
7.96
9.92
65% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
767.7K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
9.5x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.10%
Beta
0.49
Low vol
Performance
1D
+0.93%
5D
+2.90%
1M
+9.62%
3M
+2.67%
6M
+2.21%
YTD
+0.54%
1Y
+7.33%
Best: 1M (+9.62%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +9% YoY · 80% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 10x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 3.9 · FCF $2.38/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$966.45M
Revenue TTM$229.17M
Net Income TTM$101.92M
Free Cash Flow$250.22M
Gross Margin80.4%
Net Margin44.5%
Operating Margin64.9%
Return on Equity8.7%
Return on Assets3.9%
Debt / Equity1.23
Current Ratio3.91
EPS TTM$0.97
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net investment income (NII) per share and dividend coverage ratio - critical for maintaining quarterly distributions

Non-accrual rate and credit quality metrics - percentage of portfolio on non-accrual status directly impacts NAV

Net asset value (NAV) per share trends - current 0.8x P/BV suggests market expects NAV erosion

Portfolio yield and net interest margin - spread compression from rising funding costs or competitive loan pricing

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Middle-market borrowers are highly sensitive to economic downturns, with default rates typically spiking 3-5x during recessions. Portfolio companies often have limited access to capital markets and depend on operational cash flow to service debt. The -27.7% revenue decline and -13.8% net income drop suggest the portfolio is experiencing stress, likely from realized losses, increased provisions, or PIK (payment-in-kind) interest rather than cash income.

Interest Rates

Complex and currently negative - While BBDC's loan portfolio is predominantly floating-rate (75-85% SOFR-based), providing natural asset sensitivity, the company's funding costs also float. In the current environment with SOFR elevated, net interest margins are compressed as competition for deals has kept loan spreads from widening proportionally. Rising rates also stress borrowers' debt service capacity, increasing default risk. The 0.8x P/BV suggests the market expects credit losses to offset any NIM benefits from rate positioning.

Key Risks

Direct lending market saturation - massive capital inflows from private credit funds have compressed spreads and loosened underwriting standards, with covenant-lite structures now representing 80%+ of middle-market loans

Regulatory risk from BDC leverage limits and RIC (regulated investment company) tax status requirements - must distribute 90%+ of income, limiting capital retention during stress periods

External management conflicts - Barings LLC earns fees on gross assets regardless of performance, creating incentive to grow AUM rather than optimize risk-adjusted returns

Investor Profile

dividend - BDCs are structured to distribute substantially all income as dividends, attracting income-focused investors. However, the -12% one-year return and 0.8x P/BV suggest dividend sustainability concerns are driving value investors away. Typical holders include retail income investors and closed-end fund specialists willing to accept credit risk for 8-12% yields.

Watch on Earnings
High yield credit spreads (BAMLH0A0HYM2) - leading indicator of credit market stress and portfolio valuation pressureFederal funds rate and SOFR term structure - impacts both asset yields and funding costs with lag effectsNon-accrual rate trend quarter-over-quarter - early warning of portfolio deteriorationWeighted average portfolio yield vs. cost of debt spread - net interest margin sustainability
Health Radar
1 strong2 watch3 concern
39/100
Liquidity
3.91Strong
Leverage
1.23Watch
Coverage
1.7xConcern
ROE
8.7%Watch
ROIC
5.5%Concern
Cash
$67MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE17 analysts
BUY
+35.4%upside to target
Buy
1165%
Hold
635%
11 Buy (65%)6 Hold (35%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 5 signals bullish
10/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 59 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.91 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 0.6%

+3.0% vs SMA 50 · +2.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI59.2
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.00
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$9.92+7.5%
Current
$9.23
EMA 50
$8.94-3.1%
EMA 200
$8.77-5.0%
52W Low
$7.96-13.8%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$7.9665th %ile$9.92
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:1
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)422K
Recent Vol (5D)
258K-39%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$291.4M
$280.8M$300.2M
$1.05
±4%
Low1
FY2024
$284.8M
$274.5M$293.4M
-2.3%$1.25+18.6%
±4%
Moderate3
FY2025
$278.9M
$268.8M$287.3M
-2.1%$1.12-10.3%
±4%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryBBDC
Last 8Q
+4.9%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates falling
-7%
Q2'24
+33%
Q3'24
-3%
Q4'24
-3%
Q1'25
-11%
Q2'25
+8%
Q3'25
+19%
Q4'25
+4%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Wells FargoOverweight → Equal-Weight
Nov 13
DOWNGRADE
Zacks Investment Re…Buy
Apr 26
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
5 Buys/1 SellNet Buying
Byers Stephen RDir
$61K
Dec 9
BUY
Byers Stephen RDir
$51K
Dec 9
SELL
Murray Elizabeth A.CFO and COO an…
$30K
Jun 6
BUY
Byers Stephen RDir
$77K
Jun 6
BUY
Freund MatthewPresident
$32K
May 19
BUY
Lloyd Eric JDir
$65K
May 19
BUY
Financials
Dividends12.89% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield12.89%
Quarterly Div.$0.2600
Est. Annual / Share$1.04
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Muzinich & Co., Inc.
700K
2
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
577K
3
CONFLUENCE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC
308K
4
GraniteShares Advisors LLC
268K
5
BI Asset Management Fondsmaeglerselskab A/S
247K
6
Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc.
195K
7
Lansforsakringar Fondforvaltning AB (publ)
185K
8
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
149K
News & Activity

BBDC News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

barings is a $371+ billion* global investment manager sourcing differentiated opportunities and building long-term portfolios across public and private fixed income, real estate, and specialist equity markets. with investment professionals based in north america, europe and asia pacific, the firm, a subsidiary of massmutual, aims to serve its clients, communities and employees, and is committed to sustainable practices and responsible investment. learn more at www.barings.com. *as of march 31, 2022

CEO
Eric Lloyd
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BBDC
$9.23+0.93%$966M9.5+1900.2%4096.0%1500
$397.67+0.00%$2.1T1500
$91.95+0.00%$316.0B14.11510.7%1500
$131.46+0.00%$305.1B23.71305.9%1500
$184.74+0.00%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57+0.00%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98+0.00%$251.9B14.4668.4%1500
Sector avg+0.13%18.3+1120.1%1981.9%1500