BFAM
-1.59%(-1.30)
Open
81.19
Prev Close
81.55
Day High
82.20
Day Low
80.18
Volume
82,844
Avg Volume
953,163
52W High
132.99
52W Low
63.68
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.59%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.1× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 43Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
81.55
Open
81.19
Day Range80.18 – 82.20
80.18
82.20
52W Range63.68 – 132.99
63.68
132.99
24% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
953.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
23.9x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.90
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.54%
5D
-0.26%
1M
-3.37%
3M
-8.76%
6M
-20.52%
YTD
-19.58%
1Y
-35.70%
Best: 1D (+0.54%)Worst: 1Y (-35.70%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
mixed signals
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 24x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
Insufficient data
Lean Bearish
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Same-center enrollment growth rates and occupancy levels (target 80-85% occupancy for mature centers)

New center openings and contract wins with Fortune 500 clients (pipeline visibility typically 12-18 months)

Teacher wage inflation and ability to pass through costs via annual price increases to corporate clients

Labor availability in local markets affecting ability to staff centers and accept new enrollments

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-high - Revenue is tied to corporate employment levels and willingness to fund employee benefits. During recessions, corporate clients may reduce childcare subsidies or freeze new center openings, while parent demand softens with layoffs. However, existing long-term contracts (5-10 years) provide revenue stability. The company benefits from dual-income household growth trends but suffers when white-collar employment contracts. Historically, enrollment declined 8-12% during 2008-2009 recession but recovered within 18 months.

Interest Rates

Rising rates negatively impact BFAM through three channels: (1) Higher borrowing costs on $1.4B debt (mix of fixed and variable rate), increasing annual interest expense by $10-15M per 100bps rate increase; (2) Valuation multiple compression as investors rotate from growth to value stocks; (3) Reduced corporate spending on employee benefits during economic slowdowns often accompanying rate hikes. However, the company's recurring revenue model and long-term contracts provide some insulation from short-term rate volatility.

Key Risks

Permanent shift to remote/hybrid work reducing demand for employer-sponsored childcare centers near corporate campuses

Regulatory changes to teacher-to-child ratios or minimum wage laws in key states (California, Massachusetts, New York represent 40% of centers) could compress margins by 200-400bps

Demographic headwinds as US birth rates decline 2% annually since 2020, shrinking the addressable market for 0-5 year childcare

Investor Profile

growth - Historically attracted growth investors seeking exposure to secular trends (dual-income households, corporate focus on employee retention, outsourcing of non-core services). The 46% stock decline has introduced value investors seeking recovery play on return-to-office normalization and enrollment rebound. However, elevated leverage (1.84x D/E) and modest 6.5% FCF yield limit appeal to income-focused investors. Recent volatility attracts momentum traders during earnings cycles.

Watch on Earnings
US nonfarm payrolls growth (PAYEMS) as proxy for corporate employment and childcare demandFederal Funds Rate trajectory affecting debt servicing costs and corporate benefit spendingConsumer sentiment (UMCSENT) indicating dual-income household confidence and willingness to pay for childcareUnemployment rate trends signaling labor market tightness for teacher recruitment
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 18.6%

+1.0% vs SMA 50 · -17.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI42.6
Momentum fading
MACD+0.15
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$133.0+65.7%
EMA 200
$97.17+21.1%
EMA 50
$82.38+2.7%
Current
$80.25
52W Low
$63.68-20.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$63.6824th %ile$133.0
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:5
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)512K
Recent Vol (5D)
549K+7%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts
Financials
News & Activity

BFAM News

Unable to load news

About

Bright Horizons® is a leading global provider of high-quality child care and early education, back-up care, and workplace education services. For more than 30 years, the company has partnered with employers to support workforces by providing services that help working families and employees thrive personally and professionally. Bright Horizons operates approximately 1,000 child care centers in the United States, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, and India, and serve more than 1,300 of the world's leading organizations. Bright Horizons' child care centers, back-up child and elder care, and workforce education programs, including tuition program management, education advising, and student loan repayment, help employees succeed at each life and career stage.

Industry
Child Day Care Services
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BFAM
$80.25+0.54%$4.3B23.7+921.8%658.3%1500
$398.69+0.00%$2.1T1500
$90.22+0.00%$316.0B14.11510.7%1500
$134.25+0.00%$305.1B23.71305.9%1500
$183.29+0.00%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$144.63+0.00%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$89.98+0.00%$251.9B14.4668.4%1500
Sector avg+0.08%20.7+794.0%1408.9%1500