BFH
Next earnings: Jul 23, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move-0.08%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 53Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
86.83
Open
87.06
Day Range85.55 – 87.52
85.55
87.52
52W Range49.17 – 99.13
49.17
99.13
75% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
675.0K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
7.1x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
1.48
Market-like
Performance
1D
-0.08%
5D
-0.01%
1M
+4.34%
3M
+19.88%
6M
+40.09%
YTD
+17.20%
1Y
+59.69%
Best: 1Y (+59.69%)Worst: 1D (-0.08%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
64% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 7x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.0 (low) · FCF $50.89/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$3.51B
Revenue TTM$4.71B
Net Income TTM$561.00M
Free Cash Flow$2.18B
Gross Margin64.0%
Net Margin11.9%
Operating Margin14.0%
Return on Equity17.1%
Return on Assets2.5%
Debt / Equity1.17
Current Ratio0.00
EPS TTM$13.11
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net charge-off rates and credit quality trends across the $17B+ loan portfolio

Loan receivables growth driven by new account originations and same-store sales at retail partners

Net interest margin (NIM) expansion or compression based on funding costs vs. portfolio yields

New partnership announcements or renewals with major retail brands

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Consumer credit performance is directly tied to employment levels, wage growth, and discretionary spending capacity. During recessions, charge-offs spike as subprime and near-prime borrowers (core customer base) face payment stress. The 87% net income growth YoY likely reflects normalization from elevated 2024-2025 provisioning rather than fundamental improvement. Retail partner sales volumes also correlate with consumer confidence and GDP growth.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create mixed effects: (1) Funding costs increase on floating-rate securitizations and credit facilities, compressing NIM if portfolio yields are slower to adjust; (2) Higher Fed Funds rates eventually allow repricing of new originations at higher APRs, benefiting NIM with 6-12 month lag; (3) Valuation multiples contract as investors demand higher equity risk premiums. The 1.29x debt/equity ratio means funding cost sensitivity is material to profitability.

Key Risks

Secular shift toward BNPL (Buy Now Pay Later) platforms and digital wallets eroding private label card relevance, particularly among younger demographics

Regulatory risk from CFPB oversight on late fees (proposed $8 cap vs. current $30-40 levels would materially impact fee income), interchange regulation, and fair lending enforcement

Retail partner concentration risk - loss of major partnerships (Victoria's Secret, Ulta) would significantly impair origination volumes and franchise value

Investor Profile

value - The 0.7x P/S, 1.0x P/B, and 5.8x EV/EBITDA multiples attract deep value investors betting on credit normalization and mean reversion in profitability. The 62.7% FCF yield is exceptionally high, suggesting market skepticism about earnings sustainability or asset quality. Contrarian investors focused on financial services turnarounds and special situations are typical holders. Not suitable for growth or ESG-focused mandates.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly net charge-off rate (NCO%) and 30/60/90+ day delinquency migration trendsUnemployment rate (leading indicator for consumer credit stress 6-9 months forward)High-yield credit spreads (OAS) as proxy for credit market conditionsRetail sales ex-auto (RSXFS) indicating health of partner store traffic and purchase volumes
Health Radar
1 strong2 watch3 concern
31/100
Liquidity
0.00Concern
Leverage
1.17Watch
Coverage
0.8xConcern
ROE
17.1%Strong
ROIC
2.5%Concern
Cash
$3.6BWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE31 analysts
HOLD
+9.5%upside to target
L $70.00
Med $95.00consensus
H $105.00
Buy
1445%
Hold
1445%
Sell
310%
14 Buy (45%)14 Hold (45%)3 Sell (10%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 53 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.00 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 15.1%

+18.3% vs SMA 50 · +36.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI53.4
Neutral territory
MACD+1.23
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$99.13+14.3%
Current
$86.76
EMA 50
$73.69-15.1%
EMA 200
$63.95-26.3%
52W Low
$49.17-43.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$49.1775th %ile$99.13
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:4
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)651K
Recent Vol (5D)
528K-19%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 9 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$2.6B
$2.5B$2.6B
$9.83
±2%
High6
FY2024
$3.9B
$3.8B$3.9B
+50.8%$6.93-29.5%
±2%
High9
FY2025
$3.8B
$3.8B$4.0B
-1.7%$10.25+47.9%
±4%
High9
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 6 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryBFH
Last 8Q
+90.3%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+50%
Q3'24
-5%
Q4'24
+24%
Q1'25
+36%
Q2'25
+70%
Q3'25
+91%
Q4'25
+418%
Q1'26
+39%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d10
Morgan StanleyUnderweight → Overweight
Mar 11
UPGRADE
Evercore ISIOutperform
Feb 5
UPGRADE
Goldman SachsSell → Neutral
Jan 6
UPGRADE
Wolfe ResearchSector Perform → Peer Perform
Dec 8
DOWNGRADE
BTIGNeutral → Buy
Jul 14
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight → Underweight
Apr 7
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight
Dec 19
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Buy
Aug 9
UPGRADE
Cowen & Co.Market Perform → Buy
Jun 20
UPGRADE
Keefe, Bruyette & W…Outperform
May 2
UPGRADE
Wolfe ResearchOutperform
Apr 4
UPGRADE
OppenheimerOutperform
Jan 26
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
4 Buys/1 SellNet Buying
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $875K sold · 30d window
Ballou Roger HDir
$875K
Apr 24
SELL
Fawcett John J.Dir
$6K
Jul 30
BUY
Fawcett John J.Dir
$57K
Jul 30
BUY
Fawcett John J.Dir
$51K
Oct 28
BUY
Fawcett John J.Dir
$100K
Aug 12
BUY
Financials
Dividends1.01% yield
+5.3% avg annual growth
Annual Yield1.01%
Quarterly Div.$0.2300
Est. Annual / Share$0.92
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
4.2M
2
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
3.1M
3
Allianz Asset Management GmbH
1.3M
4
FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC
1.1M
5
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
1.1M
6
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
1.0M
7
PZENA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC
614K
8
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
536K
News & Activity

BFH News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

alliance data® and its businesses comprise n. america’s largest, most comprehensive provider of transaction-based, data-driven marketing and loyalty solutions, driving business growth and profitability for some of today’s most recognizable brands. alliance data retail services is the second-largest u.s. provider of marketing-driven private label and co-brand credit programs designed to increase consumer spend and loyalty. across multiple touch points, like traditional, digital, mobile and other emerging technologies, alliance data retail helps its clients—such as hsn, j. crew, the buckle, and 90 others—create and increase customer loyalty through solutions that engage its nearly 25 million cardholders each day. epsilon® , a leading provider of multi-channel, data-driven technologies and marketing services, manages solutions such as permission-based email marketing, database management, advanced analytics, and strategic consulting and creative services to more than 2,000 global clients.

Industry
Credit Card Issuing
CEO
Edward Heffernan
Mike BoghosianSenior Vice President & Chief Data Officer
Baron SchlachterSenior VP of Card Services & President of Comenity Bank
Dashon WillifordSenior Vice President of Digital Strategy & Experience
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BFH
$86.76-0.08%$3.5B6.6-206.3%1500
$297.81-0.70%$798.0B14.1+330.7%2039.3%1503
$325.75+1.00%$624.4B28.0+1134.0%5014.5%1500
$494.20+0.87%$436.7B28.3+1641.6%4564.7%1490
$49.77-0.16%$353.2B11.4-45.1%1592.6%1495
$192.51-1.04%$303.6B16.6+1147.7%1466.4%1526
$948.47-2.11%$279.8B15.9-138.4%1373.0%1526
Sector avg-0.32%17.3+552.0%2675.1%1506