BGS
Earnings in 8 days · May 12, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-1.41%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.1× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 57Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
5.54
Open
5.50
Day Range5.45 – 5.52
5.45
5.52
52W Range3.67 – 6.74
3.67
6.74
58% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.2M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-10.1x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.13%
Beta
0.43
Low vol
Performance
1D
5D
+2.40%
1M
+9.92%
3M
+19.40%
6M
+41.33%
YTD
+28.84%
1Y
-13.57%
Best: 6M (+41.33%)Worst: 1Y (-13.57%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -5% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 3.5 · FCF $0.89/sh
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$439.85M
Revenue TTM$1.83B
Net Income TTM-$43.26M
Free Cash Flow$70.75M
Gross Margin21.8%
Net Margin-2.4%
Operating Margin5.3%
Return on Equity-8.9%
Return on Assets-1.5%
Debt / Equity4.42
Current Ratio3.53
EPS TTM$-0.54
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Organic volume trends across core brand portfolio - any stabilization or acceleration of volume declines drives significant stock movement

Gross margin trajectory and ability to offset commodity cost inflation through pricing actions without further volume deterioration

Debt refinancing developments and covenant compliance given 4.4x debt/equity ratio and negative operating margins

Brand divestiture announcements or portfolio rationalization to reduce debt and focus on higher-margin categories

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low-to-moderate - Shelf-stable packaged foods are consumer staples with relatively inelastic demand during recessions, but B&G's portfolio skews toward discretionary branded products rather than true necessities. Economic weakness can drive trade-down to private label (negative for B&G), while strong consumer spending may support premium branded products. The company's negative correlation with economic strength reflects competitive vulnerability rather than defensive characteristics.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity to interest rates due to substantial debt load (estimated $1.8B+ based on 4.4x debt/equity and $0.4B market cap). Rising rates directly increase interest expense on floating-rate debt and refinancing costs, further pressuring negative operating margins. Higher rates also compress valuation multiples for low-growth consumer staples. Current 0.2x price/sales ratio suggests market pricing in significant refinancing risk.

Key Risks

Secular decline in processed/shelf-stable food consumption as consumers shift toward fresh, organic, and health-focused alternatives, particularly impacting legacy brands like canned vegetables and hot cereals

Private label penetration expansion in grocery channel (now 40%+ in many categories) driven by retailer margin pressure and improved quality perception, eroding branded pricing power

Retail consolidation increasing buyer power while reducing shelf space for secondary brands, forcing higher trade spend to maintain distribution

Investor Profile

value/distressed - The stock trades at 0.2x sales and 0.9x book value, attracting deep value investors betting on operational turnaround, debt restructuring, or liquidation value. The 25.1% FCF yield appears attractive but is unsustainable given negative operating margins. Not suitable for growth, quality, or dividend investors given deteriorating fundamentals. High-risk/high-reward profile appeals to distressed debt investors and special situations funds rather than traditional long-only equity managers.

Watch on Earnings
CPIAUCSL (CPI All Items) - tracks food inflation and consumer purchasing power affecting volume trendsZCUSX (Corn futures) - key input cost for vegetable products and packaging materialsZSUSX (Soybean futures) - impacts cooking oil costs and protein-based product inputsUMCSENT (Consumer Sentiment) - leading indicator for branded vs. private label purchasing behavior
Health Radar
1 strong5 concern
21/100
Liquidity
3.53Strong
Leverage
4.42Concern
Coverage
0.6xConcern
ROE
-8.9%Concern
ROIC
3.3%Concern
Cash
$56MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE15 analysts
HOLD
+0.7%upside to target
L $5.00
Med $5.50consensus
H $6.00
Buy
320%
Hold
960%
Sell
320%
3 Buy (20%)9 Hold (60%)3 Sell (20%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 57 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.53 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 12.8%

+4.0% vs SMA 50 · +17.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI57.4
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.06
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$6.74+23.4%
Current
$5.46
EMA 50
$5.20-4.9%
EMA 200
$4.76-12.8%
52W Low
$3.67-32.8%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$3.6758th %ile$6.74
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:7
Dist days:5
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.9M
Recent Vol (5D)
3.0M+5%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$2.0B
$2.0B$2.0B
-$1.45
±0%
Low2
FY2025
$1.9B
$1.9B$1.9B
-4.8%$0.69
±2%
High5
FY2026(current)
$1.8B
$1.8B$1.9B
-5.3%$0.56-18.9%
±2%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryBGS
Last 8Q
-14.9%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates falling
-10%
Q2'24
Q3'24
-35%
Q4'24
+3%
Q1'25
-71%
Q2'25
-43%
Q3'25
+36%
Q4'25
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Piper SandlerUnderweight → Neutral
May 15
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral → Underweight
Oct 4
DOWNGRADE
Consumer Edge Resea…Underweight
Dec 1
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral
Jun 13
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Wenner David LDir
$101K
Mar 13
SELL
Vogel Andrew DEVP, PRESIDENT…
$104K
Mar 13
SELL
Schoch Martin C.EVP of Supply …
$61K
Mar 12
SELL
Mullen Dennis MDir
$85K
Nov 26
SELL
Hart Eric HEVP OF HUMAN R…
$6K
May 30
SELL
Schoch Martin C.EVP of Supply …
$18K
May 16
SELL
Financials
Dividends13.89% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield13.89%
Quarterly Div.$0.1900
Est. Annual / Share$0.76
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
PFG Investments, LLC
280K
2
KORNITZER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC /KS
268K
3
Savoir Faire Capital Management, L.P.
265K
4
Nuveen, LLC
222K
5
INVESTORS ASSET MANAGEMENT OF GEORGIA INC /GA/ /ADV
84K
6
WEALTH ENHANCEMENT ADVISORY SERVICES, LLC
68K
7
Sterling Capital Management LLC
50K
8
Independent Wealth Network Inc.
48K
News & Activity

BGS News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

b&g foods and its subsidiaries manufacture, sell and distribute a diversified portfolio of high-quality, branded shelf-stable foods across the united states, canada and puerto rico. based in parsippany, new jersey, b&g foods’ products are marketed under many recognized brands, including ac’cent, b&g, b&m, baker’s joy, bear creek country kitchens, brer rabbit, canoleo, cary’s, cream of rice, cream of wheat, devonsheer, don pepino, emeril’s, grandma’s molasses, jj flats, joan of arc, las palmas, macdonald’s, mama mary’s, maple grove farms, molly mcbutter, mrs. dash, new york flatbreads, new york style, old london, original tings, ortega, pirate’s booty, polaner, red devil, regina, rickland orchards, sa-són, sclafani, smart puffs, spring tree, sugar twin, trappey’s, truenorth, underwood, vermont maid and wright’s. b&g foods also sells and distributes static guard, a household product brand. to view our open positions, visit us @ http://www.bgfoods.com/careers/careers.asp

CEO
Kenneth Romanzi
Andrew D. VogelExecutive Vice President & President of Meals
Bruce C. WachaChief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President of Finance
Eric H. HartExecutive Vice President of Human Resources & Chief Human Resources Officer
PeersConsumer Defensive(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BGS
$5.46+0.00%$445M-537.0%-236.5%1500
$130.69-0.25%$1.0T47.9+472.5%307.0%1518
$1009.00-0.28%$448.8B52.5+816.7%294.3%1504
$144.48+0.12%$342.9B21.4+29.2%1895.3%1488
$78.14-0.23%$338.2B24.7+187.0%2734.0%1507
$169.01+0.79%$259.3B23.4+731.3%2791.8%1502
$156.03-0.68%$215.2B24.6+225.5%877.3%1499
Sector avg-0.07%32.4+275.0%1237.6%1503