BIRK
Next earnings: Aug 13, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bearish12
Price
1
Move-8.61%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume2.4× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 33Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
34.13
Open
34.00
Day Range31.12 – 34.13
31.12
34.13
52W Range31.12 – 57.39
31.12
57.39
0% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.3M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
13.9x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-8.61%
5D
-20.72%
1M
-16.63%
3M
-24.33%
6M
-22.30%
YTD
-23.74%
1Y
-44.98%
Worst: 1Y (-44.98%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +12% YoY · 56% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 14x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.9 · FCF $1.74/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$4.93B
Revenue TTM$2.19B
Net Income TTM$356.88M
Free Cash Flow$320.64M
Gross Margin56.1%
Net Margin16.3%
Operating Margin25.3%
Return on Equity13.0%
Return on Assets6.9%
Debt / Equity0.47
Current Ratio2.95
EPS TTM$1.94
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Direct-to-consumer revenue growth rate and mix shift from wholesale (DTC carries 10-15 percentage point higher gross margins)

Geographic expansion success, particularly in Americas market (fastest growing region) and Asia-Pacific penetration

Closed-toe footwear category performance and ability to expand beyond core sandal business without brand dilution

Gross margin trajectory driven by pricing power, product mix, and manufacturing cost inflation in Germany

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-to-high - Birkenstock operates in the discretionary footwear category with premium price points, making demand sensitive to consumer confidence and disposable income levels. During economic slowdowns, consumers may defer purchases of $100-150 sandals or trade down to lower-priced alternatives. However, the brand's cult following and functional benefits (orthopedic support) provide some demand resilience. Wholesale channel is more cyclical as department stores and specialty retailers reduce inventory during downturns. The company's exposure to European markets (significant revenue base) and expansion in Americas creates sensitivity to regional economic conditions.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Birkenstock through multiple channels: (1) higher borrowing costs on the company's debt (0.49 debt-to-equity ratio), (2) reduced consumer discretionary spending as mortgage and credit card costs increase, (3) valuation multiple compression for growth-oriented consumer brands as discount rates rise, and (4) potential wholesale partner inventory destocking as retailers face higher financing costs. The company's recent IPO timing (October 2023) occurred during elevated rate environment, and sustained high rates pressure premium valuation multiples typical of branded consumer companies.

Key Risks

Fashion cycle risk where Birkenstock's distinctive aesthetic could fall out of favor, particularly if casualization trend reverses or younger consumers shift preferences (brand heavily dependent on continued 'ugly shoe' trend acceptance)

Manufacturing concentration in high-cost European labor markets (Germany, Portugal) creates structural cost disadvantage versus Asian-manufactured competitors, limiting ability to compete on price if premium positioning weakens

Climate change impact on cork supply chain from Mediterranean cork oak forests, which provide raw material for proprietary footbed technology

Investor Profile

growth - The stock attracts growth investors focused on brand-driven consumer companies with international expansion opportunities, DTC transformation stories, and operating margin expansion potential. The 16% revenue growth, 83% EPS growth, and recent IPO status appeal to investors seeking exposure to heritage brands with modern distribution strategies. However, negative 1-year return (-23%) reflects post-IPO volatility and valuation reset from initial pricing. The 3.1x price-to-sales ratio is premium for footwear but reflects brand strength and margin profile. Limited dividend (implied by metrics) means total return depends on growth execution.

Watch on Earnings
DTC revenue as percentage of total sales and quarter-over-quarter growth rateGross margin trend and ability to maintain 58-60% range despite European wage inflationAmericas region revenue growth rate and market penetration versus total addressable marketComparable store sales growth in company-owned retail locations
Health Radar
3 strong2 watch1 concern
60/100
Liquidity
2.95Strong
Leverage
0.47Strong
Coverage
8.1xStrong
ROE
13.0%Watch
ROIC
8.8%Watch
Cash
$329MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE16 analysts
BUY
+66.7%upside to target
L $41.00
Med $52.00consensus
H $65.00
Buy
1488%
Hold
213%
14 Buy (88%)2 Hold (13%)0 Sell (-1%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 33 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.95 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 95 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 11.0%

-16.5% vs SMA 50 · -25.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI32.8
Momentum fading
MACD-0.85
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$57.39+84.0%
EMA 200
$42.30+35.6%
EMA 50
$37.89+21.5%
Current
$31.19
52W Low
$31.12-0.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$31.120th %ile$57.39
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:4
Edge:+3 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.3M
Recent Vol (5D)
4.5M+95%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 14 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.6B
$1.5B$1.6B
$1.01
±6%
High6
FY2024
$1.8B
$1.8B$1.9B
+14.5%$1.23+21.7%
±5%
High14
FY2025
$2.1B
$2.1B$2.1B
+17.6%$1.72+39.2%
±8%
High14
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryBIRK
Last 8Q
+6.1%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
-6%
Q3'24
+10%
Q4'24
+19%
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
+42%
Q4'25
Q1'26
-16%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d10
Seaport GlobalNeutral → Buy
Apr 14
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Neutral → Buy
Jul 25
UPGRADE
UBSMarket Perform → Buy
Jul 1
UPGRADE
Goldman SachsNeutral
Jun 11
DOWNGRADE
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Catterton Management Company, L.L.C.
99.4M
2
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.
11.8M
3
BAMCO INC /NY/
9.4M
4
FMR LLC
5.0M
5
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
4.0M
6
MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/
3.2M
7
WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC
2.6M
8
MORGAN STANLEY
2.5M
News & Activity

BIRK News

About

Birkenstock Holding Limited manufactures and sells footwear products. It offers sandals, shoes, closed-toe silhouettes, skincare products, and accessories for men, women, and kids. The company sells its products through online and retail stores. It operates in the Americas, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. The company was formerly known as Birkenstock Group Limited and changed its name to Birkenstock Holding Limited in July 2023. Birkenstock Holding Limited was founded in 1774 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Industry
Footwear Manufacturing
Mehdi Nico BouyakhfPresident of EMEA
Volker BachVice President of Global Accounting
David KahanPresident of Americas
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BIRK
$31.19-8.61%$5.7B+1622.1%1660.7%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-3.38%21.6+980.9%2069.4%1500