BLDR
Next earnings: Jul 30, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+1.10%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 30Oversold — bounce setup
PRICE
Prev Close
73.75
Open
74.98
Day Range73.40 – 75.96
73.40
75.96
52W Range73.40 – 151.03
73.40
151.03
1% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.9M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
28.5x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.53
High vol
Performance
1D
+1.10%
5D
-10.70%
1M
-9.14%
3M
-37.90%
6M
-33.17%
YTD
-27.53%
1Y
-33.35%
Best: 1D (+1.10%)Worst: 3M (-37.90%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -8% YoY
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 28x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.8 · FCF $7.84/sh
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$8.25B
Revenue TTM$14.82B
Net Income TTM$291.50M
Free Cash Flow$861.64M
Gross Margin29.9%
Net Margin2.0%
Operating Margin4.2%
Return on Equity6.9%
Return on Assets2.6%
Debt / Equity1.32
Current Ratio1.76
EPS TTM$2.65
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Single-family housing starts and permits data (BLDR derives 85%+ revenue from single-family vs. multi-family)

Lumber futures pricing (LBUSD) - affects gross margin on commodity sales and inventory valuation

Builder sentiment and spec home inventory levels - drives order visibility

Mortgage rate movements - 30-year rates above 7% materially reduce housing affordability and buyer demand

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Revenue directly correlates with residential construction activity, which is highly cyclical. Single-family starts declined from 1.17M (2021) to 0.97M (2023) during rate shock, compressing BLDR revenue 15%+. The business requires consumer confidence for home purchases and builder confidence for spec construction.

Interest Rates

Extreme sensitivity to mortgage rates. 30-year mortgage rates rising from 3% (2021) to 7%+ (2023) reduced housing affordability by 40%+, crushing demand. Each 100bp mortgage rate increase reduces buyer purchasing power by ~10%, directly impacting builder starts and BLDR order flow. Additionally, higher rates compress BLDR's valuation multiple as investors rotate from cyclicals to bonds.

Key Risks

Secular housing undersupply supports long-term demand, but demographic shifts (millennials aging, immigration policy) could alter single-family formation rates

Modular/prefab construction technology could disintermediate traditional stick-built methods, reducing demand for on-site component manufacturing

Climate regulations mandating energy-efficient building codes increase material costs, potentially slowing construction activity

Investor Profile

value/cyclical - Attracts deep value investors during housing troughs (stock traded 3-4x EBITDA in 2022) and momentum investors during recovery phases. The 11.8% FCF yield appeals to value-oriented funds. High beta (1.5-1.8x) and cyclicality deter income/defensive investors. Hedge funds use BLDR for tactical housing exposure given liquidity and clear macro drivers.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly single-family housing starts and permits (Census Bureau data)Lumber futures pricing (LBUSD) and Random Lengths Framing Lumber Composite Index30-year mortgage rates (MORTGAGE30US) and mortgage purchase applications indexNAHB Housing Market Index (builder sentiment)
Health Radar
3 watch3 concern
31/100
Liquidity
1.76Watch
Leverage
1.32Watch
Coverage
2.2xWatch
ROE
6.9%Concern
ROIC
5.6%Concern
Cash
$182MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE27 analysts
HOLD
+40.8%upside to target
L $81.00
Med $105.00consensus
H $143.00
Buy
1452%
Hold
1244%
Sell
14%
14 Buy (52%)12 Hold (44%)1 Sell (4%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 30 — Oversold, watch for bounce
~
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.76 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 7, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 4, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 13, 2026
In 99 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 20.9%

-17.1% vs SMA 50 · -34.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI29.9
Oversold — potential bounce
MACD-3.19
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$151.0+102.6%
EMA 200
$107.9+44.7%
EMA 50
$90.36+21.2%
Current
$74.56
52W Low
$73.40-1.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$73.401th %ile$151.0
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:2
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.2M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.7M-22%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 15 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$16.5B
$16.3B$16.7B
$11.07
±1%
High11
FY2025
$15.3B
$15.2B$15.3B
-7.2%$7.05-36.3%
±2%
High13
FY2026(current)
$14.8B
$14.7B$14.9B
-2.9%$4.43-37.2%
±20%
High15
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryBLDR
Last 8Q
-1.3%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
+16%
Q3'24
+3%
Q4'24
+6%
Q1'25
+1%
Q2'25
+1%
Q3'25
+7%
Q4'25
-14%
Q1'26
-31%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
JefferiesBuy → Hold
Dec 15
DOWNGRADE
ZelmanNeutral
Oct 31
UPGRADE
WedbushBuy → Neutral
Sep 15
DOWNGRADE
ZelmanBuy → Neutral
Jun 17
DOWNGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Buy
Jan 29
UPGRADE
B. Riley SecuritiesNeutral → Buy
Dec 6
UPGRADE
ZelmanBuy
May 8
UPGRADE
RBC CapitalOutperform
May 4
UPGRADE
BMO CapitalMarket Perform
Mar 1
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
5 Buys/1 SellNet Buying
Levy Paul SDir
$4.4M
Mar 13
BUY
Johnson Timothy DEVP & General …
$181K
Aug 22
SELL
Vance ToddPresident - Ea…
$225K
Jun 10
BUY
Charles Dirkson RDir
$548K
May 27
BUY
Levy Paul SDir
$31.5M
May 9
BUY
Levy Paul SDir
$24.0M
May 8
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Pictet Asset Management Holding SA
1.4M
2
Nuveen, LLC
318K
3
ENVESTNET ASSET MANAGEMENT INC
316K
4
KLCM Advisors, Inc.
294K
5
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
219K
6
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
210K
7
SCHWARTZ INVESTMENT COUNSEL INC
144K
8
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
123K
News & Activity

BLDR News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

in 2015, builders firstsource ($bldr) became the leading supplier and manufacturer of structural and related building products for new construction when it acquired probuild holdings, llc and its subsidiaries. now, as the largest diversified suppliers of lumber and building materials to professional builders, contractors, and homeowners, builders firstsource currently operates approximately 450 lumber and building product distribution, manufacturing and assembly centers in 40 u.s. states. builders firstsource and its companies sell a broad selection of building materials including; lumber (dimensional and sheet goods), drywall products, millwork, trusses, roofing and siding products, insulation materials, and hardware specialties. their manufacturing capabilities include trusses (roof and floor), wall panels, custom millwork, aluminum and vinyl windows and pre-hung door fabrication. we have the ability to sustain a long-term, aggressive growth strategy. our collective strength combines

CEO
David E. Flitman
Country
United States
Heather Anne KosSenior Vice President of Investor Relations
Jami Beckmann CoulterSenior Vice President of the Strategic Management Office
Todd VancePresident of East Division
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BLDR
$74.56+1.10%$8.2B28.1-737.7%286.5%1473
$904.59-1.67%$420.9B44.5+429.0%1312.8%1523
$286.68+2.20%$299.5B34.4+1848.2%1898.2%1489
$172.87-0.02%$232.8B32.1+974.1%759.8%1487
$224.38+1.39%$176.9B81.0+3449.4%249.7%1503
$410.86-2.74%$159.4B40.0+1033.0%1489.7%1507
$264.01+0.23%$156.7B21.7+107.2%2912.3%1506
Sector avg+0.07%40.2+1014.8%1272.7%1498