BMBL
Earnings in 1 day · May 5, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup1!1
Price
1
Move-1.20%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.1× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 73Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
4.16
Open
4.18
Day Range4.09 – 4.20
4.09
4.20
52W Range2.61 – 8.64
2.61
8.64
25% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
4.2M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-0.7x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
2.27
High vol
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -10% · 68% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 2.2 · FCF $2.27/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$450.45M
Revenue TTM$965.66M
Net Income TTM-$702.37M
Free Cash Flow$238.68M
Gross Margin68.3%
Net Margin-72.7%
Operating Margin26.3%
Return on Equity-106.9%
Return on Assets-49.7%
Debt / Equity1.05
Current Ratio2.21
EPS TTM$-6.68
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Paying user growth rates and average revenue per paying user (ARPPU) across Bumble and Badoo platforms

User engagement metrics including daily active users (DAU), monthly active users (MAU), and conversion rates from free to paid

Competitive positioning versus Match Group properties, particularly Tinder and Hinge market share trends

Path to profitability and operating margin improvement from current -65% levels

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Dating app spending exhibits some discretionary characteristics where users may downgrade or cancel subscriptions during economic stress, but the service addresses fundamental human needs (relationships, companionship) that persist through cycles. The $10-30/month price point for premium subscriptions is relatively affordable compared to traditional dating expenses. However, younger demographics (18-35 core user base) are more economically sensitive and may reduce discretionary spending during recessions.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Bumble through multiple channels: (1) higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies, (2) reduced consumer discretionary spending as debt service costs rise, (3) potential impact on marketing spend efficiency if the company relies on debt financing for growth investments. The 0.89 debt/equity ratio suggests moderate leverage that becomes more expensive in rising rate environments. As a cash-burning business, access to capital markets matters.

Key Risks

Dating app market maturation in developed markets with slowing user growth and increasing competition for finite single population

Regulatory risks around data privacy, content moderation, and potential age verification requirements that could increase compliance costs

Shifting social attitudes toward online dating and potential platform fatigue as users experience diminishing returns from app usage

Investor Profile

Currently attracts distressed/special situations investors and contrarian value players betting on turnaround execution. The 0.3x price/sales and 0.4x price/book ratios suggest deep value territory, but -66% one-year return indicates most growth and momentum investors have abandoned the stock. The 33% FCF yield appears attractive but may not be sustainable given operating losses. This is a 'show me' story requiring proof of profitability improvement before institutional quality growth investors return.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly active users (MAU) and paying user counts for Bumble and Badoo separatelyAverage revenue per paying user (ARPPU) trends by geographyOperating expense ratio and progress toward positive operating marginsCustomer acquisition cost (CAC) and lifetime value (LTV) ratios
Health Radar
3 strong2 watch1 concern
51/100
Liquidity
2.21Strong
Leverage
1.05Watch
Coverage
6.0xStrong
ROE
-106.9%Concern
ROIC
19.8%Strong
Cash
$176MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE19 analysts
HOLD
-2.7%downside to target
L $3.50
Med $4.00consensus
H $5.00
Buy
526%
Hold
1368%
Sell
15%
5 Buy (26%)13 Hold (68%)1 Sell (6%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 73 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.21 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 17.8%

-2.0% vs SMA 50 · -19.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI72.8
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD-0.24
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$8.64+110.2%
EMA 200
$5.10+24.1%
EMA 50
$4.13+0.6%
Current
$4.11
52W Low
$2.61-36.5%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$2.6125th %ile$8.64
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:2
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.8M
Recent Vol (5D)
3.4M+21%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 12 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$962.9M
$961.8M$963.9M
-$1.92
±26%
High12
FY2026(current)
$857.4M
$839.0M$880.7M
-11.0%$0.98
±50%
High12
FY2027
$851.8M
$805.7M$910.9M
-0.7%$0.94-3.7%
±48%
High11
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryBMBL
Last 8Q
+62.3%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
+171%
Q2'24
+69%
Q3'24
+75%
Q4'24
-219%
Q1'25
-19%
Q2'25
+73%
Q3'25
-8%
Q4'25
+356%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Goldman SachsBuy → Neutral
Oct 3
DOWNGRADE
Wolfe ResearchOutperform → Peer Perform
Jan 2
DOWNGRADE
KeyBancOverweight → Sector Weight
Sep 27
DOWNGRADE
Cowen & Co.Hold
Aug 16
DOWNGRADE
SusquehannaEqual-Weight → Neutral
Aug 9
DOWNGRADE
HSBCHold
Aug 8
DOWNGRADE
BTIGBuy → Negative
Aug 8
DOWNGRADE
Wells FargoNeutral → Equal-Weight
Jul 8
DOWNGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Buy
May 10
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform → Market Perform
Apr 3
DOWNGRADE
KeyBancSector Weight → Overweight
Jan 9
UPGRADE
JefferiesHold
Aug 1
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Bx Buzz Ml-1 Gp Llc10 Percent Own…
$11.5M
Mar 17
SELL
Bx Buzz Ml-1 Gp Llc10 Percent Own…
$8.8M
Mar 17
SELL
Bx Buzz Ml-1 Gp Llc10 Percent Own…
$3.8M
Mar 17
SELL
Bx Buzz Ml-1 Gp Llc10 Percent Own…
$1.4M
Mar 17
SELL
Bx Buzz Ml-1 Gp Llc10 Percent Own…
$637K
Mar 17
SELL
Bx Buzz Ml-1 Gp Llc10 Percent Own…
$104K
Mar 17
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
210K
2
SG Americas Securities, LLC
130K
3
STRS OHIO
128K
4
WEALTH ENHANCEMENT ADVISORY SERVICES, LLC
103K
5
180 WEALTH ADVISORS, LLC
89K
6
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
87K
7
EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS, LLC
62K
8
KLP KAPITALFORVALTNING AS
32K
News & Activity

BMBL News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Bumble is an online dating and networking application. It was founded by Whitney Wolfe Herd shortly after she left Tinder. As of January 2021, with a monthly user base of 42 million, Bumble is the second-most popular dating app in the U.S. after Tinder. According to a June 2016 survey, 46.2% of its users are female. According to Forbes, by 2017 the company was valued at more than $1 billion, and the company reported having over 55 million users in 150 countries as of 2019.

PeersCommunication Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BMBL
$4.09+0.00%$458M1500
$382.34+0.23%$4.7T29.1+1512.6%3280.0%1522
$379.50+0.34%$4.6T29.1+1512.6%3280.0%1521
$607.99-0.52%$1.5T21.9+2216.7%3008.4%1498
$91.51-1.66%$387.6B29.1+1585.1%2430.4%1487
$194.50+0.29%$212.2B20.5+848.8%1244.7%1492
$47.45+0.17%$202.9B11.7+252.5%1242.8%1513
Sector avg-0.16%23.6+1321.4%2414.4%1505