BRSP
Next earnings: Aug 4, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.04%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 45Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
5.76
Open
5.71
Day Range5.63 – 5.73
5.63
5.73
52W Range4.84 – 6.17
4.84
6.17
65% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
948.0K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-21.1x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.11%
Beta
0.98
Market-like
Performance
1D
-1.04%
5D
-4.20%
1M
-4.52%
3M
-0.52%
6M
+5.17%
YTD
+1.79%
1Y
+5.75%
Best: 1Y (+5.75%)Worst: 1M (-4.52%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
41% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 22.7 · FCF $0.58/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$742.58M
Revenue TTM$331.09M
Net Income TTM-$31.64M
Free Cash Flow$73.45M
Gross Margin41.2%
Net Margin-9.6%
Operating Margin14.1%
Return on Equity-3.3%
Return on Assets-0.9%
Debt / Equity2.85
Current Ratio22.74
EPS TTM$-0.25
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin compression or expansion driven by SOFR spreads and funding costs

Credit quality deterioration, particularly in office sector loans with occupancy below 80%

Portfolio repositioning announcements - sales of non-core assets or new originations in industrial/multifamily

Dividend sustainability concerns given negative net income and reliance on distributable earnings

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Commercial real estate credit performance is highly correlated with GDP growth, employment levels, and property fundamentals. Recession drives tenant defaults, property value declines, and loan losses. Office sector exposure creates acute sensitivity to white-collar employment trends and return-to-office policies. Multifamily and industrial holdings provide some countercyclical stability.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create dual pressure: (1) Higher funding costs on floating-rate repo lines compress net interest margin if asset yields don't reprice quickly, and (2) Higher cap rates reduce underlying property values, increasing loan-to-value ratios and credit risk. However, floating-rate loan assets (estimated 40-50% of portfolio) provide partial natural hedge. The company's cost of equity (dividend yield) also rises with risk-free rates, pressuring valuation multiples.

Key Risks

Permanent office demand destruction from remote work reducing collateral values on 30-40% of loan portfolio, with Class B/C office facing structural obsolescence

Regulatory capital requirements favoring banks over non-bank lenders in commercial real estate, reducing competitive positioning for future originations

REIT distribution requirements forcing asset sales or equity raises during distressed markets to maintain dividend

Investor Profile

value - Trading at 0.8x book value attracts distressed/deep value investors betting on credit stabilization and office sector recovery. High FCF yield of 13.7% appeals to investors distinguishing distributable cash flow from GAAP losses. Not suitable for income investors given dividend cut risk. Requires high risk tolerance and 3-5 year horizon for portfolio repositioning.

Watch on Earnings
SOFR + credit spread on secured repo facilities (primary funding cost driver)Office vacancy rates in top MSAs (New York, San Francisco, Los Angeles) where portfolio is concentratedHigh-yield CRE CLO spreads as proxy for commercial real estate credit market stressMultifamily rent growth and cap rates in Sun Belt markets (portfolio diversification opportunity)
Health Radar
1 strong5 concern
20/100
Liquidity
22.74Strong
Leverage
2.85Concern
Coverage
0.5xConcern
ROE
-3.3%Concern
ROIC
0.8%Concern
Cash
$67MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
HOLD
+5.3%upside to target
Buy
563%
Hold
113%
Sell
225%
5 Buy (63%)1 Hold (13%)2 Sell (24%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 45 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 22.74 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 10, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 18.4%

-2.4% vs SMA 50 · +15.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI45.0
Momentum fading
MACD-0.02
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$6.17+8.2%
EMA 50
$5.81+1.9%
Current
$5.70
EMA 200
$4.94-13.3%
52W Low
$4.84-15.1%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$4.8465th %ile$6.17
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:4
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)962K
Recent Vol (5D)
1.2M+25%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$392.7M
$357.0M$428.3M
-$1.02
±12%
Low1
FY2024
$218.3M
$217.8M$218.7M
-44.4%$0.84
±7%
High5
FY2025
$243.3M
$240.8M$245.8M
+11.5%$0.61-27.7%
±7%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryBRSP
Last 8Q
+1.2%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates falling
+5%
Q3'24
+11%
Q4'24
-5%
Q1'25
Q2'25
+12%
Q3'25
Q4'25
-6%
Q1'26
-7%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
BTIGNeutral
Dec 6
DOWNGRADE
Zacks Investment Re…Hold
Apr 26
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
4 Buys/2 SellsNet Buying
Palame David ASee Remarks
$338K
Mar 27
SELL
Digitalbridge Group…10 Percent Own…
$209.5M
Mar 1
SELL
Rice CatherineDir
$50K
Jun 16
BUY
Palame David ASee Remarks
$18K
Jun 16
BUY
Witt Andrew ElmoreSee Remarks
$72K
Jun 16
BUY
Palame David ASee Remarks
$60K
May 6
BUY
Financials
Dividends11.23% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield11.23%
Quarterly Div.$0.1600
Est. Annual / Share$0.64
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
10.9M
2
PRIVATE MANAGEMENT GROUP INC
4.8M
3
North Ground Capital
1.6M
4
FEDERATED HERMES, INC.
1.5M
5
Waterfall Asset Management, LLC
1.5M
6
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
1.2M
7
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
1.1M
8
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
855K
News & Activity

BRSP News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

company: brightspire capital, inc. (nyse: brsp) is an internally-managed commercial real estate credit reit focused on originating, acquiring, financing and managing a diversified portfolio of commercial real estate debt and net lease real estate investments predominantly in the united states. history: brightspire capital, inc. reflects the name change and rebranding from the comprehensive april 30, 2021 internalization of dedicated management and operational functions of colony credit real estate, inc. (formerly, clnc). team: our team is composed of seasoned real estate finance professionals with a demonstrated track record of providing customers with flexible solutions across the capital stack. we prioritize stability, clarity and collaboration in process and deal execution.

Industry
Mortgage and Nonmortgage Loan Brokers
David A. PalameExecutive Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary
Frank Vito SaracinoExecutive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer
Sonia KimVice President
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BRSP
$5.70-1.04%$743M-449.7%-939.3%1500
$297.81-0.70%$798.0B14.1+330.7%2039.3%1503
$325.75+1.00%$624.4B28.0+1134.0%5014.5%1500
$494.20+0.87%$436.7B28.3+1641.6%4564.7%1490
$49.77-0.16%$353.2B11.4-45.1%1592.6%1495
$192.51-1.04%$303.6B16.6+1147.7%1466.4%1526
$948.47-2.11%$279.8B15.9-138.4%1373.0%1526
Sector avg-0.45%19.1+517.3%2158.7%1506