Net interest margin expansion/compression driven by Federal Reserve policy and deposit competition
Loan growth in commercial and agricultural portfolios, particularly in Central Valley markets
Credit quality metrics including non-performing loans and charge-offs in agricultural lending
Deposit franchise stability and cost of funds relative to regional competitors
moderate-to-high - Agricultural lending creates dual exposure to commodity price cycles and weather patterns affecting Central Valley crop yields. Commercial lending to small businesses in the region ties performance to local economic conditions. However, essential nature of food production and diversified crop exposure provides some stability. Economic weakness increases credit losses while strong agricultural commodity prices support borrower cash flows and loan demand.
High positive sensitivity to rising rates through net interest margin expansion, as loan yields typically reprice faster than deposit costs for community banks. However, the current elevated rate environment (as of February 2026) may be pressuring deposit costs as customers seek higher yields. Inverted or flat yield curves compress profitability by reducing the spread between short-term funding costs and long-term loan yields. Rate cuts would likely compress margins but could stimulate loan demand.
California water policy and drought conditions creating long-term stress on agricultural borrowers in the Central Valley
Consolidation in community banking reducing scale advantages and increasing competitive pressure from larger regional banks
Digital banking disruption eroding the value of physical branch networks in rural markets
value - The 1.3x price-to-book ratio and 11.8% ROE attract value investors seeking regional banks trading below tangible book value with potential for margin expansion or M&A premiums. The 29.5% three-month return suggests momentum investors have recently entered. Dividend investors may be attracted if payout ratio is sustainable, though this is not confirmed without recent data. Not a growth story given 5.7% revenue growth.
Trend
+5.9% vs SMA 50 · +14.5% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $142.3M $140.1M–$144.3M | — | $2.47 | — | ±2% | Low2 |
FY2024 | $151.7M $150.2M–$153.1M | ▲ +6.5% | $2.81 | ▲ +13.8% | ±1% | Moderate4 |
FY2025 | $156.9M $155.9M–$158.6M | ▲ +3.5% | $3.02 | ▲ +7.4% | ±2% | Moderate4 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
BSRR News
About
Sierra Bancorp is the holding company for Bank of the Sierra, which is in its 44th year of operations and is the largest independent bank headquartered in the South San Joaquin Valley. Bank of the Sierra is a community-centric regional bank, which offers a broad range of retail and commercial banking services through full-service branches located within the counties of Tulare, Kern, Kings, Fresno, Los Angeles, Ventura, San Luis Obispo, and Santa Barbara. The Bank also maintains an online branch and provides specialized lending services through an agricultural credit center, an SBA center, and a dedicated loan production office in Rocklin, California. In 2020, Bank of the Sierra was recognized as one of the strongest and top-performing community banks in the country, with a 5-star rating from Bauer Financial.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BSRR◀ | $37.27 | -0.51% | $487M | 10.6 | +566.9% | 2095.6% | 1500 |
| $297.81 | -0.70% | $798.0B | 14.1 | +330.7% | 2039.3% | 1503 | |
| $325.75 | +1.00% | $624.4B | 28.0 | +1134.0% | 5014.5% | 1500 | |
| $494.20 | +0.87% | $436.7B | 28.3 | +1641.6% | 4564.7% | 1490 | |
| $49.77 | -0.16% | $353.2B | 11.4 | -45.1% | 1592.6% | 1495 | |
| $192.51 | -1.04% | $303.6B | 16.6 | +1147.7% | 1466.4% | 1526 | |
| $948.47 | -2.11% | $279.8B | 15.9 | -138.4% | 1373.0% | 1526 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.38% | — | 17.9 | +662.5% | 2592.3% | 1506 |