BTMD
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish21
Price
1
Move+1.03%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume1.6× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 31Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
1.95
Open
1.92
Day Range1.90 – 2.05
1.90
2.05
52W Range1.27 – 4.75
1.27
4.75
20% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
254.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
4.6x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+1.03%
5D
-9.63%
1M
-6.19%
3M
-4.37%
6M
-21.83%
YTD
-24.23%
1Y
-51.95%
Best: 1D (+1.03%)Worst: 1Y (-51.95%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -6% · 68% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 5x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.3 · FCF $0.94/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$86.89M
Revenue TTM$188.16M
Net Income TTM$15.60M
Free Cash Flow$28.69M
Gross Margin68.5%
Net Margin8.3%
Operating Margin17.0%
Return on Equity-22.9%
Return on Assets17.5%
Debt / Equity-1.93
Current Ratio1.29
EPS TTM$0.51
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net practitioner additions/churn rates - the core metric for network expansion and future revenue visibility

Same-practitioner pellet volume growth - indicates patient retention and treatment frequency within existing base

Reimbursement policy changes - Medicare/commercial payer coverage decisions for BHRT significantly impact patient out-of-pocket costs and demand

Competitive threats from compounding pharmacies offering lower-cost pellet alternatives or regulatory changes affecting compounding rules

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - BHRT is largely elective/cash-pay healthcare, making it sensitive to discretionary consumer spending. During economic downturns, patients may delay or discontinue hormone therapy to preserve cash, particularly since many insurance plans provide limited coverage. However, the demographic tailwind of aging Baby Boomers (primary patient population is perimenopausal/menopausal women and men with low testosterone) provides some demand stability. The subscription-like nature of pellet therapy (typically every 3-4 months) creates recurring revenue, but new patient acquisition slows when consumer confidence weakens.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact valuation multiples for unprofitable/low-margin growth companies, as evidenced by the 0.5x P/S ratio compression. Higher rates increase the discount rate applied to future cash flows, particularly punishing companies with negative ROE (-32.6%). On the operational side, rate sensitivity is minimal since the business carries negative net debt (Debt/Equity of -1.46 suggests net cash position), eliminating refinancing risk. However, higher rates may reduce consumer willingness to finance elective procedures through credit cards or payment plans.

Key Risks

Regulatory risk from FDA scrutiny of compounded bioidentical hormones - the FDA has historically questioned the safety/efficacy claims of custom-compounded BHRT, and increased enforcement could disrupt the business model or require costly clinical trials

Reimbursement headwinds as payers increasingly scrutinize hormone therapy coverage, particularly for off-label uses or in light of Women's Health Initiative study concerns about hormone risks

Technological disruption from alternative delivery methods (transdermal gels, subcutaneous injections, oral formulations) that offer greater convenience or lower cost

Investor Profile

Historically attracted growth investors betting on the recurring revenue platform model and aging demographics tailwind, but the -58% one-year decline and negative ROE have likely shifted the holder base to distressed/value investors looking for turnaround potential or acquisition candidates. The 39.4% FCF yield (if accurate) would attract value investors, though the $0.0B reported cash flows raise data quality concerns. High volatility and small market cap suggest this is a speculative position for risk-tolerant investors rather than core portfolio holdings.

Watch on Earnings
Active certified practitioner count (quarterly net additions/losses)Revenue per practitioner trends (same-practitioner sales growth)Consumer discretionary spending indicators (RSXFS retail sales) as proxy for elective healthcare demandHealthcare CPI inflation (CPIMEDSL) affecting patient willingness to pay out-of-pocket
Health Radar
3 strong2 watch1 concern
58/100
Liquidity
1.29Watch
Leverage
-1.93Strong
Coverage
3.2xWatch
ROE
-22.9%Concern
ROIC
37.1%Strong
Cash
$24MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE7 analysts
BUY
+65.0%upside to target
L $2.50
Med $3.25consensus
H $4.00
Buy
686%
Hold
114%
6 Buy (86%)1 Hold (14%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 31 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.29
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 103 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 4.9%

-22.7% vs SMA 50 · -26.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI31.5
Momentum fading
MACD-0.17
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$4.75+141.1%
EMA 200
$2.67+35.7%
EMA 50
$2.52+27.9%
Current
$1.97
52W Low
$1.27-35.5%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$1.2720th %ile$4.75
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:1
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)284K
Recent Vol (5D)
266K-6%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$191.7M
$190.2M$192.8M
$0.67
±1%
Moderate4
FY2026(current)
$190.8M
$190.4M$191.3M
-0.4%$0.28-57.5%
±1%
Moderate4
FY2027
$203.6M
$202.6M$205.2M
+6.7%$0.36+28.3%
±1%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryBTMD
Last 8Q
+95.0%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates falling
+56%
Q3'24
+267%
Q4'24
+11%
Q1'25
+33%
Q2'25
+67%
Q3'25
+340%
Q4'25
+20%
Q1'26
-33%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
B. RileyNeutral
Aug 7
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Guines Llc10 Percent Own…
$39K
May 7
BUY
Guines Llc10 Percent Own…
$1.4M
May 6
BUY
Guines Llc10 Percent Own…
$6K
Apr 30
BUY
Guines Llc10 Percent Own…
$29K
Apr 21
BUY
Guines Llc10 Percent Own…
$23K
Apr 17
BUY
Guines Llc10 Percent Own…
$3K
Apr 16
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
325 CAPITAL LLC
4.5M
2
Bandera Partners LLC
2.1M
3
BlackRock, Inc.
1.7M
4
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC
698K
5
STATE STREET CORP
647K
6
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
616K
7
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
543K
8
GLOBEFLEX CAPITAL L P
272K
News & Activity

BTMD News

About

No description available.

Industry
Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences (except Nanotechnology and Biotechnology)
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BTMD
$1.97+1.03%$87M3.9-252.1%1407.0%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.96%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-2.49%27.1+341813.8%-3300.9%1500