BUSE
Next earnings: Jul 28, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+1.56%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 54Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
26.20
Open
26.22
Day Range26.02 – 26.85
26.02
26.85
52W Range20.91 – 27.65
20.91
27.65
85% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
618.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
10.9x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.03%
Beta
0.64
Low vol
Performance
1D
+1.56%
5D
+1.76%
1M
+3.90%
3M
+4.60%
6M
+19.01%
YTD
+11.85%
1Y
+22.68%
Best: 1Y (+22.68%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +63% YoY · 69% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 11x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.8 · FCF $1.93/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.28B
Revenue TTM$1.12B
Net Income TTM$215.23M
Free Cash Flow$171.74M
Gross Margin69.5%
Net Margin19.2%
Operating Margin25.2%
Return on Equity8.8%
Return on Assets1.2%
Debt / Equity0.26
Current Ratio1.84
EPS TTM$2.41
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin expansion or compression driven by Federal Reserve policy and yield curve shape

Loan portfolio growth in commercial real estate and C&I lending in Illinois and Missouri markets

Credit quality metrics including non-performing asset ratios and provision expense

Deposit beta and ability to retain low-cost core deposits during rate cycles

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-to-high - Regional banks are directly exposed to local economic conditions affecting loan demand and credit quality. Commercial real estate lending, a typical focus for banks this size, is sensitive to occupancy rates and property values. Consumer loan performance correlates with local employment and income levels. The Illinois and Missouri economies are diversified but include cyclical manufacturing and agriculture sectors that impact loan demand during downturns.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity to both the level and shape of the yield curve. Rising short-term rates (Fed funds) typically expand net interest margins as loan yields reprice faster than deposit costs, though this benefit diminishes as deposit betas increase. A steeper yield curve (positive 10Y-2Y spread) is highly favorable, allowing banks to borrow short and lend long profitably. The current rate environment as of February 2026 significantly impacts profitability given the bank's asset-liability duration mismatch.

Key Risks

Digital banking disruption from fintech competitors and national banks offering higher deposit rates online, pressuring the traditional branch-based model

Regulatory burden disproportionately affects regional banks with assets above $10 billion, requiring enhanced stress testing, capital planning, and compliance infrastructure

Declining branch relevance as customers shift to mobile banking, potentially stranding fixed costs in physical infrastructure

Investor Profile

value - The 1.0x price-to-book ratio suggests the stock trades at tangible book value, attracting value investors seeking regional banks with solid fundamentals trading below historical averages. The 7.3% FCF yield appeals to income-focused investors. The modest 5.7% ROE indicates the bank is not a growth story but rather a steady, dividend-paying regional franchise. Recent 19.7% three-month performance suggests some momentum interest following potential rate environment improvements or acquisition synergies.

Watch on Earnings
Federal funds effective rate and forward guidance from FOMC meetings10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread as indicator of yield curve steepnessIllinois and Missouri unemployment rates as leading indicators of credit qualityCommercial real estate vacancy rates in Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and St. Louis markets
Health Radar
1 strong2 watch3 concern
33/100
Liquidity
1.84Watch
Leverage
0.26Strong
Coverage
0.9xConcern
ROE
8.8%Watch
ROIC
1.2%Concern
Cash
$181MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE11 analysts
HOLD
+9.0%upside to target
L $28.00
Med $29.00consensus
H $30.00
Buy
436%
Hold
764%
4 Buy (36%)7 Hold (64%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 54 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.84 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 10.4%

+12.5% vs SMA 50 · +24.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI54.1
Neutral territory
MACD+0.63
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$27.65+3.9%
Current
$26.61
EMA 50
$24.11-9.4%
EMA 200
$21.42-19.5%
52W Low
$20.91-21.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$20.9185th %ile$27.65
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:6
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)575K
Recent Vol (5D)
658K+14%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$436.3M
$431.9M$440.4M
$1.97
±1%
Low2
FY2024
$461.5M
$456.3M$466.7M
+5.8%$2.01+2.2%
±1%
High5
FY2025
$724.7M
$719.4M$730.0M
+57.0%$1.31-34.9%
±1%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryBUSE
Last 8Q
+5.1%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+6%
Q3'24
+7%
Q4'24
+2%
Q1'25
+8%
Q2'25
+3%
Q3'25
+5%
Q4'25
+11%
Q1'26
-2%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
StephensNeutral → Equal-Weight
Oct 14
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
2 Buys/4 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $20K sold · 30d window
Cassens Michael Dav…Dir
$20K
Apr 15
SELL
Bradshaw Stanley JDir
$10K
Mar 19
BUY
Cassens Michael Dav…Dir
$19K
Mar 16
SELL
Bradshaw Stanley JDir
$25K
Mar 6
BUY
Cassens Michael Dav…Dir
$20K
Feb 17
SELL
Cassens Michael Dav…Dir
$18K
Jan 15
SELL
Financials
Dividends3.83% yield
+4.7% avg annual growth
Annual Yield3.83%
Quarterly Div.$0.2600
Est. Annual / Share$1.04
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
597K
2
ProShare Advisors LLC
259K
3
OSBORNE PARTNERS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
210K
4
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
134K
5
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
69K
6
WEALTH ENHANCEMENT ADVISORY SERVICES, LLC
60K
7
North Star Investment Management Corp.
52K
8
SG Americas Securities, LLC
47K
News & Activity

BUSE News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

from outstanding product offerings to committed, service-driven associates—first busey corporation (nasdaq: buse) is the premier provider of financial services. busey is a $3.9 billion diversified financial holding company for busey bank and busey wealth management in champaign, illinois; firstech, inc. in decatur, illinois; and trevett capital partners in fort myers, florida. with a dedicated team of nearly 900 associates, busey serves the personal, business and wealth management needs of communities in central illinois, indianapolis, indiana and southwest florida. with more than 145 years of service, our strength is in our numbers. ranked in the top 3 percent of banks nationally, busey is consistently rated 5-star “superior” – the highest rating awarded by bauerfinancial. in addition, busey received the illinois bankers’ association community service award and honorable mentions in both the illinois governor’s sustainability award & green leaf award from banknews. join the award-

Industry
Monetary Authorities-Central Bank
CEO
Van Dukeman
Van A. DukemanChairman, President & CEO
Scott A. PhillipsExecutive Vice President & Chief Accounting Officer
Amy J. FaussExecutive Vice President and Chief Information & Technology Officer
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BUSE
$26.61+1.56%$2.3B11.0+5755.6%1295.8%1500
$312.47-0.24%$842.7B14.8+330.7%2039.3%1502
$328.03-0.55%$628.8B28.2+1134.0%5014.5%1498
$495.46-1.48%$438.6B28.4+1641.6%4564.7%1488
$53.24-0.41%$382.1B12.2-45.1%1592.6%1501
$190.18-0.22%$302.0B16.4+1147.7%1466.4%1516
$923.71-0.01%$274.1B15.5-138.4%1373.0%1515
Sector avg-0.19%18.1+1403.7%2478.0%1503