BXC
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-6.60%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 33Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
52.10
Open
51.72
Day Range47.34 – 52.34
47.34
52.34
52W Range44.78 – 88.30
44.78
88.30
9% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
100.7K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
2433.0x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.82
High vol
Performance
1D
-6.60%
5D
-12.32%
1M
-5.39%
3M
-38.37%
6M
-23.71%
YTD
-20.79%
1Y
-27.05%
Worst: 3M (-38.37%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
thin 15% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 2433x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 4.7 · FCF $6.14/sh
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$382.82M
Revenue TTM$2.95B
Net Income TTM$219.0K
Free Cash Flow$48.41M
Gross Margin15.0%
Net Margin0.0%
Operating Margin1.1%
Return on Equity0.0%
Return on Assets0.0%
Debt / Equity1.09
Current Ratio4.66
EPS TTM$0.03
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Housing starts and building permits data - directly drives structural product volumes which represent 40% of revenue

Lumber and OSB commodity prices - affects both revenue (price x volume) and inventory valuation gains/losses

Residential repair/remodeling activity - drives specialty product demand which carries higher margins

Gross margin trends - indicates pricing power, inventory management effectiveness, and product mix shift toward specialty

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - BlueLinx revenue is directly tied to residential construction activity, which is among the most cyclical sectors of the economy. The -5.9% revenue decline reflects current housing market weakness. During recessions, housing starts can decline 50%+ from peak, causing severe volume and margin compression. The 4.60x current ratio suggests the company has built liquidity to weather downturns, but thin 3% operating margins leave little buffer. Repair/remodeling activity (driving specialty products) is somewhat less cyclical than new construction but still discretionary spending sensitive to employment and consumer confidence.

Interest Rates

High indirect sensitivity through housing demand. Rising mortgage rates (currently elevated vs 2020-2021) reduce home affordability, suppressing housing starts and existing home sales (which drive remodeling). The company's 1.07x debt/equity creates moderate direct interest expense sensitivity, though the 4.60x current ratio suggests manageable near-term refinancing risk. Higher rates also increase inventory carrying costs and working capital financing expenses. The stock's recent volatility (38.6% gain in 3 months, -25.1% over 1 year) partly reflects rate-driven housing market uncertainty.

Key Risks

Disintermediation risk - Large manufacturers (LP, Georgia-Pacific) expanding direct-to-contractor sales, bypassing distributors; big-box retailers (Home Depot, Lowe's) capturing pro contractor wallet share with loyalty programs and scale

Commodity price volatility - Structural products tied to lumber/OSB prices which can swing 50%+ annually, creating inventory valuation risk and margin unpredictability; company lacks hedging mechanisms available to integrated manufacturers

Secular housing market headwinds - Affordability crisis, elevated mortgage rates, and demographic shifts may suppress housing formation rates below historical norms through the late 2020s

Investor Profile

value/cyclical - The 0.2x price/sales, 0.9x price/book, and 7.7% FCF yield attract deep value investors betting on housing market recovery. Recent 38.6% 3-month gain suggests momentum traders are entering on technical signals. The -25.1% 1-year return and thin margins deter growth investors. Suitable for investors with high risk tolerance who can time housing cycles and withstand 30-50% drawdowns during construction downturns. No dividend (given thin margins and working capital needs), so not income-focused.

Watch on Earnings
HOUST (Housing Starts) - Leading indicator for structural product demand, typically leads BlueLinx revenue by 1-2 quartersPERMIT (Building Permits) - Forward indicator of construction activity 3-6 months outMORTGAGE30US (30-Year Mortgage Rate) - Drives housing affordability and purchase activityLBUSD (Lumber Futures) - Directly impacts 25-30% of revenue and inventory valuation; proxy for structural product pricing
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
44/100
Liquidity
4.66Strong
Leverage
1.09Watch
Coverage
0.7xConcern
ROE
0.0%Concern
ROIC
2.3%Concern
Cash
$386MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
BUY
+39.7%upside to target
Buy
675%
Hold
225%
6 Buy (75%)2 Hold (25%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 33 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Accumulation
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 4.66 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 10.6%

-18.0% vs SMA 50 · -26.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI33.4
Momentum fading
MACD-2.53
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$88.30+81.5%
EMA 200
$62.60+28.6%
EMA 50
$60.41+24.1%
Current
$48.66
52W Low
$44.78-8.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$44.789th %ile$88.30
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:4
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)110K
Recent Vol (5D)
134K+22%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$3.0B
$3.0B$3.1B
$4.33
±3%
Low1
FY2025
$2.9B
$2.9B$3.0B
-2.5%$6.32+45.8%
±3%
Low2
FY2026(current)
$2.9B
$2.9B$3.0B
-0.0%$0.90-85.7%
±3%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryBXC
Last 8Q
+35.6%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates falling
+59%
Q2'24
-4%
Q3'24
+63%
Q4'24
+17%
Q1'25
Q2'25
-44%
Q3'25
+207%
Q4'25
-11%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
3 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Wall Christopher KSVP, CFO and T…
$210K
May 21
BUY
Wall Christopher KSVP, CFO and T…
$212K
May 20
BUY
Wall Christopher KSVP, CFO and T…
$77K
May 20
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
River Road Asset Management, LLC
244K
2
HARBOR CAPITAL ADVISORS, INC.
32K
3
Nuveen, LLC
23K
4
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
18K
5
SG Americas Securities, LLC
15K
6
FIFTH THIRD BANCORP
13K
7
Skopos Labs, Inc.
11K
8
LongView Wealth Management
8K
News & Activity

BXC News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

at bluelinx, delivering success is what our business is all about. as the leading building products distribution company in the industry, we provide the building blocks for residential and commercial construction, remodeling and repair, manufacturing, manufactured and modular housing, and homeowner projects. look to bluelinx for quality products, reliable distribution, knowledgeable people and innovative ideas. bluelinx has the organization and systems to help our customers accomplish their goals, and we invite you to discover how much we can deliver.

CEO
Mitchell Lewis
Michael WilsonSenior Advisor to the CEO
Kimberly A. DeBrockVice President & Chief Accounting Officer
Chad LeeVice President of Distribution & Operations
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BXC
$48.66-6.60%$383M+5.0%0.7%1500
$874.78-1.67%$407.0B43.0+429.0%1312.8%1522
$280.52-2.09%$293.1B33.6+1848.2%1488
$172.90-0.63%$232.8B32.1+974.1%1486
$221.30-2.67%$174.5B79.9+3449.4%249.7%1504
$422.44-0.73%$163.9B40.1+1033.0%1506
$263.41-1.09%$156.4B1505
Sector avg-2.21%45.7+1289.8%521.1%1502