CAAP
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-3.32%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 40Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
24.68
Open
24.32
Day Range23.70 – 24.48
23.70
24.48
52W Range17.36 – 30.50
17.36
30.50
49% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
266.0K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
15.7x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.36
Low vol
Performance
1D
-3.32%
5D
-8.65%
1M
-9.38%
3M
-14.66%
6M
+3.02%
YTD
-8.23%
1Y
+10.93%
Best: 1Y (+10.93%)Worst: 3M (-14.66%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +13% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 16x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.4 · FCF $2.70/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$3.89B
Revenue TTM$2.01B
Net Income TTM$252.90M
Free Cash Flow$447.06M
Gross Margin34.7%
Net Margin12.6%
Operating Margin24.3%
Return on Equity17.0%
Return on Assets5.7%
Debt / Equity0.70
Current Ratio1.35
EPS TTM$1.53
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Passenger traffic volumes across key hubs - particularly Buenos Aires Ezeiza international traffic and Brazilian domestic volumes which drive both aeronautical and high-margin commercial revenue

Argentine regulatory developments - tariff adjustments, peso/dollar exchange rate impacts on dollar-linked revenues, and political stability affecting Ezeiza operations

Commercial revenue per passenger (non-aeronautical yield) - retail spending trends, duty-free penetration rates, parking utilization driving margin expansion

Concession renewals and new airport acquisitions - portfolio expansion opportunities in Latin America where privatization continues

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Air travel demand is highly correlated with GDP growth, disposable income, and business activity. Leisure travel (60-70% of traffic) responds to consumer confidence and employment, while business travel tracks corporate spending and trade flows. Latin American exposure amplifies cyclicality given emerging market volatility. The 31.7% revenue growth reflects post-pandemic recovery, but normalized growth will track regional GDP plus 1-2% from aviation sector structural growth.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through two channels: (1) Debt service costs - 0.78x debt/equity suggests manageable leverage, but rising rates increase refinancing costs on concession-related debt; (2) Valuation multiple compression - infrastructure assets trade on yield spreads to government bonds, so rising rates pressure EV/EBITDA multiples. However, inflation-linked tariffs in most jurisdictions provide partial hedge as rate increases typically accompany inflation.

Key Risks

Argentine political and regulatory risk - government intervention in tariff setting, currency controls, or concession terms could impair the value of Ezeiza and other Argentine assets representing 40-45% of EBITDA

Concession expiration risk - agreements have finite terms (earliest renewals in 2030s), and unfavorable renewal terms or loss of concessions could materially impact asset base and cash flows

Climate change and sustainability regulations - potential carbon taxes on aviation, noise restrictions, or mandated green infrastructure investments could increase costs or reduce traffic

Investor Profile

value/growth hybrid - Attracts value investors seeking infrastructure assets trading at 8.6x EV/EBITDA (discount to global airport peers at 12-15x) with 8.4% FCF yield, while growth investors focus on 31.7% revenue growth and Latin American aviation penetration upside (region has 0.5 flights per capita vs 2.5 in developed markets). Emerging market specialists comfortable with Argentine political risk and currency volatility. Recent 47.6% one-year return suggests momentum investors are participating.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly passenger traffic reports by airport - leading indicator for quarterly revenue, particularly Ezeiza international and Brazilian domestic segmentsArgentine official exchange rate (ARS/USD) and parallel market spreads - impacts dollar-linked revenue realization and political risk premiumBrent crude oil prices - jet fuel costs affect airline economics and ticket prices, indirectly impacting travel demandBrazilian real exchange rate (BRL/USD) - translation impact on second-largest market representing 25-30% of EBITDA
Health Radar
3 strong3 watch
51/100
Liquidity
1.35Watch
Leverage
0.70Strong
Coverage
5.0xStrong
ROE
17.0%Strong
ROIC
9.8%Watch
Cash
$593MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE5 analysts
BUY
+29.9%upside to target
Buy
480%
Hold
120%
4 Buy (80%)1 Hold (20%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 40 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.35
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 27, 2026
In 103 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 30.5%

-6.1% vs SMA 50 · +22.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI39.9
Momentum fading
MACD-0.26
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$30.50+27.8%
EMA 50
$24.69+3.5%
Current
$23.86
EMA 200
$19.53-18.1%
52W Low
$17.36-27.2%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$17.3649th %ile$30.50
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:5
Edge:+4 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)262K
Recent Vol (5D)
254K-3%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$1.9B
$1.8B$1.9B
$1.47
±7%
Moderate3
FY2026(current)
$2.1B
$2.0B$2.1B
+10.2%$2.04+38.7%
±6%
Moderate3
FY2027
$2.2B
$2.0B$2.2B
+4.0%$2.36+15.7%
±6%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryCAAP
Last 8Q
-19.9%avg beat
Beat 1 of 8 quartersMissed 7 Estimates rising
-6%
Q3'24
-79%
Q4'24
-36%
Q1'25
-48%
Q2'25
-36%
Q3'25
-22%
Q4'25
+76%
Q1'26
-8%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
CitigroupBuy
Jan 9
UPGRADE
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Helikon Investments Ltd
13.2M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
1.4M
3
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
1.2M
4
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA
1.0M
5
MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd.
739K
6
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
703K
7
MORGAN STANLEY
675K
8
Empowered Funds, LLC
426K
News & Activity

CAAP News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CAAP
$23.86-3.32%$3.9B15.6+644.9%1262.5%1500
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$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-2.62%20.7+841.3%2012.5%1500