Oil prices still don't reflect the one-million-barrel loss due to the Iran War: ANZ
ANZ's Daniel Hynes says a dramatic drawdown in global crude inventories will finally push markets to…
Net interest margin expansion/compression driven by Fed policy and deposit beta (ability to reprice deposits slower than loan yields)
Loan portfolio growth, particularly commercial real estate and C&I originations in Maine markets
Credit quality metrics: non-performing assets ratio, provision expense, and charge-off trends in CRE and consumer portfolios
Deposit franchise stability: core deposit growth, mix shift between non-interest and interest-bearing accounts, and customer acquisition costs
moderate-high - Regional banks are cyclically sensitive as loan demand correlates with local economic activity. Maine's economy depends on tourism, healthcare, and small business activity, making CAC vulnerable to regional recessions. Commercial real estate exposure creates sensitivity to property values and occupancy rates. Consumer loan performance ties to employment and income levels in Maine markets.
High positive sensitivity to rising short-term rates through 2024-2025 as loan yields repriced faster than deposit costs, expanding NIM. However, as of February 2026, with rates potentially stabilizing or declining, NIM compression risk emerges if deposit costs remain elevated while loan yields fall. Asset-sensitive balance sheet means falling rates would pressure profitability. Inverted yield curve historically compresses NIM by increasing funding costs relative to loan yields.
Geographic concentration in Maine limits diversification and exposes bank to state-specific economic shocks, demographic challenges (aging population), and seasonal tourism volatility
Digital banking disruption from national fintech competitors and larger banks offering superior mobile platforms, potentially eroding deposit franchise among younger customers
Branch network efficiency challenges as customer preferences shift to digital channels, creating pressure to rationalize physical footprint while maintaining community presence
value/dividend - Regional banks attract income-focused investors seeking dividend yield (CAC likely yields 3-4%) and value investors buying below tangible book value. The 1.2x price/book suggests modest premium to book value, appealing to value investors. Strong recent performance (31.9% 3-month return) may attract momentum investors, but core investor base is dividend-oriented given 9.8% ROE and stable cash generation. Not a growth story given limited geographic expansion opportunities.
Trend
+1.8% vs SMA 50 · +13.3% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $162.2M $161.1M–$163.3M | — | $2.99 | — | ±1% | Low1 |
FY2024 | $175.0M $173.8M–$176.1M | ▲ +7.8% | $3.50 | ▲ +17.2% | ±0% | Moderate3 |
FY2025 | $253.8M $252.1M–$255.5M | ▲ +45.1% | $4.43 | ▲ +26.5% | ±0% | Moderate3 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
ANZ's Daniel Hynes says a dramatic drawdown in global crude inventories will finally push markets to…
camden national corporation (nasdaq:cac), founded in 1875 and headquartered in camden, maine, is the largest publicly traded bank holding company in northern new england with $3.9 billion in assets and nearly 650 employees. camden national bank, its subsidiary, is a full-service community bank that offers an array of consumer and business financial products and services, accompanied by the latest in digital banking technology to empower customers to bank the way they want. the bank provides personalized service through a network of 60 banking centers, 76 atms, and lending offices in new hampshire and massachusetts, all complimented by 24/7 live phone support. comprehensive wealth management, investment, and financial planning services are delivered by camden national wealth management. to learn more, visit camdennational.com. member fdic.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CAC◀ | $48.84 | +0.00% | $829M | — | — | — | 1500 |
| $312.47 | -0.24% | $842.7B | 14.8 | +330.7% | 2039.3% | 1502 | |
| $328.03 | -0.55% | $628.8B | 28.2 | +1134.0% | 5014.5% | 1498 | |
| $495.46 | -1.48% | $438.6B | 28.4 | +1641.6% | 4564.7% | 1488 | |
| $53.24 | -0.41% | $382.1B | 12.2 | -45.1% | 1592.6% | 1501 | |
| $190.18 | -0.22% | $302.0B | 16.4 | +1147.7% | 1466.4% | 1516 | |
| $923.71 | -0.01% | $274.1B | 15.5 | -138.4% | 1373.0% | 1515 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.42% | — | 19.3 | +678.4% | 2675.1% | 1503 |