CACI
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.20%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 41Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
519.54
Open
522.72
Day Range508.62 – 529.94
508.62
529.94
52W Range409.62 – 683.50
409.62
683.50
38% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
276.9K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
21.2x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.54
Low vol
Performance
1D
-1.20%
5D
-1.04%
1M
-10.83%
3M
-16.18%
6M
-8.71%
YTD
-3.66%
1Y
+10.82%
Best: 1Y (+10.82%)Worst: 3M (-16.18%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +10% · 15% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 21x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.6 · FCF $28.37/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$11.34B
Revenue TTM$9.16B
Net Income TTM$536.91M
Free Cash Flow$625.69M
Gross Margin14.9%
Net Margin5.9%
Operating Margin9.3%
Return on Equity13.1%
Return on Assets4.6%
Debt / Equity1.31
Current Ratio1.61
EPS TTM$24.35
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Federal defense and intelligence budget appropriations - particularly OCO (Overseas Contingency Operations) and classified program funding levels

Major contract recompete outcomes on programs >$100M annual value, especially INSCOM and NSA vehicles

Organic revenue growth rates on existing contracts (target 3-5% annually) driven by scope expansions and task order wins

Acquisition integration success and accretion from tuck-in M&A in adjacent capabilities (historical 1-2 deals annually in $100-500M range)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Revenue is 95%+ derived from federal government contracts with multi-year funding appropriations, insulating the business from GDP fluctuations and private sector demand cycles. However, fiscal policy debates, debt ceiling negotiations, and continuing resolutions can create short-term volatility in contract awards and funding releases. Defense and intelligence spending has demonstrated resilience across economic cycles, with bipartisan support for national security missions providing stable demand even during recessions.

Interest Rates

Rising rates have moderate negative impact through two channels: (1) higher borrowing costs on the company's $1.4B debt (estimated 70% floating rate exposure based on typical government contractor capital structures), increasing annual interest expense by $7-14M per 100bps rate increase, and (2) valuation multiple compression as investors rotate from growth stocks to higher-yielding alternatives, particularly impacting the 12x EV/EBITDA multiple which is above historical 10-11x average. Partially offset by potential for higher risk-free rates to increase government contract pricing on cost-plus vehicles with built-in cost escalation clauses.

Key Risks

Federal budget constraints and deficit reduction pressures could limit defense and intelligence spending growth, particularly impacting discretionary IT modernization programs versus readiness and procurement accounts

Increasing competition from large defense primes (Lockheed, Northrop, Raytheon) expanding into IT services and cloud hyperscalers (AWS, Microsoft, Google) winning direct agency contracts through enterprise agreements, compressing margins on commodity IT work

Security clearance processing delays and workforce availability constraints in tight labor market for specialized cyber and signals intelligence talent, limiting ability to staff new contract wins and driving wage inflation

Investor Profile

growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) investors seeking exposure to secular defense technology trends with 10-15% earnings growth, supported by 66.5% one-year return attracting momentum investors. The 3.9% FCF yield and strong 13.2% ROE appeal to quality-focused institutional investors, while low 0.11 debt/equity ratio attracts conservative growth managers. Limited dividend (estimated <1% yield based on sector norms) means income investors underrepresented. Recent 12.6% revenue growth and 19.8% EPS growth above sector averages positions stock as growth play within defensive government services category.

Watch on Earnings
DoD base budget and OCO appropriations levels in annual NDAA (National Defense Authorization Act) - particularly RDT&E and O&M accountsIntelligence Community budget trends (classified topline disclosed annually) as proxy for signals intelligence and cyber program fundingFederal IT spending as percentage of total federal budget and cloud adoption rates across agencies (OMB reporting)Cleared workforce unemployment rate and wage inflation for TS/SCI positions (tracked by ClearanceJobs index)
Health Radar
4 watch2 concern
38/100
Liquidity
1.61Watch
Leverage
1.31Watch
Coverage
4.5xWatch
ROE
13.1%Watch
ROIC
6.6%Concern
Cash
$106MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE28 analysts
BUY
+51.2%upside to target
L $550.00
Med $776.00consensus
H $800.00
Buy
2071%
Hold
829%
20 Buy (71%)8 Hold (29%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 41 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.61 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 10, 2026
In 99 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 1.7%

-8.3% vs SMA 50 · -6.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI41.0
Momentum fading
MACD-14.34
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$683.5+33.2%
EMA 50
$542.2+5.6%
Current
$513.3
EMA 200
$478.2-6.8%
52W Low
$409.6-20.2%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$409.638th %ile$683.5
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:3
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)271K
Recent Vol (5D)
195K-28%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 11 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$7.6B
$7.5B$7.6B
$20.37
±1%
High11
FY2025
$8.6B
$8.6B$8.7B
+14.1%$24.64+21.0%
±3%
High11
FY2026(current)
$9.5B
$9.4B$9.6B
+10.8%$28.22+14.5%
±1%
High10
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryCACI
Last 8Q
+13.2%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+11%
Q3'24
+17%
Q4'24
+13%
Q1'25
+13%
Q2'25
+28%
Q3'25
+11%
Q4'25
+6%
Q1'26
+5%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Goldman SachsBuy
Aug 13
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesMarket Perform → Outperform
Jan 2
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesBuy → Market Perform
Aug 5
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform → Buy
Jan 5
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight → Equal-Weight
Jan 5
DOWNGRADE
JefferiesBuy
Jul 12
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight → Overweight
Jan 3
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/3 SellsNet Selling
Plunkett Debora ADir
$133K
Mar 11
SELL
Koegel J William JrEVP, General C…
$1.2M
Feb 10
SELL
Jews William LDir
$1.8M
Dec 10
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
River Road Asset Management, LLC
149K
2
ROYAL LONDON ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD
83K
3
DEROY & DEVEREAUX PRIVATE INVESTMENT COUNSEL INC
74K
4
Steigerwald, Gordon & Koch Inc.
61K
5
Nuveen, LLC
54K
6
FORT WASHINGTON INVESTMENT ADVISORS INC /OH/
51K
7
ROMANO BROTHERS AND COMPANY
45K
8
Retirement Systems of Alabama
40K
News & Activity

CACI News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

caci provides information solutions and services in support of national security missions and government transformation for intelligence, defense, and federal civilian customers. a fortune magazine world's most admired company in the it services industry, caci is a member of the fortune 1000 largest companies, the russell 2000 index, and the s&p smallcap 600 index, caci provides dynamic careers for over 16,300 employees in 120 offices worldwide. visit www.caci.com.

CEO
John Mengucci
Eric F. BlazerSenior Vice President, Corporate Controller, Chief Accounting Officer
George A. Price Jr.Senior Vice President of Investor Relations
Gino BonaExecutive Vice President of Corporate Communications
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CACI
$513.29-1.20%$11.3B21.1+1263.7%579.3%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$316.0B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.4-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.74%21.3+905.0%1840.6%1500