CDRE
Earnings in 6 days · May 11, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.57%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 34Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
29.85
Open
29.41
Day Range28.96 – 30.33
28.96
30.33
52W Range27.32 – 48.76
27.32
48.76
10% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
377.6K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
28.8x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
0.95
Market-like
Performance
1D
-1.57%
5D
-0.58%
1M
-9.77%
3M
-28.91%
6M
-30.92%
YTD
-28.06%
1Y
-1.34%
Worst: 6M (-30.92%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +8% YoY · 42% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 29x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 3.5 · FCF $1.37/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.26B
Revenue TTM$610.31M
Net Income TTM$44.14M
Free Cash Flow$56.85M
Gross Margin41.6%
Net Margin7.2%
Operating Margin11.6%
Return on Equity13.5%
Return on Assets5.7%
Debt / Equity1.01
Current Ratio3.50
EPS TTM$1.06
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Federal law enforcement and DHS procurement budget allocations - large contract awards (e.g., CBP, ICE, Federal Protective Service orders) can move revenue 5-10% quarterly

State and local public safety funding cycles - driven by tax revenues, ballot measures for police funding, and officer safety initiatives following high-profile incidents

Military modernization spending - DoD contracts for special operations gear, EOD equipment upgrades, and foreign military sales through FMS programs

New product certifications and contract wins - NIJ Level III/IV armor certifications, sole-source designations with major agencies

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low-to-moderate - Revenue is primarily driven by government budgets rather than GDP growth, providing defensive characteristics during recessions. However, state/local funding is tied to tax revenues (sales tax, property tax), creating modest cyclicality. Federal spending is counter-cyclical during security threats but faces budget constraints during deficit reduction periods. Industrial production affects manufacturing costs but not end-demand materially.

Interest Rates

Rising rates have mixed impact: (1) Negative for valuation multiples as defensive growth stocks compress when risk-free rates rise, (2) Modest negative for state/local budgets as debt service costs increase, reducing discretionary public safety spending, (3) Minimal direct impact as company has manageable debt levels (0.98 D/E) and government customers are not rate-sensitive. The 20x EV/EBITDA multiple is vulnerable to rate-driven multiple compression.

Key Risks

Political risk around law enforcement funding - 'defund the police' movements or budget reallocations away from tactical equipment could pressure revenue, though recent trends show reversals toward increased public safety spending

Regulatory changes to qualified immunity or use-of-force standards could reduce demand for certain tactical products (less-lethal weapons, riot gear) if deployment restrictions tighten

Technological disruption from non-lethal alternatives or advanced materials that commoditize ballistic protection, though NIJ certification creates 3-5 year product cycles that slow disruption

Investor Profile

growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) - 17.6% revenue growth with 11.8% operating margins attracts growth investors, while defensive government revenue base and 1.5% FCF yield appeal to quality-focused value investors. Recent 45% six-month return suggests momentum investors are participating. Not a dividend story (likely minimal payout given growth reinvestment). Institutional ownership likely high given $1.7B market cap and defense sector appeal.

Watch on Earnings
Federal discretionary spending on law enforcement and homeland security (DHS, DOJ, CBP budgets) - tracks 40-50% of revenue baseState and local tax revenue growth - leading indicator for public safety capital expenditures with 6-12 month lagDoD procurement budget for special operations and EOD programs - drives military segment growthNIJ body armor certification pipeline - new Level III+/IV certifications unlock contract opportunities worth $50-100M+ over product lifecycle
Health Radar
2 strong3 watch1 concern
58/100
Liquidity
3.50Strong
Leverage
1.01Watch
Coverage
6.0xStrong
ROE
13.5%Watch
ROIC
7.4%Concern
Cash
$123MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE9 analysts
BUY
+75.3%upside to target
L $50.00
Med $51.50consensus
H $53.00
Buy
667%
Hold
222%
Sell
111%
6 Buy (67%)2 Hold (22%)1 Sell (11%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 34 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.50 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 17.4%

-23.9% vs SMA 50 · -10.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI34.1
Momentum fading
MACD-3.26
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$48.76+66.0%
EMA 50
$36.06+22.7%
EMA 200
$32.02+9.0%
Current
$29.38
52W Low
$27.32-7.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$27.3210th %ile$48.76
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:2
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)279K
Recent Vol (5D)
168K-40%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$531.9M
$525.3M$542.9M
$1.04
±2%
Low2
FY2024
$563.3M
$560.9M$568.5M
+5.9%$1.03-1.1%
±14%
High5
FY2025
$626.0M
$624.3M$627.4M
+11.1%$1.19+15.4%
±6%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryCDRE
Last 8Q
+9.8%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3
-22%
Q2'24
+15%
Q3'24
+50%
Q4'24
-33%
Q1'25
+77%
Q2'25
+20%
Q3'25
+4%
Q4'25
-33%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Kanders Warren BDir
$3.1M
Mar 20
SELL
Kanders Warren BDir
$3.2M
Mar 23
SELL
Browers BlaineCFO
$895K
Dec 12
SELL
Williams BradPRESIDENT
$1.0M
Dec 10
SELL
Kanders Warren BDir
$3.4M
Nov 17
SELL
Kanders Warren BDir
$49.0M
Nov 17
SELL
Financials
Dividends1.33% yield
+7.9% avg annual growth
Annual Yield1.33%
Semi-Annual Div.$0.1000
Est. Annual / Share$0.20
FrequencySemi-Annual
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
REINHART PARTNERS, INC.
2.2M
2
DEPRINCE RACE & ZOLLO INC
160K
3
CORBYN INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC/MD
99K
4
OAK RIDGE INVESTMENTS LLC
88K
5
HARBOR CAPITAL ADVISORS, INC.
60K
6
CONGRESS ASSET MANAGEMENT CO /MA
54K
7
Nuveen, LLC
48K
8
KORNITZER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC /KS
32K
News & Activity

CDRE News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CDRE
$29.38-1.57%$1.3B27.6+753.2%723.2%1500
$874.78-1.67%$407.0B43.0+429.0%1312.8%1522
$280.52-2.09%$293.1B33.6+1848.2%1488
$172.90-0.63%$232.8B32.1+974.1%1486
$221.30-2.67%$174.5B79.9+3449.4%249.7%1504
$422.44-0.73%$163.9B40.1+1033.0%1506
$263.41-1.09%$156.4B1505
Sector avg-1.49%42.7+1414.5%761.9%1502