CDZI
Next earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Signal
Leaning Bearish12
Price
1
Move-11.21%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume2.8× avgSurge — unusual activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 35Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
4.64
Open
4.65
Day Range3.95 – 4.67
3.95
4.67
52W Range2.58 – 6.96
2.58
6.96
35% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
702.5K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-9.0x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.03
Market-like
Performance
1D
-11.21%
5D
-13.45%
1M
-16.09%
3M
-16.09%
6M
-20.77%
YTD
-26.56%
1Y
+39.66%
Best: 1Y (+39.66%)Worst: YTD (-26.56%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +31% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 1.9 · FCF negative
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$346.44M
Revenue TTM$14.99M
Net Income TTM-$33.18M
Free Cash Flow-$27.32M
Gross Margin31.3%
Net Margin-221.3%
Operating Margin-166.1%
Return on Equity-129.9%
Return on Assets-22.7%
Debt / Equity2.05
Current Ratio1.88
EPS TTM$-0.40
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Regulatory approval milestones for Cadiz Water Project (California State Lands Commission lease decisions, BLM right-of-way permits)

Execution of binding water supply agreements with Southern California water districts specifying volume commitments and pricing terms

California drought severity and water shortage declarations that increase urgency for alternative supply sources

Project financing announcements and capital raising events given negative free cash flow profile

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Water utility demand is highly inelastic and non-cyclical, as residential and municipal water consumption remains stable across economic cycles. However, as a development-stage company, Cadiz faces indirect cyclical exposure through capital markets access for project financing and municipal budget constraints affecting water agencies' willingness to commit to long-term supply contracts during economic downturns. Agricultural operations provide minimal revenue diversification with some commodity price sensitivity.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create significant headwinds for Cadiz through multiple channels: (1) higher cost of project financing for capital-intensive infrastructure development, reducing project IRRs and potentially delaying construction timelines; (2) increased discount rates applied to long-dated water supply cash flows, compressing valuation multiples for development-stage assets; (3) competition from fixed-income securities for investor capital, particularly problematic given the company's negative cash flow profile requiring ongoing equity or debt raises. The company's 1.11 debt-to-equity ratio indicates moderate leverage that becomes more burdensome as rates rise.

Key Risks

Regulatory and permitting risk: California State Lands Commission, Bureau of Land Management, and environmental agencies control project viability through permit approvals that face political opposition and lengthy review processes extending beyond a decade

Climate and hydrological risk: Aquifer recharge rates, sustainable yield calculations, and long-term water availability depend on precipitation patterns and groundwater modeling assumptions that may prove incorrect under climate change scenarios

Water rights litigation: California's complex water law framework creates ongoing legal challenges from environmental groups, Native American tribes, and competing water users that can block or delay project development indefinitely

Investor Profile

growth/speculative - The stock attracts investors seeking asymmetric upside from successful water project development and regulatory approvals, willing to accept binary risk and extended timelines. The negative cash flow profile, minimal current revenue, and dependence on future project monetization appeal to venture-style equity investors rather than value or income investors. High volatility and event-driven catalysts (permit decisions, contract announcements) attract momentum traders around regulatory milestones.

Watch on Earnings
California reservoir storage levels and State Water Project allocation percentages as indicators of water scarcity urgencyMetropolitan Water District of Southern California water supply portfolio and shortage declarations driving demand for alternative sourcesMunicipal bond yields and infrastructure project financing costs affecting project economicsCalifornia State Lands Commission meeting agendas and voting outcomes on Cadiz lease applications
Health Radar
1 watch5 concern
19/100
Liquidity
1.88Watch
Leverage
2.05Concern
Coverage
-5.5xConcern
ROE
-129.9%Concern
ROIC
-18.6%Concern
Cash
$9MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE2 analysts
BUY
+142.7%upside to target
Buy
2100%
2 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 35 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.88 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 18, 2026
In 125 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 14.8%

-22.6% vs SMA 50 · -11.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI35.4
Momentum fading
MACD-0.19
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$6.96+68.9%
EMA 50
$5.16+25.4%
EMA 200
$4.54+10.3%
Current
$4.12
52W Low
$2.58-37.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$2.5835th %ile$6.96
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:7
Dist days:5
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)695K
Recent Vol (5D)
928K+34%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$16.0M
$10.7M$20.0M
-$0.46
±38%
Low1
FY2026(current)
$18.1M
$15.4M$20.8M
+13.0%-$0.42
±31%
Low2
FY2027
$36.6M
$22.5M$50.6M
+102.3%-$0.23
±50%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryCDZI
Last 8Q
-29.1%avg beat
Beat 0 of 8 quartersMissed 8 Estimates rising
-50%
Q3'24
-9%
Q4'24
-75%
Q1'25
-27%
Q2'25
-22%
Q3'25
-11%
Q4'25
-18%
Q1'26
-20%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Heerema Internation…10 Percent Own…
$6.9M
Nov 5
BUY
Kennedy Susan PDir
$56K
Apr 18
BUY
Heerema Internation…10 Percent Own…
$5.0M
Mar 6
BUY
Heerema Internation…10 Percent Own…
$0
Mar 6
BUY
Kennedy Susan PDir
$19K
Jan 4
BUY
Hickox Winston HDir
$10K
Sep 25
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Whitefort Capital Management, LP
4.0M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
3.8M
3
LEVIN CAPITAL STRATEGIES, L.P.
3.8M
4
BARCLAYS PLC
3.7M
5
STONEHILL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
1.9M
6
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
1.4M
7
STATE STREET CORP
1.3M
8
MORGAN STANLEY
1.0M
News & Activity

CDZI News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

founded in 1983, cadiz inc. is a renewable resource company that owns over 70 square miles of land with significant water resources in southern california. the company's properties, which are located at three sites in california's eastern mojave desert, offer abundant and renewable sources of clean water, an ideal environment for organic farming, and excellent land conservation opportunities. the company maintains an organic agricultural operation at its primary property in the cadiz valley and manages the largest desert tortoise land conservation bank in california. the company is also pursuing the cadiz valley water conservation, recovery and storage project, known as the cadiz water project, which will capture and conserve billions of gallons of renewable groundwater that is presently lost to evaporation and provide a new, sustainable water supply. through the active and safe management of the groundwater aquifer system at the site, the cadiz water project will reduce an ongoing los

Sector
Industry
Water Supply and Irrigation Systems
CEO
Scott Slater
PeersUtilities(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CDZI
$4.12-11.21%$345M+6978.6%-20921.4%1500
$1049.23-3.79%$281.9B30.1+894.3%1283.0%1527
$93.36-2.42%$194.7B23.8+1100.1%2487.3%1511
$92.55-1.21%$104.3B23.8+1058.6%1468.9%1503
$120.95-2.70%$94.3B18.3+619.3%1541.1%1498
$267.20-2.93%$83.4B35.9+833.8%908.2%1493
$125.15-2.68%$68.1B18.6+937.2%1643.5%1506
Sector avg-3.85%25.1+1774.5%-1655.6%1505