CLF
Next earnings: Jul 20, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+3.90%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume0.4× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 63Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
10.25
Open
10.40
Day Range10.26 – 10.73
10.26
10.73
52W Range5.63 – 16.70
5.63
16.70
45% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
21.1M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-4.6x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.50
Market-like
Performance
1D
+3.90%
5D
+3.90%
1M
+24.85%
3M
-23.10%
6M
+1.33%
YTD
-19.80%
1Y
+22.84%
Best: 1M (+24.85%)Worst: 3M (-23.10%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
thin -3% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 2.0 · FCF negative
Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$6.07B
Revenue TTM$18.90B
Net Income TTM-$1.21B
Free Cash Flow-$997.00M
Gross Margin-2.8%
Net Margin-6.4%
Operating Margin-6.4%
Return on Equity-20.9%
Return on Assets-6.0%
Debt / Equity1.33
Current Ratio2.02
EPS TTM$-2.15
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Hot-rolled coil (HRC) steel spot prices and forward curve - benchmark pricing for flat-rolled products

North American automotive production volumes and inventory levels at Detroit Three OEMs

Capacity utilization rates across integrated mills and blast furnace operating status (idling/restarts)

Raw material input costs - metallurgical coal, natural gas, scrap steel prices

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Steel demand is highly procyclical, driven by automotive production (40-50% of sales), construction activity, and industrial capex. Automotive builds correlate with consumer confidence and financing availability. Infrastructure spending links to government budgets and private construction. Current negative margins reflect demand destruction in manufacturing recession. Revenue typically swings ±20-30% peak-to-trough in economic cycles.

Interest Rates

Moderate direct impact through $4-5B net debt burden (interest expense pressure from rising rates) and automotive end-market sensitivity (higher rates reduce vehicle affordability, dampen production). Valuation multiples compress when rates rise as capital-intensive, low-ROIC steel assets become less attractive. However, primary driver is steel pricing, not rates.

Key Risks

Secular decline in North American automotive steel intensity due to lightweighting (aluminum, composites, high-strength steel requiring less tonnage) and EV transition reducing total parts count

Global overcapacity in steel production, particularly China's 1 billion+ ton capacity creating persistent import pressure despite tariffs

Energy transition risk to blast furnace model - carbon costs, regulatory pressure favoring EAF/scrap-based production over iron ore-based steelmaking

Investor Profile

value - Stock trades at 0.3x sales, 0.8x book value reflecting deep cyclical trough valuation. Attracts distressed/special situations investors betting on steel price recovery, operational turnaround, or restructuring. Negative earnings and cash flow deter growth/quality investors. High volatility suits tactical traders playing commodity cycles.

Watch on Earnings
Midwest hot-rolled coil (HRC) steel spot price - benchmark for flat-rolled pricingNorth American light vehicle SAAR (seasonally adjusted annual rate) - automotive demand proxyUS industrial production index - manufacturing demand indicatorMetallurgical coal and iron ore pellet prices - key raw material costs
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
21/100
Liquidity
2.02Strong
Leverage
1.33Watch
Coverage
-2.0xConcern
ROE
-20.9%Concern
ROIC
-5.0%Concern
Cash
$57MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE30 analysts
HOLD
+3.3%upside to target
L $9.42
Med $11.00consensus
H $13.00
Buy
930%
Hold
1240%
Sell
930%
9 Buy (30%)12 Hold (40%)9 Sell (30%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
9/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 63 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.02 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 7, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 4, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 13, 2026
In 99 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 17.6%

+13.0% vs SMA 50 · -6.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI63.2
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.33
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$16.70+56.8%
Current
$10.65
EMA 200
$10.38-2.5%
EMA 50
$9.93-6.8%
52W Low
$5.63-47.1%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$5.6345th %ile$16.70
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:1
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)36.0M
Recent Vol (5D)
40.7M+13%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 9 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$19.3B
$19.2B$19.3B
-$0.57
±50%
High5
FY2025
$18.9B
$18.8B$18.9B
-2.0%-$2.50
±2%
High8
FY2026(current)
$20.6B
$19.3B$21.3B
+8.9%-$0.48
±50%
High9
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryCLF
Last 8Q
+18.7%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates falling
+100%
Q3'24
-6%
Q4'24
-5%
Q1'25
-11%
Q2'25
+26%
Q3'25
+6%
Q4'25
+31%
Q1'26
+9%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Seaport GlobalBuy → Neutral
Jan 23
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight → Overweight
Jan 9
UPGRADE
KeyBancOverweight → Sector Weight
Jan 7
DOWNGRADE
Wells FargoNegative → Underweight
Oct 21
DOWNGRADE
JefferiesUnderperform → Hold
May 29
DOWNGRADE
GLJ ResearchSell → Buy
Jan 7
UPGRADE
Seaport GlobalNeutral → Buy
Aug 27
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesStrong Buy → Market Perform
Jun 11
DOWNGRADE
GLJ ResearchBuy → Sell
Jun 6
DOWNGRADE
Wolfe ResearchUnderperform
Apr 9
DOWNGRADE
GLJ ResearchSell → Buy
Mar 28
UPGRADE
CitigroupNeutral → Buy
Sep 25
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
3 Buys/3 SellsNeutral
Smith Clifford TCOO
$2.1M
Feb 17
SELL
Camara EdilsonDir
$200K
Feb 13
BUY
Goncalves LourencoDir
$37.3M
Feb 11
SELL
Graham James DEVP Chief Lega…
$822K
May 23
SELL
Baldwin John TDir
$35K
Mar 10
BUY
Koci KeithEVP & Presiden…
$103K
Feb 28
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Douglas Lane & Associates, LLC
2.4M
2
Hodges Capital Management Inc.
2.1M
3
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
2.0M
4
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
1.3M
5
SFE Investment Counsel
895K
6
Nuveen, LLC
753K
7
SG Americas Securities, LLC
728K
8
Retirement Systems of Alabama
699K
News & Activity

CLF News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

arcelormittal usa is part of arcelormittal, the world’s leading steel and mining company. guided by a philosophy to produce safe, sustainable steel, we are a leading supplier of quality steel products in major north american markets including automotive, construction, pipe and tube, appliance, container and machinery. arcelormittal usa employs more than 20,000 people at 27 operations across 13 of the united states. we aim to give our employees every chance to flourish in their careers and grow as part of a global company. we offer a wealth of diverse opportunities. whether you work in production in pennsylvania or as a purchaser in indiana, joining arcelormittal is the start of a journey that, we hope, will lead to a rewarding career. we are always looking for the best and brightest minds to help us transform the future of steel.

CEO
Lourenco Goncalves
Patrick BloomExecutive Vice President of Government Relations
Paul FinanExecutive Vice President of Strategic Development
Robert H. FischerExecutive Vice President of Human Resources & Labor Relations
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CLF
$10.65+3.90%$6.1B-299.7%-794.2%1500
$394.41-1.79%$2.0T30.2+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.26-0.76%$307.0B23.5+586.3%1305.9%1500
$87.40-3.03%$300.4B13.3+318.8%1510.7%1500
$181.24-1.21%$281.0B26.8+862.9%1745.9%1500
$145.50+0.61%$277.6B20.6+597.3%2564.4%1500
$89.71+0.50%$254.0B14.5-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.25%21.5+681.6%1644.4%1500