CLW
Next earnings: Jul 28, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-3.43%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 45Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
13.72
Open
13.58
Day Range13.24 – 13.72
13.24
13.72
52W Range11.73 – 30.96
11.73
30.96
8% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
220.6K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-3.6x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.58
Low vol
Performance
1D
-3.43%
5D
-2.72%
1M
-11.19%
3M
-24.67%
6M
-27.48%
YTD
-23.85%
1Y
-54.42%
Worst: 1Y (-54.42%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +2% · 5% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 2.6 · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$213.66M
Revenue TTM$1.54B
Net Income TTM-$25.10M
Free Cash Flow-$53.90M
Gross Margin5.1%
Net Margin-1.6%
Operating Margin-0.9%
Return on Equity-3.1%
Return on Assets-1.6%
Debt / Equity0.10
Current Ratio2.61
EPS TTM$-1.56
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Pulp and paperboard pricing trends - benchmark prices for bleached hardwood kraft pulp and solid bleached sulfate paperboard

Capacity utilization rates at Lewiston and Shelby mills - breakeven typically requires 85%+ utilization

Private-label tissue contract renewals and pricing with major retail customers

Wood fiber and energy cost inflation - natural gas prices directly impact conversion costs

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Both segments are cyclically sensitive. Consumer tissue demand is relatively stable but private-label share gains depend on consumer trade-down behavior during recessions. Paperboard demand is directly tied to consumer packaged goods volumes, foodservice activity, and retail packaging needs. Industrial production and retail sales are leading indicators. Housing activity affects tissue consumption indirectly through household formation.

Interest Rates

Rising rates increase borrowing costs on variable-rate debt and make refinancing more expensive, which is critical given the 0.52 debt/equity ratio and negative cash flow. Higher rates also pressure valuation multiples for capital-intensive, low-growth industrials. The company's distressed financial position makes it highly vulnerable to tightening credit conditions.

Key Risks

Secular decline in paper demand as digital substitution continues for certain grades, though tissue and food packaging remain more resilient

Environmental regulations increasing compliance costs for pulp mill emissions, water discharge, and forestry practices

Consolidation among retail customers increasing buyer power and pressuring private-label tissue pricing

Investor Profile

distressed/special situations - The extreme valuation metrics (174.7x P/S, 329.2x P/B), negative margins, and 39.3% one-year decline suggest this attracts distressed debt investors, bankruptcy/restructuring specialists, or deep value investors betting on operational turnaround. Traditional long-only equity investors would avoid given the financial distress signals. High risk/high potential reward profile.

Watch on Earnings
Bleached hardwood kraft pulp benchmark pricing (BHKP) - key input cost and pricing referenceNatural gas spot prices (Henry Hub) - major energy cost component for pulp productionRetail sales excluding autos - proxy for consumer tissue and packaging demandIndustrial production index - leading indicator for paperboard demand from CPG customers
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
31/100
Liquidity
2.61Strong
Leverage
0.10Strong
Coverage
-0.8xConcern
ROE
-3.1%Concern
ROIC
-0.9%Concern
Cash
$31KConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE10 analysts
BUY
+17.0%upside to target
L $12.00
Med $15.50consensus
H $19.00
Strong Buy
110%
Buy
550%
Hold
440%
6 Buy (60%)4 Hold (40%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 45 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.61 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 27, 2026
In 103 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 22.0%

-7.0% vs SMA 50 · -27.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI45.4
Neutral territory
MACD-0.33
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$30.96+133.7%
EMA 200
$18.82+42.1%
EMA 50
$14.60+10.2%
Current
$13.25
52W Low
$11.73-11.5%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$11.738th %ile$30.96
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:2
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)199K
Recent Vol (5D)
159K-20%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$2.1B
$2.1B$2.2B
$0.00
Low1
FY2024
$1.9B
$1.9B$2.0B
-7.9%$0.62
±3%
Low1
FY2025
$1.6B
$1.5B$1.6B
-20.4%-$1.31
±50%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryCLW
Last 8Q
-120.5%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates falling
-240%
Q3'24
-321%
Q4'24
-255%
Q1'25
-312%
Q2'25
+142%
Q3'25
+4%
Q4'25
+15%
Q1'26
+2%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Analysts turning cautious
30d01
90d01
Cowen & Co.Buy → Hold
Apr 29
DOWNGRADE
RBC CapitalSector Perform → Outperform
Oct 18
UPGRADE
RBC CapitalOutperform
Aug 3
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/3 SellsNet Selling
Bowden Steve MSr. V.P.
$161K
Nov 28
SELL
Moyes Kari G.SVP, HR
$27K
Mar 17
SELL
Moyes Kari G.SVP, HR
$74K
Feb 27
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
SOUTHEASTERN ASSET MANAGEMENT INC/TN/
1.5M
2
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.3M
3
BlackRock, Inc.
1.2M
4
READYSTATE ASSET MANAGEMENT LP
781K
5
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC
503K
6
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
391K
7
STATE STREET CORP
341K
8
Invenomic Capital Management LP
304K
News & Activity

CLW News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

clearwater paper manufactures quality consumer tissue, away-from-home tissue, parent roll tissue, bleached paperboard and pulp at manufacturing facilities across the nation. we are a premier supplier of private label tissue to major retailers and wholesale distributors, including grocery, drug, mass merchants and discount stores. in addition, we produce bleached paperboard used by quality-conscious printers and packaging converters. our employees build shareholder value by developing strong customer partnerships through quality and service.

Industry
Paperboard Mills
CEO
Arsen Kitch
Cheri EllisonVice President of Strategy & Corporate Finance
Steven BowdenSenior Vice President of Commercial
Sherri BakerSenior Vice President of Fin. & Chief Financial Officer
PeersBasic Materials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CLW
$13.25-3.43%$214M+1241.7%-119.6%1500
$506.11-1.08%$234.1B33.0+297.2%2029.7%1506
$109.06-6.25%$116.4B14.0+1907.6%3206.3%1507
$63.01-4.73%$90.6B33.3+112.4%856.2%1516
$300.10-2.94%$74.0B28.4+206.0%1089.5%1477
$247.62-0.51%$69.7B33.2+215.9%1290.7%1473
$295.38-1.50%$65.8B31.2-52.3%-327.7%1502
Sector avg-2.92%28.8+561.2%1146.4%1497