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CODQL(CODQL)

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CODQL(CODQL)

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8/26/26

CORONADO GLOBAL RESOURCES (CODQL)

Wednesday

9:48 AM

Thesis: The company faces increasing operational risks from regulatory pressures and high debt levels, overshadowing potential benefits from rising coal prices.

Revenue Outlook

Metric	FY2025	FY2026E	FY2027E
Revenue	$2.0B	$2.3B	$2.5B
Rev. Growth	-17.5%	+11.9%	+11.1%
EPS	$-0.27	$-0.19	$0.04
EPS Growth	-4054%	+28.0%	+119%
P/E (fwd)	—	—	3.8×

★ Analysts see FY2026 revenue reaching $2.3B — +11.9% growth in a single year.

What Moves the Stock

1Global steel production levels impacting metallurgical coal demand
2Fluctuations in coal prices driven by supply-demand dynamics
3Regulatory changes affecting coal mining operations
4Operational efficiency improvements in mining processes
5Metallurgical coal sales - 80%
6Thermal coal sales - 20%
7Infrastructure spending driving steel demand
8Regulatory shifts towards cleaner energy impacting coal production

FY2025 Snapshot

Revenue: $2.0B
Rev. Growth: -17.5%
Gross Margin: -1.4%
Op. Margin: -17.3%
Net Margin: -22.2%
Net Income: $-447M
NI Growth: -311%
EPS: $-0.27
1Y Return: -17.6%

CODQL Chart

My Notes

"Management highlighted the need for operational adjustments in response to regulatory changes."
Moat: Coronado's focus on high-quality metallurgical coal provides a competitive edge in a niche market.
value - Investors may be attracted by low valuation metrics (Price/Sales of 0.1x) and potential recovery in coal prices.
Higher interest rates can increase financing costs for capital expenditures, impacting profitability and expansion plans.
Watch on earnings: Metallurgical coal price benchmarks (e.g., Australian Premium Hard Coking Coal), Production costs per ton, Debt-to-EBITDA ratio.

One Sentence Summary:

Coronado Global Resources: the story is balanced — global steel production levels impacting metallurgical coal demand.

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.