COIN
Earnings in 2 days · May 7, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+6.14%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 53Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
191.25
Open
199.21
Day Range197.85 – 206.71
197.85
206.71
52W Range139.36 – 444.65
139.36
444.65
21% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
12.2M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
45.5x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
2.86
High vol
Performance
1D
+6.14%
5D
+8.39%
1M
+16.13%
3M
+20.38%
6M
-33.95%
YTD
-10.24%
1Y
+1.80%
Best: 3M (+20.38%)Worst: 6M (-33.95%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
77% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 46x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.3 · FCF $9.04/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$53.60B
Revenue TTM$6.43B
Net Income TTM$1.26B
Free Cash Flow$2.43B
Gross Margin77.1%
Net Margin19.6%
Operating Margin11.2%
Return on Equity9.4%
Return on Assets4.2%
Debt / Equity0.53
Current Ratio2.34
EPS TTM$4.70
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Bitcoin price momentum and volatility (drives 60-70% of trading volume correlation)

Total crypto market trading volumes across spot and derivatives (directly impacts transaction revenue)

Regulatory developments: SEC enforcement actions, stablecoin legislation, spot Bitcoin ETF approvals (affects institutional adoption and competitive positioning)

Interest rate environment (impacts USDC reserve income and risk asset appetite)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Crypto trading activity correlates strongly with risk-on sentiment, excess liquidity, and speculative capital flows. During economic expansion with loose financial conditions, retail and institutional participation increases. Recessions or risk-off environments trigger volume collapse as crypto is treated as a high-beta, non-productive asset. Consumer discretionary spending patterns affect retail trading propensity.

Interest Rates

Complex dual impact: (1) POSITIVE for subscription revenue—higher rates increase interest income on $5B+ USDC reserves held at partner banks, generating $250-500M annually at 5% rates. (2) NEGATIVE for transaction revenue—rising rates reduce liquidity, compress risk asset valuations including crypto, and decrease speculative trading volumes. Higher rates also increase discount rates applied to unprofitable growth stocks, compressing valuation multiples. Net effect is negative as transaction revenue (60-70% of total) outweighs subscription benefits.

Key Risks

Regulatory uncertainty: SEC classification of tokens as securities could force delisting of major assets, reduce addressable market, and impose broker-dealer registration requirements with prohibitive compliance costs

Technological disruption from decentralized exchanges (Uniswap, dYdX) and self-custody solutions that disintermediate centralized platforms, particularly as Layer 2 scaling reduces gas fees

Stablecoin regulatory changes could eliminate USDC reserve income or force Coinbase to divest Circle partnership, removing 20-30% of subscription revenue

Investor Profile

momentum/growth - Attracts speculative growth investors and crypto enthusiasts seeking leveraged exposure to digital asset adoption without direct token ownership. High-beta characteristics (2.5-3.5x market beta) appeal to tactical traders during crypto bull runs. Long-term holders believe in structural crypto adoption thesis and Coinbase's regulatory moat. Recent 45-50% drawdowns reflect momentum unwind as crypto winter persists.

Watch on Earnings
Bitcoin spot price and 30-day realized volatility (primary driver of retail trading activity)Total cryptocurrency market capitalization (proxy for addressable market size)Coinbase trading volume market share vs. centralized competitors (Binance, Kraken) and DEX volumesUSDC circulation and Coinbase's share of stablecoin reserves (subscription revenue sustainability)
Health Radar
4 strong1 watch1 concern
64/100
Liquidity
2.34Strong
Leverage
0.53Strong
Coverage
8.4xStrong
ROE
9.4%Watch
ROIC
2.6%Concern
Cash
$11.3BStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE27 analysts
BUY
+23.2%upside to target
L $120.00
Med $250.00consensus
H $440.00
Buy
1867%
Hold
726%
Sell
27%
18 Buy (67%)7 Hold (26%)2 Sell (7%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 53 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.34 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 7, 2026
In 94 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 31.4%

+10.0% vs SMA 50 · -24.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI53.4
Neutral territory
MACD-4.52
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$444.6+119.1%
EMA 200
$250.0+23.1%
Current
$203.0
EMA 50
$197.7-2.6%
52W Low
$139.4-31.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$139.421th %ile$444.6
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:4
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)16.0M
Recent Vol (5D)
17.8M+12%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 23 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$7.2B
$7.1B$7.4B
$7.50
±37%
High23
FY2026(current)
$6.9B
$5.9B$8.4B
-4.1%$2.88-61.7%
±50%
High21
FY2027
$8.4B
$7.0B$9.4B
+21.3%$5.34+85.7%
±49%
High19
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryCOIN
Last 8Q
+40.3%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
+43%
Q2'24
+13%
Q3'24
+50%
Q4'24
+637%
Q1'25
Q2'25
-90%
Q3'25
+20%
Q4'25
-351%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d01
MonnessBuy → Sell
Feb 12
DOWNGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Neutral → Buy
Jan 8
UPGRADE
Goldman SachsNeutral → Buy
Jan 5
UPGRADE
MonnessBuy
Nov 10
UPGRADE
H.C. WainwrightBuy
Oct 30
UPGRADE
Compass PointBuy → Sell
Aug 4
DOWNGRADE
UBSBuy
May 13
UPGRADE
MonnessNeutral → Buy
May 13
UPGRADE
MonnessBuy → Neutral
May 6
DOWNGRADE
US Tiger SecuritiesBuy → Cautious
Dec 5
DOWNGRADE
BarclaysUnderweight → Equal-Weight
Sep 6
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight → Equal-Weight
Jul 23
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $2.0M sold · 30d window
Haas Alesia JCFO
$2.0M
Apr 16
SELL
Haas Alesia JCFO
$2.0M
Mar 16
SELL
Haas Alesia JCFO
$10K
Mar 16
SELL
Haas Alesia JCFO
$2.0M
Mar 4
SELL
Grewal PaulChief Legal Of…
$14K
Feb 27
SELL
Grewal PaulChief Legal Of…
$52K
Feb 27
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
2.1M
2
Nuveen, LLC
571K
3
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
527K
4
SG Americas Securities, LLC
325K
5
Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.
287K
6
Janney Montgomery Scott LLC
209K
7
Parcion Private Wealth LLC
201K
8
DGS Capital Management, LLC
200K
News & Activity

COIN News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Coinbase is building the cryptoeconomy – a more fair, accessible, efficient, and transparent financial system enabled by crypto. The company started in 2012 with the radical idea that anyone, anywhere, should be able to easily and securely send and receive Bitcoin. Today, Coinbase offers a trusted and easy-to-use platform for accessing the broader cryptoeconomy.

Daniel SeifertVice President & Regional MD of EMEA
Anil K. GuptaVice President of Investor Relations
Emilie ChoiPresident & Chief Operating Officer
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
COIN
$202.99+6.14%$53.6B43.2+940.4%1755.0%1485
$307.65-1.54%$829.7B14.6+330.7%2039.3%1502
$326.85-0.36%$626.5B28.1+1134.0%5014.5%1498
$504.74+1.87%$446.8B28.9+1641.6%4564.7%1488
$52.19-1.97%$374.6B11.9-45.1%1592.6%1501
$188.03-1.13%$298.6B16.2+1147.7%1466.4%1516
$903.27-2.21%$268.0B15.2-138.4%1373.0%1515
Sector avg+0.11%22.6+715.9%2543.6%1501