Peruvian public infrastructure spending - government construction budgets for roads, ports, and public works drive bulk cement demand
Northern Peru regional GDP growth and formal construction activity - correlates with commercial and residential project starts
Cement pricing dynamics in coastal markets - ability to implement price increases without volume loss to competitors
Energy cost inflation - coal and petcoke prices directly impact production costs and margin compression/expansion
high - Cement demand is highly correlated with construction activity, which amplifies GDP cycles. In emerging markets like Peru, infrastructure spending and real estate development are procyclical. The company's revenue growth of 0.9% with net income declining 26.9% suggests margin compression during slower growth periods. Self-construction provides some counter-cyclical stability, but overall business is sensitive to employment levels, credit availability for construction, and government capital expenditure budgets.
Moderate sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Higher rates increase financing costs on the company's debt (D/E of 1.20), compressing net margins; (2) Rising rates reduce mortgage affordability and construction financing availability, dampening cement demand; (3) Government infrastructure projects may face budget constraints as debt servicing costs rise; (4) Valuation multiples compress as discount rates increase. However, Peru's monetary policy operates somewhat independently from US rates, creating partial insulation.
Peruvian political instability and policy uncertainty - frequent government changes disrupt infrastructure spending continuity and create regulatory unpredictability
Environmental regulations tightening - cement production is carbon-intensive; potential carbon taxes or emission restrictions could increase costs without clear pass-through mechanisms
Shift toward alternative construction materials - increased use of steel, wood, or prefabricated structures in certain applications could erode long-term cement intensity
value - The 27.1% FCF yield, 1.4x P/S, and 9.6x EV/EBITDA suggest deep value characteristics attracting contrarian investors betting on Peruvian economic recovery. Recent 83.4% one-year return indicates momentum traders have entered, but core holders are likely value-oriented given the declining earnings profile. Emerging market specialists focused on infrastructure plays and turnaround situations would find the risk/reward compelling at current valuations, particularly if Peru's construction cycle inflects positively.
Trend
+47.4% vs SMA 50 · +178.2% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2024 | $2.0B $2.0B–$2.0B | — | $2.07 | — | — | Low1 |
FY2025 | $2.1B $2.1B–$2.1B | ▲ +5.2% | $2.14 | ▲ +3.3% | — | Low1 |
FY2026(current) | $2.1B $2.1B–$2.1B | ▲ +2.1% | $1.29 | ▼ -39.6% | — | Low1 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
CPAC News
About
empresa privada perteneciente al sector industrial y minero cuya finalidad es la producción y comercialización de cementos, cal, bloques, concreto y agregados. nuestras operaciones se realizan en el norte y oriente del país. contamos con una moderna planta de cemento en pacasmayo, una planta de cemento en rioja y plantas de premezclados de concreto en chimbote, trujillo, pacasmayo, chiclayo, piura y cajamarca. las actividades comerciales se realizan a través de nuestra empresa subsidiaria comercial dino s.r.ltda. que cuenta con una amplia red de distribuidores asociados en toda la región para brindar una mejor atención a nuestros clientes.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CPAC◀ | $10.51 | +0.00% | $900M | 16.9 | +87.7% | 728.5% | 1500 |
| $404.35 | -3.20% | $2.1T | 30.5 | +3296.8% | 4510.0% | 1500 | |
| $132.58 | -6.05% | $307.9B | 20.7 | -44.8% | 1012.0% | 1500 | |
| $88.38 | -2.58% | $303.7B | 13.6 | +318.8% | 1510.7% | 1500 | |
| $148.08 | -1.13% | $282.6B | 21.0 | +597.3% | 2564.4% | 1500 | |
| $181.58 | -1.83% | $281.6B | 26.9 | +862.9% | 1745.9% | 1500 | |
| $183.40 | -0.23% | $256.1B | 16.8 | +213.3% | 1482.4% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | -2.15% | — | 20.9 | +761.7% | 1936.2% | 1500 |