Tyler Technologies: Encouraging Recovery In Bookings (Rating Upgrade)
Tyler Technologies demonstrates resilience amid sector volatility, with Q1 bookings growth and a rai…

Commercial aerospace build rates: Boeing 737 MAX and 787 production schedules, Airbus A320neo family deliveries drive titanium and superalloy demand
Defense budget appropriations and fighter jet production: F-35 program volumes, next-generation engine programs (NGAD, B-21 Raider) drive high-margin superalloy orders
Nickel and cobalt spot prices: Raw material costs represent 40-50% of COGS; surcharge lag can compress margins 200-300 bps in volatile periods
Aerospace destocking cycles: Distributor and OEM inventory levels create 6-12 month demand volatility independent of end-market consumption
moderate-to-high - Aerospace exposure (50-60% of revenue) links to global air travel demand with 12-24 month lag as OEMs adjust production. Defense spending (20-25% estimated) provides counter-cyclical stability. Industrial and energy segments are directly cyclical, tied to capital expenditure cycles. The 114.7% one-year return reflects strong aerospace recovery positioning as commercial aviation normalizes post-pandemic.
Moderate sensitivity through two channels: (1) Higher rates reduce aerospace OEM valuations and can delay aircraft orders from airlines with weaker balance sheets, creating 12-18 month demand lag. (2) Carpenter's 0.35 debt/equity ratio and strong 4.25 current ratio minimize direct financing cost impact. The 27.0x EV/EBITDA valuation makes the stock more sensitive to discount rate changes than fundamentals alone would suggest.
Additive manufacturing disruption: 3D printing of titanium and nickel alloys could disintermediate traditional forging processes for certain aerospace components, though certification barriers remain high through 2030+
Aerospace supply chain consolidation: OEM vertical integration or mega-supplier emergence (e.g., Spirit AeroSystems acquisitions) could pressure pricing power on commodity-grade specialty alloys
Environmental regulations on melt operations: Energy-intensive vacuum melting processes face increasing carbon pricing risk; estimated $50-100/ton CO2 cost could add 3-5% to production costs by 2030
momentum and growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) - The 114.7% one-year return and 99.7% EPS growth attract momentum investors riding aerospace recovery, while 6.6x P/S and 27.0x EV/EBITDA (premium to industrial peers but justified by 23% ROE and specialized market position) appeal to quality growth investors. Limited dividend yield (not specified but typical for capital-intensive industrials) makes this less attractive to income investors. The $19.3B market cap positions CRS as mid-cap industrial play.
Trend
+5.9% vs SMA 50 · +33.7% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2025 | $2.9B $2.9B–$2.9B | — | $7.27 | — | ±6% | High6 |
FY2026(current) | $3.1B $3.1B–$3.1B | ▲ +6.4% | $10.31 | ▲ +41.7% | ±1% | High5 |
FY2027 | $3.4B $3.4B–$3.5B | ▲ +10.1% | $12.23 | ▲ +18.6% | ±4% | High6 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
Tyler Technologies demonstrates resilience amid sector volatility, with Q1 bookings growth and a rai…

with locations in north america, europe and asia, carpenter technology corporation is a global developer, manufacturer and distributor of a variety of specialty loose powder metallurgy and cast/wrought alloys in long product form. products include titanium alloys, high-strength steels, superior corrosion-resistant alloys, nickel-based alloys and superalloys, magnetic, controlled expansion and electronic alloys, stainless and specialty steels, and tool and die steels. carpenter acquired latrobe specialty metals company, latrobe, pa., in february 2012. our talented team of technical, production and delivery experts provide innovative materials solutions to the ever-changing needs of the automotive, aerospace, power gen, oil & gas, industrial, medical, defense and consumer products industries. iso9001:2008
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CRS◀ | $429.41 | +0.28% | $21.3B | 44.8 | +425.4% | 1306.9% | 1500 |
| $397.67 | +0.41% | $2.1T | 28.7 | +3296.8% | 4510.0% | 1500 | |
| $91.95 | +0.10% | $316.0B | 14.1 | +318.8% | 1510.7% | 1500 | |
| $131.46 | -0.32% | $305.1B | 22.6 | +586.3% | 1305.9% | 1500 | |
| $184.74 | -1.40% | $286.4B | 27.2 | +862.9% | 1745.9% | 1500 | |
| $146.57 | -0.87% | $279.7B | 21.0 | +597.3% | 2564.4% | 1500 | |
| $88.98 | -1.86% | $251.9B | 14.4 | -591.0% | 668.4% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.52% | — | 24.7 | +785.2% | 1944.6% | 1500 |