CTO
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move+0.94%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.2× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 68Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
20.25
Open
20.37
Day Range20.09 – 20.47
20.09
20.47
52W Range15.07 – 20.67
15.07
20.67
96% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
248.9K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
102.2x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.07%
Beta
0.61
Low vol
Performance
1D
+0.94%
5D
+4.82%
1M
+10.37%
3M
+15.03%
6M
+22.54%
YTD
+11.03%
1Y
+12.93%
Best: 6M (+22.54%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +17% · -3% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 102x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 7.2 · FCF $2.12/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$690.54M
Revenue TTM$154.91M
Net Income TTM$14.15M
Free Cash Flow$68.89M
Gross Margin-2.8%
Net Margin9.1%
Operating Margin35.9%
Return on Equity2.5%
Return on Assets1.1%
Debt / Equity1.13
Current Ratio7.23
EPS TTM$0.44
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Same-store NOI growth driven by rent escalations and occupancy improvements in existing portfolio

Acquisition activity and deployment of capital into accretive properties with cap rates above weighted average cost of capital

Occupancy rates and lease renewal spreads, particularly in retail portfolio where tenant health drives cash flow stability

Debt refinancing activity and changes in interest expense given moderate leverage profile

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Retail tenants, particularly necessity-based and service-oriented businesses, demonstrate relative resilience through economic cycles compared to discretionary retail. Office properties face higher cyclicality tied to employment growth and corporate space demand. The Sun Belt geographic focus provides exposure to above-average population and job growth, partially offsetting broader economic sensitivity. Consumer spending trends directly impact retail tenant sales and viability.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create multiple headwinds: (1) higher financing costs on floating-rate debt and refinancings reduce FFO, (2) cap rate expansion reduces property values and NAV, (3) REIT yields become less attractive versus risk-free Treasury yields, compressing valuation multiples. The 1.11x debt-to-equity ratio amplifies interest rate sensitivity. Conversely, falling rates provide tailwinds through refinancing opportunities and multiple expansion. The 50.6x EV/EBITDA suggests the market is pricing in significant rate sensitivity or asset quality concerns.

Key Risks

Secular decline in physical retail demand from e-commerce penetration, though necessity-based and service tenants face lower disruption risk than traditional retail

Office space utilization uncertainty from hybrid work adoption, particularly affecting suburban office assets where demand elasticity is higher than urban core properties

REIT tax structure requires 90% income distribution, limiting retained capital for growth and creating dependence on external capital markets for acquisitions

Investor Profile

value - The 1.1x price-to-book ratio and 11.2% FCF yield suggest the market is pricing in significant risk or skepticism about asset quality and growth prospects. Investors are likely focused on asset value relative to market cap, potential for operational turnaround, and income generation despite negative net income. The negative ROE and profitability metrics deter growth investors, while the recent 16% six-month return attracts opportunistic value and turnaround investors betting on operational improvements or asset monetization.

Watch on Earnings
10-Year Treasury yield (GS10) as primary driver of REIT cap rates and valuation multiplesRetail sales excluding autos (RSXFS) as indicator of tenant health and percentage rent potentialConsumer sentiment (UMCSENT) predicting retail tenant performance and lease renewal activityHigh yield credit spreads (BAMLH0A0HYM2) affecting cost of capital and acquisition economics
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
34/100
Liquidity
7.23Strong
Leverage
1.13Watch
Coverage
2.0xConcern
ROE
2.5%Concern
ROIC
4.3%Concern
Cash
$6MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE10 analysts
BUY
+5.2%upside to target
L $20.00
Med $21.50consensus
H $23.00
Strong Buy
110%
Buy
880%
Hold
110%
9 Buy (90%)1 Hold (10%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 68 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 7.23 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 17, 2026
In 106 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 8.8%

+5.7% vs SMA 50 · +15.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI68.5
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.31
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$20.67+1.1%
Current
$20.44
EMA 50
$19.30-5.6%
EMA 200
$18.19-11.0%
52W Low
$15.07-26.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$15.0796th %ile$20.67
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:9
Dist days:5
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)297K
Recent Vol (5D)
268K-10%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$112.5M
$109.5M$114.9M
$0.56
±3%
Moderate3
FY2024
$122.1M
$122.1M$123.6M
+8.5%$0.35-37.5%
±2%
Moderate4
FY2025
$149.1M
$146.3M$150.9M
+22.1%-$0.71
±2%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryCTO
Last 8Q
-624.0%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
-107%
Q3'24
+780%
Q4'24
-5700%
Q1'25
-98%
Q2'25
-257%
Q3'25
-94%
Q4'25
+64%
Q1'26
+420%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Raymond JamesOutperform → Strong Buy
Oct 30
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Albright John PDir
$33K
Sep 16
BUY
Albright John PDir
$33K
Sep 11
BUY
Vorakoun LisaSVP & CHIEF AC…
$12K
Sep 12
BUY
Greathouse Steven R…SVP & CHIEF IN…
$10K
Sep 12
BUY
Mays PhilipSVP, CFO & Tre…
$17K
Sep 11
BUY
Smith Daniel EarlSVP, GEN COUNS…
$17K
Sep 11
BUY
Financials
Dividends7.44% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield7.44%
Quarterly Div.$0.3800
Est. Annual / Share$1.52
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
GRACE & WHITE INC /NY
591K
2
Leeward Investments, LLC - MA
357K
3
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
106K
4
PINNACLE ASSOCIATES LTD
73K
5
Nuveen, LLC
63K
6
NAPLES GLOBAL ADVISORS, LLC
48K
7
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
30K
8
ZWJ INVESTMENT COUNSEL INC
25K
News & Activity

CTO News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

consolidated-tomoka land co. is a florida-based publicly traded real estate company, which owns a portfolio of income investments in diversified markets in the united states including approximately 2.3 million square feet of income properties, as well as approximately 5,300 acres of land in the daytona beach area. the company’s business strategy includes becoming a company with a more predictable earnings pattern from geographically dispersed real estate holdings. currently the company has 49 income properties located in 15 states across the u.s.

Industry
Lessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except Miniwarehouses)
CEO
John Albright
Steven Robert GreathouseSenior Vice President & Chief Investment Officer
Lisa VorakounSenior Vice President & Chief Accounting Officer
Daniel E. SmithSenior Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
PeersReal Estate(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CTO
$20.44+0.94%$691M54.2+2009.8%674.8%1500
$216.91-0.20%$153.1B107.8+3582.4%878.3%1512
$141.41-0.43%$131.8B35.4+717.6%3880.1%1503
$1085.03+0.20%$107.0B75.1+585.3%1457.9%1524
$181.61-0.60%$84.6B29.4+511.4%2376.5%1493
$200.70+0.23%$69.0B50.3+1004.0%2140.8%1519
$202.44-0.62%$65.8B14.3+671.9%7251.1%1510
Sector avg-0.07%52.4+1297.5%2665.6%1509