CTOS
Next earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Signal
Bullish Setup21!
Price
1
Move+2.54%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume2.5× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 90Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
9.85
Open
9.94
Day Range9.77 – 10.18
9.77
10.18
52W Range3.99 – 10.18
3.99
10.18
99% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
966.9K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-126.3x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.22
Market-like
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +9% · 20% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 1.3 · FCF negative
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.30B
Revenue TTM$1.98B
Net Income TTM-$17.36M
Free Cash Flow-$33.20M
Gross Margin19.9%
Net Margin-0.9%
Operating Margin7.9%
Return on Equity-2.2%
Return on Assets-0.5%
Debt / Equity3.09
Current Ratio1.30
EPS TTM$-0.08
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Utility capital expenditure trends and grid modernization spending (drives 60%+ of rental demand)

Fleet utilization rates - movement above/below 65% threshold significantly impacts profitability

Used equipment pricing and residual value realization (affects gain/loss on sales and asset impairments)

New equipment delivery timelines and OEM production capacity (impacts fleet growth and competitive supply)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Revenue is tied to infrastructure maintenance and utility capital spending, which are less cyclical than general construction but still sensitive to utility earnings, regulatory capital programs, and storm activity. Utility customers represent 70%+ of demand and operate on multi-year capital plans that provide visibility, but discretionary telecom spending and short-term rental demand fluctuate with economic conditions. Industrial production and construction activity drive 20-30% of demand through contractor customers.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Elevated debt/equity of 3.17x means rising rates directly increase interest expense on floating-rate debt and refinancing costs; (2) Equipment purchases are capital-intensive, so higher rates reduce ROI on fleet expansion; (3) Utility customers' cost of capital affects their willingness to rent vs. buy equipment; (4) Valuation multiple compression as investors demand higher yields. Current negative FCF of -$400M indicates company is in growth/investment phase, making financing costs critical.

Key Risks

Electrification and autonomous vehicle technology could reduce long-term demand for traditional bucket trucks and utility vehicles over 10-15 year horizon

Utility industry consolidation and vertical integration (utilities building internal fleets) could reduce addressable rental market

Regulatory changes to utility rate-of-return frameworks affecting capital spending budgets and equipment investment decisions

Investor Profile

value - Stock trades at 0.8x P/S and 9.9x EV/EBITDA despite negative earnings, attracting investors betting on operational turnaround, margin expansion from utilization improvement, and infrastructure spending tailwinds. Recent 43% one-year return suggests momentum investors have entered. High leverage and negative FCF deter conservative investors but appeal to distressed/special situations funds if company can inflect to positive FCF.

Watch on Earnings
EEI (Edison Electric Institute) utility capital spending forecasts and actual quarterly utility capex reportsIndustrial production index as proxy for infrastructure maintenance activity and contractor demandUsed heavy truck and equipment pricing indices (monitors residual value assumptions)High yield credit spreads (company's borrowing costs and refinancing feasibility given sub-investment grade profile)
Health Radar
1 watch5 concern
12/100
Liquidity
1.30Watch
Leverage
3.09Concern
Coverage
1.0xConcern
ROE
-2.2%Concern
ROIC
4.7%Concern
Cash
$6MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE7 analysts
BUY
+8.9%upside to target
Buy
686%
Sell
114%
6 Buy (86%)0 Hold (0%)1 Sell (14%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 90 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.30
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 12.5%

+40.3% vs SMA 50 · +57.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI89.6
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+0.70
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$10.18+0.8%
Current
$10.10
EMA 50
$7.50-25.7%
EMA 200
$6.38-36.8%
52W Low
$3.99-60.5%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$3.9999th %ile$10.18
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:7
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)603K
Recent Vol (5D)
1.1M+82%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$2.0B
$2.0B$2.0B
-$0.16
±21%
High5
FY2026(current)
$2.0B
$2.0B$2.1B
+2.5%$0.08
±50%
High5
FY2027
$2.2B
$2.1B$2.2B
+4.9%$0.20+139.5%
±50%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryCTOS
Last 8Q
-99.8%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
-567%
Q3'24
-150%
Q4'24
Q1'25
-14%
Q2'25
-160%
Q3'25
Q4'25
+33%
Q1'26
+60%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Canvas Wealth Advisors, LLC
7.0M
2
Sendero Wealth Management, LLC
391K
3
Register Financial Advisors LLC
171K
4
Nuveen, LLC
150K
5
SAPIENT CAPITAL LLC
128K
6
STRS OHIO
92K
7
PREVAIL INNOVATIVE WEALTH ADVISORS, LLC
33K
8
SG Americas Securities, LLC
25K
News & Activity

CTOS News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

The Company is a leading provider of specialized truck and heavy equipment solutions to the utility, telecommunications, rail and infrastructure markets in North America. The Company's solutions include rentals, sales, aftermarket parts, tools, accessories and service, equipment production, manufacturing, financing solutions, and asset disposal. With vast equipment breadth, the Company's team of experts service its customers across an integrated network of locations across North America.

Industry
General Rental Centers
Brian PermanVice President of Investor Relations
Paul JolasExecutive Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Thomas R. RichPresident of Rentals
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CTOS
$10.10+0.00%$2.3B-159.7%1500
$889.67-0.05%$414.0B43.8+429.0%1312.8%1522
$286.51-1.18%$299.4B34.3+1848.2%1898.2%1488
$173.99-1.18%$234.3B32.3+974.1%759.8%1486
$227.38-0.72%$179.2B82.1+3449.4%249.7%1504
$425.55-1.72%$165.1B40.4+1033.0%1489.7%1506
$266.32-1.17%$158.1B21.9+107.2%2912.3%1505
Sector avg-0.86%42.5+1306.8%1209.0%1502