CTRE
Earnings in 4 days · May 7, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move-0.66%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.3× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 52Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
39.45
Open
39.50
Day Range39.06 – 39.57
39.06
39.57
52W Range27.27 – 41.72
27.27
41.72
82% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.8M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
25.0x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.04%
Performance
1D
-0.66%
5D
+3.43%
1M
+5.55%
3M
+4.95%
6M
+13.10%
YTD
+8.38%
1Y
+34.81%
Best: 1Y (+34.81%)Worst: 1D (-0.66%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +74% YoY · 84% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 25x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.5 · FCF $1.70/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$8.75B
Revenue TTM$397.00M
Net Income TTM$320.54M
Free Cash Flow$379.04M
Gross Margin84.1%
Net Margin80.7%
Operating Margin59.9%
Return on Equity9.0%
Return on Assets6.2%
Debt / Equity0.22
Current Ratio1.54
EPS TTM$1.44
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Acquisition volume and cap rates - ability to deploy capital accretively at 7-9% initial yields while funding costs remain favorable

Tenant credit quality and EBITDARM coverage ratios - deterioration in operator financial health (coverage below 1.2x) raises default concerns

Occupancy rates across the skilled nursing portfolio - industry average 80-85%, with declines signaling operator stress

Interest rate movements and REIT yield spreads - 10-year Treasury yields directly impact valuation multiples and cost of capital

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low-to-moderate - Healthcare real estate demand is relatively non-cyclical given aging demographics (10,000 baby boomers turn 65 daily) and essential nature of services. However, economic downturns can pressure occupancy if seniors delay facility entry or Medicaid enrollment increases (lower reimbursement rates). Labor cost inflation during tight employment markets squeezes operator margins, potentially impacting rent coverage ratios.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels. Rising rates increase CTRE's cost of capital for acquisitions (currently zero debt per metrics, but growth requires leverage), compress valuation multiples as REIT yields become less attractive versus risk-free Treasuries, and can pressure tenant operators who carry variable-rate debt. The 108.8% revenue growth suggests recent aggressive acquisition activity that would slow if financing costs rise materially. Conversely, falling rates are highly positive for valuation multiples and acquisition economics.

Key Risks

Medicare/Medicaid reimbursement cuts or policy changes - government payors represent 70-80% of skilled nursing revenue, making operators vulnerable to rate reductions

Shift toward home healthcare and outpatient care - technological advances and cost pressures drive care away from institutional settings, potentially reducing long-term facility demand

Labor shortage in healthcare workers - persistent staffing challenges increase operator costs and limit census growth, compressing rent coverage ratios

Investor Profile

dividend-focused with growth component - The 5.0% FCF yield and REIT structure appeal to income investors seeking tax-advantaged distributions, while the 108.8% revenue growth and 58.3% one-year return attract growth-oriented investors betting on consolidation opportunities. The combination of defensive healthcare exposure with acquisition-driven growth attracts balanced portfolios seeking yield plus capital appreciation. Recent strong performance (21.3% six-month return) has likely drawn momentum investors.

Watch on Earnings
10-year Treasury yield and REIT yield spreads - directly impacts valuation multiples and cost of capitalSkilled nursing facility occupancy rates (national average via NIC MAP data) - leading indicator of operator healthMedicare reimbursement rate changes - annual updates affect tenant profitabilityHigh yield credit spreads (BAMLH0A0HYM2) - proxy for tenant financing costs and default risk
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
43/100
Liquidity
1.54Watch
Leverage
0.22Strong
Coverage
5.4xStrong
ROE
9.0%Watch
ROIC
4.7%Concern
Cash
$198MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE19 analysts
BUY
+9.7%upside to target
L $40.00
Med $43.00consensus
H $44.00
Strong Buy
15%
Buy
1368%
Hold
421%
Sell
15%
14 Buy (74%)4 Hold (21%)1 Sell (5%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 52 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.54 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 9.6%

-0.3% vs SMA 50 · +9.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI51.8
Neutral territory
MACD-0.05
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$41.72+6.5%
Current
$39.19
EMA 50
$38.79-1.0%
EMA 200
$35.65-9.0%
52W Low
$27.27-30.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$27.2782th %ile$41.72
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:4
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.7M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.4M-19%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$225.9M
$224.4M$228.0M
$0.82
±1%
Moderate3
FY2025
$374.8M
$326.5M$407.6M
+65.9%$1.42+72.2%
±14%
Moderate3
FY2026(current)
$479.9M
$418.1M$521.9M
+28.1%$1.49+5.0%
±1%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryCTRE
Last 8Q
+0.5%avg beat
Beat 1 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
-5%
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
-2%
Q2'25
-4%
Q3'25
-4%
Q4'25
+21%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
BMO CapitalOutperform
Jan 9
UPGRADE
WedbushNeutral → Underperform
Jan 2
DOWNGRADE
Wells FargoOverweight
Oct 1
UPGRADE
RBC CapitalOutperform
Sep 12
UPGRADE
BMO CapitalOutperform
Aug 16
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/1 SellNet Selling
Wagner William MCFO and Treasu…
$1.0M
Sep 4
SELL
Financials
Dividends3.56% yield
+18.4% avg annual growth
Annual Yield3.56%
Quarterly Div.$0.3900
Est. Annual / Share$1.56
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
4.4M
2
SG Americas Securities, LLC
851K
3
Sound Income Strategies, LLC
618K
4
Pictet Asset Management Holding SA
440K
5
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
408K
6
Retirement Systems of Alabama
274K
7
IBEX WEALTH ADVISORS
251K
8
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
244K
News & Activity

CTRE News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

caretrust reit, inc. is a publicly-traded real estate investment company engaged in the acquisition, ownership and leasing of seniors housing and healthcare-related properties. with 100 net-leased healthcare properties and three operated seniors housing properties in ten states, caretrust is acquiring and financing additional properties nationwide which will be operated by a diverse group of outstanding local, regional and national seniors housing operators, healthcare services providers, and other healthcare-related businesses. in 2014 caretrust was spun out of the ensign group, one of the country's premier post-acute care and seniors housing providers. founded in 1999 by a small group of leaders dedicated to changing the post-acute care industry "one facility at a time,"​ ensign has written an impressive growth story during a period of change, headwinds, and uncertainty. caretrust carries this excellence-focused, operator-centric mentality in its dna, and seeks now to partner with ot

Industry
Lessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except Miniwarehouses)
CEO
Gregory Stapley
David SedgwickChief Executive Officer, President & Director
Eric GillisSenior Vice President of Asset Management
Joe LayneSenior Vice President of Corporate Counsel
PeersReal Estate(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CTRE
$39.19-0.66%$8.7B27.2+10879.0%6725.7%1500
$216.91-0.20%$153.1B107.8+3582.4%878.3%1512
$141.41-0.43%$131.8B35.4+717.6%3880.1%1503
$1085.03+0.20%$107.0B75.1+585.3%1457.9%1524
$181.61-0.60%$84.6B29.4+511.4%2376.5%1493
$200.70+0.23%$69.0B50.3+1004.0%2140.8%1519
$202.44-0.62%$65.8B14.3+671.9%7251.1%1510
Sector avg-0.30%48.5+2564.5%3530.0%1509