CTRN
Next earnings: Jun 2, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-3.47%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 36Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
42.89
Open
42.79
Day Range41.26 – 42.98
41.26
42.98
52W Range25.00 – 56.78
25.00
56.78
52% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
90.9K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
65.7x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.69
High vol
Performance
1D
-3.47%
5D
-12.21%
1M
-12.38%
3M
-10.35%
6M
+3.32%
YTD
-0.38%
1Y
+48.23%
Best: 1Y (+48.23%)Worst: 1M (-12.38%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +9% YoY
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 66x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.1 · FCF $0.08/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$346.15M
Revenue TTM$819.96M
Net Income TTM$5.21M
Free Cash Flow$624.0K
Gross Margin37.3%
Net Margin0.6%
Operating Margin-0.9%
Return on Equity4.7%
Return on Assets1.1%
Debt / Equity1.92
Current Ratio1.11
EPS TTM$0.64
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Comparable store sales trends in core southeastern markets - critical given negative traffic environment and competitive pressure from dollar stores and e-commerce

Gross margin trajectory and inventory management effectiveness - current 37.5% gross margin is compressed, requiring improvement to 39-41% range for historical profitability

Path to positive cash flow and liquidity management - negative operating cash flow and 2.02x debt/equity ratio create refinancing risk

Store rationalization decisions and real estate portfolio optimization - potential closure of underperforming locations to stem losses

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Citi Trends serves the most economically vulnerable consumer segment with sub-$40,000 household incomes, making revenue highly sensitive to employment conditions, wage growth, and government transfer payments (SNAP, EITC, child tax credits). Discretionary apparel purchases are among the first categories cut during economic stress. The company's southeastern footprint has mixed exposure to industrial employment, healthcare, and service sectors. Historical performance shows 10-15% comparable sales swings during recession vs. expansion periods.

Interest Rates

Moderate impact through two channels: (1) Direct financing costs on the company's debt load (2.02x debt/equity) where rising rates increase interest expense and refinancing risk given negative cash flow; (2) Indirect consumer impact as higher rates reduce disposable income for target customers through increased credit card rates and reduced access to consumer credit. However, the value-oriented positioning can benefit from trade-down behavior during rate-driven slowdowns as consumers shift from mid-tier retailers.

Key Risks

Secular shift to e-commerce and fast fashion (Shein, Temu) offering comparable price points with broader selection, eroding the value proposition of physical off-price stores in smaller markets

Dollar store expansion (Dollar General, Family Dollar) into apparel categories with 18,000+ locations providing convenient alternative for basic clothing needs in overlapping geographies

Demographic shifts in core markets as gentrification and population migration alter customer base composition in southeastern urban centers

Investor Profile

value/special situations - The 64.5% one-year return and 0.5x price/sales ratio attracts deep value investors and turnaround specialists betting on operational restructuring, potential private equity interest, or liquidation value. High volatility and distressed fundamentals appeal to opportunistic hedge funds rather than long-term institutional holders. Not suitable for income investors (no dividend) or growth investors (negative growth and margins). Requires high risk tolerance and active monitoring given bankruptcy risk if turnaround fails.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly retail sales excluding autos (RSXFS) as leading indicator for consumer spending in apparel categoriesUnemployment rate trends in southeastern states (Georgia, Alabama, South Carolina, North Carolina) where store concentration is highestConsumer sentiment index (University of Michigan) particularly among lower-income cohorts as predictor of discretionary spendingGasoline prices (GASPRICE) which disproportionately impact disposable income for lower-income consumers and store traffic patterns
Health Radar
3 watch3 concern
23/100
Liquidity
1.11Watch
Leverage
1.92Watch
Coverage
-20.5xConcern
ROE
4.7%Concern
ROIC
-1.9%Concern
Cash
$66MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE10 analysts
BUY
+64.3%upside to target
Buy
550%
Hold
550%
5 Buy (50%)5 Hold (50%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 36 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.11
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 10, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 14.0%

-10.5% vs SMA 50 · +2.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI36.0
Momentum fading
MACD-0.93
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$56.78+37.1%
EMA 50
$45.73+10.5%
Current
$41.40
EMA 200
$40.33-2.6%
52W Low
$25.00-39.6%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$25.0052th %ile$56.78
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:0
Dist days:7
Edge:+7 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)96K
Recent Vol (5D)
119K+25%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2026(current)
$817.2M
$816.4M$818.0M
-$0.77
±3%
Low2
FY2027
$874.7M
$871.4M$878.0M
+7.0%$1.07
±23%
Low2
FY2028
$947.7M
$939.6M$955.9M
+8.3%$2.47+130.8%
±24%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryCTRN
Last 8Q
-156.8%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
-3%
Q2'24
-273%
Q3'24
+1%
Q4'24
-961%
Q1'25
+189%
Q2'25
-4%
Q3'25
-214%
Q4'25
+10%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
CitigroupHold
Oct 17
UPGRADE
Craig-HallumHold
May 20
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
1 Buy/5 SellsNet Selling
Jenkins Margaret LDir
$92K
Apr 6
SELL
Heath David ADir
$45K
Mar 25
BUY
George KatrinaVP of Human Re…
$20K
Dec 5
SELL
George KatrinaVP of Human Re…
$11K
Sep 3
SELL
Jenkins Margaret LDir
$36K
Aug 29
SELL
George KatrinaVP of Human Re…
$25K
Jun 10
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
438K
2
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
328K
3
ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP
244K
4
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC
225K
5
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
148K
6
Hodges Capital Management Inc.
125K
7
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
77K
8
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
57K
News & Activity

CTRN News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

citi trends is a value-priced retailer of urban fashion apparel, shoes, accessories and home décor for the entire family. our merchandise offerings are designed to appeal to the preferences of fashion & value conscious consumers. our goal is to provide nationally recognized branded merchandise at discounts off department and specialty stores’ regular prices of 20% to 70%. citi trends buyers source merchandise from over 1600 vendors to deliver quality fashion product at outstanding value for our customers. in may 2005, citi trends became a publicly traded company on the nasdaq exchange with the symbol ctrn. citi trends'​ headquarters are located in savannah, georgia. in addition to the corporate office in savannah, we have one distribution center in darlington, south carolina and another in roland, oklahoma. we have buying offices in new york city and los angeles. we operate 515 stores in 31 states and employ approximately 4500 people.

CEO
Bruce Smith
Kyle KoenigVice President of Stores & Real Estate
Heather PlutinoChief Financial Officer, Principal Financial Officer, Principal Accounting Officer & Executive Vice President
Katrina GeorgeVice President of Human Resources
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CTRN
$41.40-3.47%$346M64.5+888.1%63.5%1500
$264.14-1.15%$2.8T31.3+1237.8%1083.4%1521
$422.24-4.75%$1.6T352.3-293.1%400.1%1507
$297.51-2.25%$296.3B20.9+324.0%859.6%1477
$276.39+0.52%$196.4B22.6+372.3%3185.0%1478
$147.43+0.05%$163.2B30.2+711.9%910.0%1494
$218.42-2.32%$122.3B18.3+312.2%771.2%1489
Sector avg-1.91%77.2+507.6%1039.0%1495