Bulk water contract renewals and pricing negotiations with Cayman Islands government and major resort operators
Energy costs (electricity for desalination operations), particularly diesel/fuel oil prices in Caribbean markets
Tourism activity in Cayman Islands and Bahamas driving commercial water demand from hotels and resorts
New desalination plant development projects or capacity expansions in existing markets
moderate - Residential water demand is non-discretionary and stable, but commercial segment (hotels, resorts) correlates with tourism activity and economic conditions. Cayman Islands economy depends heavily on financial services and tourism, creating indirect GDP sensitivity. The 26% revenue decline may reflect reduced tourism or contract adjustments. Population growth and real estate development in operating markets drive long-term demand, linking to construction activity and economic expansion.
Rising rates have mixed impact: (1) Negative for valuation multiples as utility stocks compete with bonds for yield-seeking investors, particularly given 5% FCF yield; (2) Minimal direct business impact given negligible debt (0.01 D/E) and no refinancing risk; (3) Higher rates may slow real estate development in Cayman Islands, reducing long-term water demand growth. The company's cash-rich balance sheet provides flexibility for acquisitions or expansions without rate-sensitive financing.
Climate change and sea level rise threaten coastal desalination infrastructure and increase operational complexity in Caribbean island markets
Technological advancement in desalination efficiency (membrane technology, energy recovery) could render existing plants less competitive or require costly retrofits
Regulatory risk from environmental concerns over brine discharge and marine ecosystem impact, potentially requiring expensive mitigation measures
value - Small-cap utility with 5% FCF yield, 2.6x P/B, and fortress balance sheet attracts value investors seeking underfollowed opportunities. Defensive characteristics (essential service, stable demand) appeal to income-focused investors, though recent revenue decline and operational cash flow concerns may deter quality-focused value managers. Limited liquidity and $600M market cap restrict institutional ownership to small-cap specialists and niche utility funds.
Trend
-12.5% vs SMA 50 · -15.8% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $187.0M $171.7M–$202.3M | — | $2.13 | — | ±11% | Low1 |
FY2024 | $138.9M $138.8M–$139.0M | ▼ -25.7% | $1.27 | ▼ -40.3% | ±2% | Low2 |
FY2025 | $137.9M $137.3M–$138.5M | ▼ -0.7% | $1.24 | ▼ -2.4% | ±2% | Low1 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
CWCO News
About
about consolidated water co. ltd. consolidated water co. ltd. develops and operates seawater desalination plants and water distribution systems in areas of the world where naturally occurring supplies of potable water are scarce or nonexistent. consolidated water operates water production and/or distribution facilities in the cayman islands, belize, the british virgin islands, the commonwealth of the bahamas, and bali, indonesia. we have more than 35 years of experience in developing and operating sea water reverse osmosis (swro) plants and water distribution systems. since 1973, consolidated water has grown from a locally owned cayman islands company to an international organization. we currently operate in the following countries: bahamas, belize, bermuda, british virgin islands, indonesia and cayman islands. we have three principal business segments: retail water operations, bulk water operations and engineering & management services. consolidated water’s common stock is listed on t
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CWCO◀ | $28.97 | -1.19% | $464M | 26.7 | -141.3% | 1388.4% | 1500 |
| $1049.23 | -3.79% | $281.9B | 30.1 | +894.3% | 1283.0% | 1526 | |
| $93.36 | -2.42% | $194.7B | — | +1100.1% | — | 1510 | |
| $92.55 | +0.00% | $104.3B | — | — | — | 1505 | |
| $120.95 | +0.00% | $94.3B | 18.3 | +619.3% | — | 1504 | |
| $267.20 | -2.93% | $83.4B | 35.9 | +833.8% | 908.2% | 1493 | |
| $125.15 | +0.00% | $68.1B | 18.6 | — | — | 1505 | |
| Sector avg | — | -1.48% | — | 25.9 | +661.2% | 1193.2% | 1506 |