CWT
Next earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.28%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.1× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 36Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
42.24
Open
42.70
Day Range41.89 – 42.94
41.89
42.94
52W Range41.29 – 50.44
41.29
50.44
12% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
496.9K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
21.2x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
0.51
Low vol
Performance
1D
+0.28%
5D
-9.18%
1M
-8.41%
3M
-4.83%
6M
-4.55%
YTD
-2.24%
1Y
-13.14%
Best: 1D (+0.28%)Worst: 1Y (-13.14%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +4% YoY · 43% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 21x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.7 (low) · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.54B
Revenue TTM$1.01B
Net Income TTM$118.92M
Free Cash Flow-$93.36M
Gross Margin42.6%
Net Margin11.8%
Operating Margin15.7%
Return on Equity7.0%
Return on Assets2.1%
Debt / Equity0.95
Current Ratio0.69
EPS TTM$1.99
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

California PUC general rate case outcomes - authorized ROE, rate base growth, and revenue adjustments typically decided every 3 years

Capital expenditure deployment and rate base growth - ability to invest $400-500M annually in infrastructure and earn regulated returns

California drought conditions and water supply reliability - impacts conservation mandates, supply costs, and regulatory treatment

Interest rate environment - affects financing costs for debt-funded capex and relative valuation versus bonds

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Water utility demand is highly inelastic with minimal GDP sensitivity. Residential consumption remains stable through economic cycles as water is essential. Commercial/industrial demand shows modest cyclicality but represents smaller revenue portion. Revenue decoupling mechanisms in California further insulate earnings from volume fluctuations. New housing construction affects long-term customer growth but has limited near-term earnings impact.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create mixed effects: (1) Negative impact on financing costs for $400-500M annual capex program, though typically recovered in rates with regulatory lag of 6-18 months; (2) Negative valuation impact as utility stocks compete with bonds for income investors - higher Treasury yields compress P/E multiples; (3) Authorized ROE in rate cases may adjust upward in rising rate environments, partially offsetting financing cost pressure. The 0.89 debt/equity ratio indicates moderate leverage sensitivity. Overall moderate negative sensitivity to rising rates.

Key Risks

California regulatory environment - PUC decisions on authorized ROE, rate base treatment, and cost recovery mechanisms directly determine profitability. Political pressure to limit rate increases can constrain returns despite infrastructure investment needs.

Climate change and water supply volatility - Extended droughts increase supply costs (purchasing water, desalination), trigger conservation mandates reducing volumes, and require costly infrastructure investments. California's water scarcity creates long-term operational complexity.

Aging infrastructure liability - Estimated $10+ billion nationwide water infrastructure replacement need creates ongoing capex pressure. Failure to maintain systems risks service disruptions, regulatory penalties, and reputational damage.

Investor Profile

dividend/income - Regulated utilities attract conservative investors seeking stable dividends (estimated 2-3% yield) and defensive characteristics. Low volatility, predictable cash flows, and essential service nature appeal to risk-averse portfolios. Limited growth profile (mid-single-digit earnings growth) makes it less attractive to growth investors. Value investors may find appeal during rate case uncertainty or interest rate spikes that compress valuations below historical ranges.

Watch on Earnings
California PUC authorized return on equity (ROE) - currently 8-9% range for water utilities, directly drives profitabilityRate base growth trajectory - target 5-7% annual growth through infrastructure investment10-year Treasury yield (GS10) - proxy for utility valuation multiples and financing costsCalifornia reservoir levels and drought severity index - impacts supply costs and conservation mandates
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
25/100
Liquidity
0.69Concern
Leverage
0.95Strong
Coverage
2.3xWatch
ROE
7.0%Concern
ROIC
2.9%Concern
Cash
$52MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE10 analysts
HOLD
+27.5%upside to target
Buy
550%
Hold
440%
Sell
110%
5 Buy (50%)4 Hold (40%)1 Sell (10%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
0 of 5 signals bullish
1/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 36 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.69 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentOct 28, 2026
In 178 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 1.1%

-5.9% vs SMA 50 · -6.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI35.6
Momentum fading
MACD+0.05
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$50.44+19.1%
EMA 50
$45.34+7.0%
Current
$42.36
EMA 200
$41.52-2.0%
52W Low
$41.29-2.5%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$41.2912th %ile$50.44
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:4
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)345K
Recent Vol (5D)
383K+11%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$1.0B
$1.0B$1.0B
$2.97
±9%
Moderate4
FY2025
$1.0B
$1.0B$1.0B
-0.9%$2.32-21.9%
±0%
Low2
FY2026(current)
$1.1B
$1.1B$1.1B
+7.8%$2.58+11.4%
±1%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryCWT
Last 8Q
+1.3%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
+67%
Q3'24
-2%
Q4'24
-13%
Q1'25
+38%
Q2'25
+54%
Q3'25
-14%
Q4'25
-47%
Q1'26
-72%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Wells FargoEqual-Weight → Overweight
Jan 7
UPGRADE
Wells FargoEqual-Weight
Jul 31
UPGRADE
Janney MontgomeryBuy
Jul 28
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
1 Buy/3 SellsNet Selling
Luu Michael BSr. VP Corp Sv…
$33K
Mar 20
SELL
Mares Michael S JrVice President…
$171K
Mar 20
SELL
Mortensen Michelle RVP, Corp Sec &…
$40K
Dec 23
SELL
Lynch James PatrickSVP CFO and Tr…
$24K
Dec 10
BUY
Financials
Dividends2.92% yield
+11.7% avg annual growth
Annual Yield2.92%
Quarterly Div.$0.3400
Est. Annual / Share$1.36
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
425K
2
ProShare Advisors LLC
152K
3
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA PUBLIC SCHOOL EMPLS RETRMT SYS
106K
4
DUFF & PHELPS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO
85K
5
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
63K
6
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
60K
7
Midwest Trust Co
53K
8
EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS, LLC
53K
News & Activity

CWT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

california water service company (cal water) is the largest subsidiary of the california water service group. cal water is the largest investor-owned american water utility west of the mississippi river and the third largest in the country. formed in 1926, the san jose-based company serves more than 472,000 customers through 28 customer and operations centers throughout the state.

CEO
Martin Kropelnicki
Martin A. KropelnickiChairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Michael LuuSenior Vice President of Corporate Services & Chief Risk Officer
Shawn C. BuntingSenior Vice President of Business Development & General Counsel
PeersUtilities(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CWT
$42.36+0.28%$2.5B21.3-353.6%1281.9%1500
$1062.95-1.89%$285.6B30.5+894.3%1283.0%1527
$96.95-0.95%$202.2B24.7+1100.1%2487.3%1510
$96.71+0.01%$109.0B24.9+1058.6%1468.9%1499
$128.60-0.73%$100.1B20.1+619.3%1541.1%1498
$307.81-1.66%$96.1B41.5+833.8%908.2%1494
$136.91-0.15%$74.4B19.8+937.2%1643.5%1515
Sector avg-0.73%26.1+727.1%1516.3%1506