Net revenue retention rate (NRR) - critical indicator of upsell/cross-sell success and customer health, historically 110-115% range
New logo acquisition velocity and average contract value trends, particularly in Fortune 500 segment
Operating margin trajectory and path to Rule of 40 (growth rate + FCF margin), currently ~14% combined
Competitive win rates against point solutions (Salesforce Service Cloud, Adobe Experience Cloud) and platform consolidation trends
moderate - Enterprise software spending exhibits defensive characteristics but faces budget scrutiny during downturns. Marketing technology budgets (Sprinklr's core market) are more discretionary than core IT infrastructure, creating cyclical exposure. However, multi-year contracts provide 12-18 month revenue visibility, and customer care functionality (non-discretionary) represents meaningful platform usage. Historical evidence shows enterprise SaaS growth rates compress 500-1000bps during recessions but rarely contract, with churn rising modestly from sub-5% to 6-8% levels.
Rising rates create dual headwinds: (1) valuation multiple compression as investors discount future cash flows at higher rates, particularly acute for growth-stage SaaS trading at 1.7x P/S versus 5-8x historical peaks, and (2) enterprise budget constraints as CFOs prioritize cost optimization over growth investments. However, Sprinklr's transition to profitability and positive FCF reduces financing risk. Customer financing costs are minimal given upfront annual billing. Rate sensitivity primarily manifests through equity valuation rather than operational impact.
Platform consolidation by mega-vendors (Salesforce, Adobe, Microsoft) who can bundle CXM functionality into broader enterprise suites at marginal cost, leveraging existing customer relationships and seat-based pricing
Generative AI disruption enabling smaller vendors to rapidly build competitive features, compressing Sprinklr's AI/ML differentiation and potentially commoditizing social listening and sentiment analysis capabilities
Social media platform API access restrictions or pricing changes (Meta, X policy shifts) that could impair core functionality or increase COGS
value - Stock trades at depressed 1.7x P/S multiple (60-70% below SaaS peer median) following 40% drawdown, attracting value investors focused on profitability inflection and FCF generation. Growth investors largely exited given sub-10% revenue growth, while momentum players avoid given negative 6-12 month performance. Current holder base likely includes deep value funds, special situations investors betting on margin expansion, and potential takeout candidates given strategic asset value to platform vendors.
Trend
-8.2% vs SMA 50 · -27.2% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2025 | $794.3M $794.3M–$794.5M | — | $0.32 | — | ±2% | High10 |
FY2026(current) | $853.5M $841.3M–$863.9M | ▲ +7.5% | $0.45 | ▲ +41.6% | ±2% | High5 |
FY2027 | $870.1M $870.0M–$870.3M | ▲ +1.9% | $0.48 | ▲ +6.1% | ±2% | High6 |
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
CXM News
About
sprinklr is the most complete enterprise social technology in the world, purpose-built for global brands to drive business outcomes and manage customer experiences across all touch-points. called "the most powerful technology in the market" by forrester, sprinklr's fully integrated social media management software powers social connections across 77 countries. headquartered in new york city with more than 900+ employees globally, sprinklr is revolutionizing customer engagement for more than 1000+ top enterprise brands, including ihg, intel, microsoft, samsung and virgin america. for more information, visit sprinklr.com or tweet @sprinklr.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CXM◀ | $5.11 | +3.44% | $1.3B | 55.2 | +763.5% | 267.2% | 1500 |
| $225.32 | -4.42% | $5.5T | 45.6 | +6547.4% | 5560.3% | 1502 | |
| $300.23 | +0.68% | $4.4T | — | — | — | 1482 | |
| $421.92 | +3.05% | $3.1T | 25.0 | +1493.2% | 3614.6% | 1461 | |
| $425.19 | -3.32% | $2.0T | 80.7 | +2387.4% | 3619.8% | 1501 | |
| $724.66 | -6.62% | $817.2B | 33.8 | +4885.1% | 2284.5% | 1528 | |
| $424.10 | -5.69% | $691.5B | 138.6 | +3433.8% | 1251.5% | 1516 | |
| Sector avg | — | -1.84% | — | 63.2 | +3251.7% | 2766.3% | 1499 |