DAWN
Signal
Leaning Bearish1!
Price
1
Move+0.00%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.0× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 80Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
21.53
Open
21.53
Day Range
52W Range5.64 – 21.53
5.64
21.53
100% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
4.0M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-20.7x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.24
Low vol
Performance
1D
5D
1M
+0.28%
3M
+89.69%
6M
+144.66%
YTD
+131.01%
1Y
+249.51%
Best: 1Y (+249.51%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +21% YoY · 89% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 8.0 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.22B
Revenue TTM$158.18M
Net Income TTM-$107.32M
Free Cash Flow-$107.58M
Gross Margin89.1%
Net Margin-67.8%
Operating Margin-80.8%
Return on Equity-23.4%
Return on Assets-21.1%
Debt / Equity0.01
Current Ratio8.02
EPS TTM$-1.04
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

FDA regulatory decisions on tovorafenib for pediatric low-grade glioma (PDUFA-type dates, advisory committee outcomes)

Clinical trial data readouts for expansion cohorts (adult glioma, other BRAF-altered solid tumors, combination studies)

Commercial launch metrics post-approval: patient starts, market penetration in ~1,000-1,500 annual US pLGG diagnoses, pricing/reimbursement decisions

Partnership announcements or ex-US licensing deals that validate platform and provide non-dilutive funding

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Oncology drug demand is non-discretionary and largely insulated from GDP fluctuations. Pediatric cancer treatments proceed regardless of economic conditions. However, macro conditions affect: (1) biotech funding environment and ability to raise capital at attractive valuations, (2) M&A appetite from large pharma acquirers, (3) payer budget pressures that could impact reimbursement negotiations.

Interest Rates

Rising rates negatively impact valuation through higher discount rates applied to distant cash flows (tovorafenib peak sales likely 2028-2030+). Clinical-stage biotech with no near-term profitability are particularly rate-sensitive as their value is entirely in NPV of future products. Higher rates also increase cost of capital for future financings and reduce attractiveness vs fixed income alternatives for growth investors. However, Day One's strong balance sheet (8.68x current ratio, 0.01 D/E) minimizes direct financing cost impact.

Key Risks

Regulatory approval risk: FDA could require additional studies, reject NDA, or impose restrictive labeling that limits commercial opportunity for tovorafenib in pLGG

Reimbursement pressure: Payers increasingly scrutinize ultra-orphan drug pricing, and ICER/cost-effectiveness analyses could limit access despite approval

Clinical trial execution risk: Small patient populations in rare pediatric cancers create enrollment challenges and increase trial timelines/costs

Investor Profile

growth - Pure binary clinical/regulatory catalyst play attracting biotech specialists, event-driven funds, and growth investors willing to accept high volatility for asymmetric upside. The 69.8% six-month return and -3.1% one-year return illustrate momentum-driven trading around data catalysts. Not suitable for value or income investors given negative profitability, no dividends, and speculative risk profile. Institutional ownership likely concentrated among healthcare-focused funds with expertise evaluating clinical data and regulatory pathways.

Watch on Earnings
FDA action dates and regulatory milestone achievements for tovorafenib NDA in pediatric low-grade gliomaClinical trial data releases: objective response rates, progression-free survival, safety profiles in expansion studiesQuarterly cash burn rate and runway calculations relative to anticipated approval timelinesBiotech IPO and follow-on offering activity as proxy for sector financing environment (XBI ETF performance)
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
50/100
Liquidity
8.02Strong
Leverage
0.01Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-23.4%Concern
ROIC
-28.0%Concern
Cash
$197MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE11 analysts
BUY
-0.1%downside to target
Buy
655%
Hold
545%
6 Buy (55%)5 Hold (45%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 80 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 8.02 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 106 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 72.4%

+14.3% vs SMA 50 · +97.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI80.5
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+0.56
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$21.53+0.0%
Current
$21.53
EMA 50
$19.12-11.2%
EMA 200
$12.38-42.5%
52W Low
$5.63-73.8%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$5.63100th %ile$21.53
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:0
Dist days:0
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)4.4M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.0M-54%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$154.4M
$149.4M$159.3M
-$0.99
±16%
High7
FY2026(current)
$240.4M
$230.9M$251.4M
+55.7%-$0.78
±50%
High6
FY2027
$308.1M
$298.9M$319.3M
+28.1%-$0.18
±50%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryDAWN
Last 8Q
+28.8%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
+93%
Q3'24
+193%
Q4'24
-97%
Q1'25
+24%
Q2'25
+17%
Q3'25
+32%
Q4'25
-18%
Q1'26
-13%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d01
Cowen & Co.Buy → Hold
Mar 6
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/5 SellsNet Selling
Merendino LaurenChief Commerci…
$67K
Feb 17
SELL
Dubow AdamGen Counsel & …
$74K
Feb 17
SELL
York Charles N IiCOO and CFO
$70K
Feb 17
SELL
Bender JeremyCEO
$179K
Feb 17
SELL
Vasconcelles MichaelHead of Resear…
$32K
Feb 17
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
7.0M
2
GLAZER CAPITAL, LLC
4.7M
3
FIL Ltd
4.1M
4
DEERFIELD MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. (SERIES C)
3.7M
5
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
3.1M
6
STATE STREET CORP
2.9M
7
BALYASNY ASSET MANAGEMENT L.P.
2.6M
8
AQR Arbitrage LLC
2.5M
News & Activity

DAWN News

About

No description available.

Jeremy BenderChief Executive Officer, President & Director
Joey PerroneSenior Vice President of Finance & Investor Relations
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
DAWN
$21.53+0.00%$2.2B+2060.1%-6784.7%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-2.54%50.3+342144.1%-4471.2%1500