DQ
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move-0.42%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 36Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
19.22
Open
19.23
Day Range18.76 – 19.45
18.76
19.45
52W Range12.52 – 36.59
12.52
36.59
28% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
696.5K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-6.9x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.30
Market-like
Performance
1D
-0.42%
5D
-16.02%
1M
-9.33%
3M
-21.75%
6M
-41.40%
YTD
-35.12%
1Y
+48.49%
Best: 1Y (+48.49%)Worst: 6M (-41.40%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -23% YoY · thin -34% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 6.0 · FCF negative
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.30B
Revenue TTM$568.81M
Net Income TTM-$187.34M
Free Cash Flow-$203.37M
Gross Margin-34.4%
Net Margin-32.9%
Operating Margin-54.4%
Return on Equity-4.3%
Return on Assets-3.0%
Debt / Equity0.00
Current Ratio6.02
EPS TTM$-2.77
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Polysilicon spot prices in China (CNY/kg and $/kg) - most direct driver of revenue and margins

Chinese solar module installation forecasts and policy announcements affecting downstream demand

Industry capacity utilization rates and competitor production curtailment announcements

USD/CNY exchange rate (revenue in CNY, reports in USD, costs partially in CNY)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Solar installation demand has both cyclical (economic growth, electricity demand) and secular (energy transition policy) components. Industrial production growth in China and globally drives electricity demand and solar buildout, but government subsidies and mandates can sustain demand through downturns. Current oversupply situation reflects policy-driven capacity expansion exceeding underlying demand growth.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact solar project economics by increasing financing costs for utility-scale installations, reducing IRRs and slowing installation growth. Higher rates also pressure valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies. However, impact is partially offset by long-term policy commitments to renewable energy. Fed funds rate changes affect USD strength, which impacts CNY-denominated revenue translation.

Key Risks

Chronic polysilicon oversupply in China with 400+ GW capacity versus 300-350 GW domestic demand, requiring sustained industry capacity closures to rebalance

Xinjiang supply chain restrictions (UFLPA in US, EU regulations) limiting access to Western markets and creating reputational overhang

Technological risk from alternative solar technologies (perovskite, thin-film) or more efficient polysilicon production methods reducing cost advantages

Investor Profile

value/turnaround - Current 0.4x P/B and distressed fundamentals attract deep value investors betting on industry rationalization and polysilicon price recovery above $12-15/kg breakeven levels. High volatility and binary outcome (recovery vs. prolonged losses) appeals to opportunistic hedge funds rather than long-only growth investors. Negative momentum and earnings have driven out growth-oriented shareholders.

Watch on Earnings
China polysilicon spot price (CNY/kg) from PVInsights or InfoLink weekly pricingChinese solar module export volumes and domestic installation data (monthly from CPIA/NEA)Polysilicon industry operating rates in China (percentage of capacity running)USD/CNY exchange rate (DEXCHUS) affecting revenue translation and cost competitiveness
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
42/100
Liquidity
6.02Strong
Leverage
0.00Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-4.3%Concern
ROIC
-4.7%Concern
Cash
$980MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE13 analysts
HOLD
-3.0%downside to target
L $18.13
Med $18.56consensus
H $19.00
Buy
431%
Hold
862%
Sell
18%
4 Buy (31%)8 Hold (62%)1 Sell (7%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 36 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 6.02 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 15, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 15.1%

-13.2% vs SMA 50 · -26.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI36.3
Momentum fading
MACD-0.47
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$36.59+91.2%
EMA 200
$23.33+21.9%
EMA 50
$22.26+16.3%
Current
$19.14
52W Low
$12.52-34.6%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$12.5228th %ile$36.59
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Elevated Squeeze Setup

Strong accumulation on above-average volume. Buyers are absorbing supply aggressively — any positive catalyst could trigger a rapid covering move.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:8
Dist days:5
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.2M+97%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.6B
$1.4B$1.9B
-$0.83
±21%
Low2
FY2024
$1.0B
$998.4M$1.0B
-36.1%-$3.74
±11%
High5
FY2025
$778.5M
$754.0M$803.1M
-23.7%-$2.56
±1%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryDQ
Last 8Q
-222.2%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
-654%
Q3'24
-15%
Q4'24
-293%
Q1'25
-5%
Q2'25
+2%
Q3'25
+64%
Q4'25
+31%
Q1'26
-908%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d01
GLJ ResearchBuy → Sell
Feb 3
DOWNGRADE
Goldman SachsNeutral → Sell
Sep 18
DOWNGRADE
HSBCHold → Buy
Aug 27
UPGRADE
GLJ ResearchSell → Buy
Jul 10
UPGRADE
Goldman SachsBuy → Neutral
Apr 15
DOWNGRADE
DaiwaHold → Outperform
Oct 30
UPGRADE
DaiwaHold
Oct 9
DOWNGRADE
HSBCReduce → Hold
Aug 27
UPGRADE
HSBCReduce
May 6
DOWNGRADE
Goldman SachsNeutral
Dec 5
DOWNGRADE
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Polunin Capital Partners Ltd
1.7M
2
Ariose Capital Management Ltd
457K
3
abrdn plc
70K
4
SG Americas Securities, LLC
68K
5
Waterfront Wealth Inc.
55K
6
Q Fund Management (Hong Kong) Ltd
40K
7
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
35K
8
Nuveen, LLC
35K
News & Activity

DQ News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

daqo new energy corp. (nyse: dq) is a leading poly-silicon manufacturer based in china and aims to become a vertically integrated photovoltaic (pv) product manufacturer. with an installed annual production capacity of 3,300 metric tons (mt) as of june 30, 2010, we believe we are one of the largest polysilicon manufacturers in china. we plan to increase our annual production capacity to 7,300 mt by the end of 2012 by adding a phase 2 production line. we manufacture and sell high-quality polysilicon to photovoltaic product manufacturers, who further process our polysilicon into ingots, wafers, cells and modules for solar power solutions. we have started expanding downstream into the wafer manufacturing business and are ramping up our module manufacturing business. we have established a 200mw photovoltaic module manufacturing facility in nanjing, china. we aim to develop, manufacture and sell high quality and cost-effective photovoltaic modules to a wide range of markets around the world.

Industry
Semiconductor and Related Device Manufacturing
CEO
Longgen Zhang
Country
China (Mainland)
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
DQ
$19.14-0.42%$1.3B-3533.9%-2562.5%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$316.0B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.4-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.62%21.3+219.6%1391.8%1500