DT
Earnings in 10 days · May 13, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+3.87%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 58Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
36.21
Open
37.30
Day Range36.71 – 38.00
36.71
38.00
52W Range31.64 – 57.55
31.64
57.55
23% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
7.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
62.7x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.49
Market-like
Performance
1D
+3.87%
5D
+7.27%
1M
-0.21%
3M
-1.16%
6M
-25.63%
YTD
-13.22%
1Y
-21.58%
Best: 5D (+7.27%)Worst: 6M (-25.63%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +18% YoY · 82% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 63x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.6 · FCF $1.55/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$11.34B
Revenue TTM$1.93B
Net Income TTM$184.56M
Free Cash Flow$465.73M
Gross Margin81.6%
Net Margin9.6%
Operating Margin13.0%
Return on Equity6.8%
Return on Assets4.5%
Debt / Equity0.06
Current Ratio1.56
EPS TTM$0.61
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth rate and acceleration/deceleration trends - consensus expectations typically 18-22% growth

Net Retention Rate (NRR) - historical 120-125% range indicates healthy upsell/cross-sell motion; compression below 115% signals competitive pressure

Subscription revenue mix shift toward consumption-based pricing - higher growth potential but introduces quarterly volatility

Large enterprise logo wins and Fortune 500 penetration rates - validates competitive positioning against Datadog

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Enterprise software spending correlates with corporate IT budgets and digital transformation initiatives, which slow during recessions but remain more resilient than discretionary spending. Observability is increasingly mission-critical infrastructure (not discretionary) as applications move to cloud, providing downside protection. However, new logo acquisition and expansion deals face elongated sales cycles during economic uncertainty. Existing subscription base provides 85-90% revenue visibility, buffering near-term macro shocks.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create dual pressure: (1) Valuation multiple compression - high-growth SaaS trades at 6-12x forward revenue, highly sensitive to discount rate changes; (2) Customer budget constraints as cost of capital rises, potentially delaying cloud migration projects and expansion purchases. However, Dynatrace's profitability (positive FCF) and strong balance sheet (minimal debt) insulate operations from financing cost increases. The 41% stock decline over 12 months reflects broader SaaS multiple compression from 2022-2024 rate hiking cycle.

Key Risks

Hyperscaler vertical integration - AWS CloudWatch, Azure Monitor, and Google Cloud Operations offer native observability at lower cost, potentially commoditizing basic monitoring and compressing Dynatrace's addressable market to complex hybrid/multi-cloud environments

Open-source alternatives (OpenTelemetry, Prometheus, Grafana) gaining enterprise adoption with vendor-neutral instrumentation standards, reducing switching costs and enabling best-of-breed tool assembly

AI-driven automation reducing need for human-intensive monitoring - Dynatrace's Davis AI is competitive advantage today but could become table stakes as competitors integrate LLMs

Investor Profile

growth - Investors seek 15-20% revenue growth, expanding margins, and Rule of 40 compliance in profitable SaaS. The 41% drawdown has attracted value-oriented growth investors betting on multiple re-rating as profitability inflects. Not a dividend stock (no payout) or deep value play (still trades at 5.7x sales). Momentum investors exited during 2024-2025 tech correction, creating current depressed valuation.

Watch on Earnings
Federal Funds Rate and 10-year Treasury yield - primary drivers of SaaS valuation multiples and forward P/S ratio compression/expansionEnterprise IT spending growth rates (Gartner/IDC forecasts) - leading indicator for software budget allocationPublic cloud infrastructure spending growth (AWS/Azure/GCP reported revenue) - proxy for Dynatrace's addressable workload expansionDatadog quarterly results and ARR growth rates - competitive benchmark for market share trends
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
45/100
Liquidity
1.56Watch
Leverage
0.06Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
6.8%Concern
ROIC
5.1%Concern
Cash
$1.0BStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE30 analysts
BUY
+29.0%upside to target
L $37.00
Med $48.50consensus
H $64.00
Buy
2273%
Hold
827%
22 Buy (73%)8 Hold (27%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 58 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.56 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 16.4%

+2.7% vs SMA 50 · -14.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI58.3
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD-0.13
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$57.55+53.0%
EMA 200
$43.46+15.6%
Current
$37.61
EMA 50
$36.77-2.2%
52W Low
$31.64-15.9%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$31.6423th %ile$57.55
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:3
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.8M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.2M-20%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 28 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$1.7B
$1.7B$1.7B
$1.37
±3%
High23
FY2026(current)
$2.0B
$2.0B$2.0B
+18.9%$1.68+22.8%
±1%
High28
FY2027
$2.3B
$2.3B$2.3B
+14.8%$1.91+13.5%
±3%
High28
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryDT
Last 8Q
+10.8%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+11%
Q2'24
+13%
Q3'24
+15%
Q4'24
+12%
Q1'25
+9%
Q2'25
+12%
Q3'25
+7%
Q4'25
+7%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d10
Keefe, Bruyette & W…Buy
Feb 9
UPGRADE
WedbushNeutral → Outperform
Oct 17
UPGRADE
BarclaysEqual-Weight → Overweight
Oct 7
UPGRADE
Cleveland ResearchBuy
Apr 18
UPGRADE
NeedhamBuy → Hold
Apr 1
DOWNGRADE
BradescoNeutral
May 18
DOWNGRADE
Northcoast ResearchNeutral
May 18
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyUnderweight
May 18
DOWNGRADE
Roth CapitalBuy
May 18
UPGRADE
BarclaysEqual-Weight
Jan 10
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
1 Buy/4 SellsNet Selling
Greifeneder BerndEVP, Chief Tec…
$2K
Mar 5
SELL
Greifeneder BerndEVP, Chief Tec…
$392
Mar 5
SELL
Greifeneder BerndEVP, Chief Tec…
$627
Mar 5
SELL
Mcmahon Stephen AEVP, Chief Cus…
$107K
Mar 3
BUY
Zugelder DanEVP, Chief Rev…
$340K
Dec 10
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Pictet Asset Management Holding SA
15.8M
2
CONGRESS ASSET MANAGEMENT CO /MA
1.8M
3
Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.
1.6M
4
Nuveen, LLC
1.3M
5
Handelsbanken Fonder AB
1.3M
6
Boston Trust Walden Corp
1.1M
7
Stephens Investment Management Group LLC
1.1M
8
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
1.1M
News & Activity

DT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Dynatrace provides software intelligence to simplify cloud complexity and accelerate digital transformation. With automatic and intelligent observability at scale, the companuy's all-in-one platform delivers precise answers about the performance and security of applications, the underlying infrastructure, and the experience of all users to enable organizations to innovate faster, collaborate more efficiently, and deliver more value with dramatically less effort. That's why many of the world's largest enterprises trust Dynatrace® to modernize and automate cloud operations, release better software faster, and deliver unrivaled digital experiences.

Industry
Software Publishers
Bernd GreifenederFounder, Executive Vice President & Chief Technology Officer
Daniel YatesSenior Vice President, Corporate Controller & Chief Accounting Officer
James Martin BensonExecutive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
DT
$37.61+3.87%$11.3B61.4+1874.5%2847.4%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$316.0B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.4-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.01%27.0+992.2%2164.6%1500