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EAF(EAF)
EAF
Next earnings: Jul 31, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2↑
PRICE
Prev Close
8.50
Open
8.30
Day Range6.38 – 8.55
6.38
8.55
52W Range4.92 – 20.32
4.92
20.32
24% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
388.1K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-1.0x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
—
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
1.11
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.47%5D
-9.15%1M
+28.61%3M
-43.56%6M
-36.74%YTD↓
-44.94%1Y↑
+40.92%Best: 1Y (+40.92%)Worst: YTD (-44.94%)
Quick Read
Trend—Insufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
thin -6% gross marginValuation
FAIR
P/E not availableHealth
WEAK
CR 3.3 · FCF negativeBearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$221.94M
Revenue TTM$517.40M
Net Income TTM-$223.76M
Free Cash Flow-$105.11M
Gross Margin-5.6%
Net Margin-43.2%
Operating Margin-17.3%
Return on Equity96.6%
Return on Assets-22.4%
Debt / Equity-3.73
Current Ratio3.33
EPS TTM$-0.86
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock
Graphite electrode spot pricing and contract renewal rates (currently at multi-year lows)
Global EAF steel production volumes, particularly in China, India, and North America
Restructuring announcements, debt covenant compliance, and liquidity events given distressed financial position
Needle coke raw material costs and availability from petroleum refiners
Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle
high - Graphite electrode demand is directly tied to EAF steel production, which correlates strongly with industrial activity, construction, and automotive manufacturing. Steel is highly cyclical, and EAF production (using scrap steel) is particularly sensitive to economic downturns. The company's current distress reflects weak global industrial demand and overcapacity in the steel sector.
Interest Rates
High interest rates severely impact GrafTech through multiple channels: elevated debt service costs on its substantial debt load (Debt/Equity of -4.22 indicates negative equity), reduced steel demand as construction and capital investment slow, and compressed valuation multiples for distressed industrial companies. The negative equity position suggests the company is technically insolvent on a book value basis.
Key Risks
Permanent overcapacity in global graphite electrode market following Chinese capacity expansions during 2018-2020, with industry utilization estimated below 60%
Secular shift toward lower electrode consumption per ton of steel due to improved EAF technology and operational efficiency
Potential long-term demand destruction if direct reduced iron (DRI) or hydrogen-based steelmaking technologies gain adoption
Investor Profile
distressed/special situations investors and bankruptcy traders rather than traditional long-only investors. The 52.6% three-month decline and negative equity position indicate this is a high-risk restructuring situation. Some deep-value investors may view it as a potential turnaround if electrode pricing recovers, but the investment case depends on survival through the current downcycle.
Watch on Earnings
Global EAF steel capacity utilization rates (currently estimated 65-70% globally)Graphite electrode spot prices in key markets (US, Europe, Asia) - currently estimated $3,000-4,000/MT versus $15,000+ peak in 2018Chinese electrode production volumes and export statistics from customs dataPetroleum needle coke prices and refinery production levels
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
58/100Liquidity
3.33Strong
Leverage
-3.73Strong
Coverage
-0.9xConcern
ROE
96.6%Strong
ROIC
-10.5%Concern
Cash
$138MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
HOLD
▲ +17.1%upside to target
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
●
✓RSI RangeRSI 55 — Bullish momentum
Volume
●
✓Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
●
✗Last EarningsMissed estimates
●
~Analyst ConsensusHold
●
✓LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.33 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
FinancialsFull statements →
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →Trend
▲ RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 41.5%
+20.4% vs SMA 50 · -29.5% vs SMA 200
Momentum
RSI54.5Neutral territory
MACD+0.47Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$20.32+137.9%
EMA 200
$10.64+24.6%
Current
$8.54
EMA 50
$8.44-1.2%
52W Low
$4.92-42.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$4.9224th %ile$20.32
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze SetupAccumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:5
Edge:+4 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)342K
Recent Vol (5D)
395K+16%
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Earnings & Analysts
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $570.0M $552.4M–$584.3M | — | -$1.11 | — | ±4% | Low1 |
FY2024 | $535.3M $518.8M–$548.7M | ▼ -6.1% | -$4.33 | — | ±4% | Low2 |
FY2025 | $527.1M $524.4M–$529.9M | ▼ -1.5% | -$6.55 | — | ±3% | Low2 |
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryEAF
Last 8Q
-11.6%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3↓ Estimates falling+55%
Q3'24
+7%
Q4'24
+7%
Q1'25
+13%
Q2'25
-33%
Q3'25
+16%
Q4'25
-93%
Q1'26
-64%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced heightInsider Activity
SEC Filings →5 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Shivaram Sachin MDir
$17K
May 15
BUY
Shivaram Sachin MDir
$26K
May 14
BUY
Germain Jean-marcDir
$39K
May 12
BUY
Roegner Eric VDir
$250
Mar 14
BUY
Roegner Eric VDir
$110
Mar 14
BUY
Financials
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
1
YACKTMAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LP
1.1M▲2
Benefit Street Partners LLC
713K—3
FOUNDATION RESOURCE MANAGEMENT INC
107K▼4
Krilogy Financial LLC
20K▲5
AEGON USA Investment Management, LLC
15K▲6
Anchor Investment Management, LLC
901—7
Fortitude Family Office, LLC
88▲8
SBI Securities Co., Ltd.
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About
graftech international is a global company with over 125 years in the graphite materials industry, offering innovative solutions for the most challenging applications. its customers are located in more than 70 countries and represent a wide range of industries and end markets, including steel manufacturing, advanced energy and latest generation electronics. graftech operates 20 principal manufacturing facilities on four continents and employs 3,000 people.
Inigo Perez OrtizSenior Vice President of Commercial & CTS
Jeremy ClemensVice President of Operations
Michael DillonVice President of Investor Relations & Communications
Peers— —(7 companies)
Screen sector →| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EAF◀ | $8.54 | +0.47% | $222M | — | -643.1% | -4360.6% | 1500 |
| $397.67 | +0.41% | $2.1T | 28.7 | +3296.8% | 4510.0% | 1500 | |
| $91.95 | +0.10% | $316.0B | 14.1 | +318.8% | 1510.7% | 1500 | |
| $131.46 | -0.32% | $305.1B | 22.6 | +586.3% | 1305.9% | 1500 | |
| $184.74 | -1.40% | $286.4B | 27.2 | +862.9% | 1745.9% | 1500 | |
| $146.57 | -0.87% | $279.7B | 21.0 | +597.3% | 2564.4% | 1500 | |
| $88.98 | -1.86% | $251.9B | 14.4 | -591.0% | 668.4% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.50% | — | 21.3 | +632.6% | 1134.9% | 1500 |