ECBK
Signal
Bearish Setup1!1
Price
1
Move-3.58%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 72Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
18.17
Open
18.00
Day Range17.51 – 18.30
17.51
18.30
52W Range14.82 – 20.05
14.82
20.05
52% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
11.4K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
15.1x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-3.58%
5D
-5.81%
1M
-3.47%
3M
-3.20%
6M
+0.40%
YTD
+0.75%
1Y
+7.16%
Best: 1Y (+7.16%)Worst: 5D (-5.81%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +19% YoY · 42% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 15x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.0 (low) · FCF $1.55/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$153.37M
Revenue TTM$83.56M
Net Income TTM$9.60M
Free Cash Flow$12.46M
Gross Margin41.6%
Net Margin11.5%
Operating Margin15.5%
Return on Equity5.6%
Return on Assets0.6%
Debt / Equity1.48
Current Ratio0.00
EPS TTM$1.20
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin trajectory - spread between loan yields and deposit costs drives 70%+ of profitability

Loan portfolio growth in commercial real estate and C&I segments, particularly in North Carolina markets

Credit quality metrics including non-performing asset ratios and provision expense relative to loan growth

Deposit franchise stability - ability to retain low-cost core deposits as rates fluctuate

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Regional banks are highly cyclical, with loan demand tied to local economic activity, employment, and business formation. Commercial real estate exposure creates sensitivity to property values and occupancy rates. Consumer lending correlates with wage growth and consumer confidence. The 14.5% revenue growth likely reflects post-pandemic loan demand normalization, but recession risk could reverse this quickly through higher charge-offs and reduced originations.

Interest Rates

Net interest margin is the primary earnings driver. Rising short-term rates (FEDFUNDS) typically benefit banks initially by repricing variable-rate loans faster than deposits, but prolonged high rates can compress margins as deposit costs catch up and loan demand weakens. Inverted yield curves (negative T10Y2Y) pressure profitability by reducing the spread on new long-term loans. The current environment (February 2026) with rates potentially stabilizing or declining could pressure NIMs if deposit costs remain sticky while loan yields fall.

Key Risks

Digital banking disruption - fintech competitors and national banks with superior technology platforms erode deposit franchise and pricing power in community markets

Regulatory burden disproportionately affects small banks - compliance costs for BSA/AML, capital requirements, and stress testing create scale disadvantages versus larger regionals

Branch-based model obsolescence - declining foot traffic and preference for digital channels may render physical network uneconomical

Investor Profile

value - Trading at 0.9x book value with 100% EPS growth attracts deep value investors betting on mean reversion in profitability metrics. The 29.9% one-year return suggests momentum players have participated in the recovery trade. However, low absolute ROE (4.6%) and small market cap ($200M) limit institutional interest. Likely held by regional bank specialists and retail investors seeking turnaround exposure.

Watch on Earnings
Federal Funds Rate trajectory - primary driver of short-term funding costs and variable loan repricing10Y-2Y Treasury yield curve spread - indicator of future NIM pressure and recession probabilityNorth Carolina unemployment rate and regional GDP growth - local economic health drives loan demand and credit qualityCommercial real estate vacancy rates and cap rates in North Carolina markets
Health Radar
1 watch5 concern
16/100
Liquidity
0.00Concern
Leverage
1.48Watch
Coverage
0.3xConcern
ROE
5.6%Concern
ROIC
0.6%Concern
Cash
$95MConcern
Analyst Coverage

No analyst coverage available for this stock.

Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 3 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 72 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.00 — liquidity risk

2 signals unavailable — limited data for this stock

Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 15.7%

+1.2% vs SMA 50 · +17.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI72.1
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+0.20
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$20.05+14.4%
Current
$17.52
EMA 50
$17.35-1.0%
EMA 200
$14.99-14.4%
52W Low
$14.82-15.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$14.8252th %ile$20.05
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:1
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)12K
Recent Vol (5D)
7K-43%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
NET BUYERS$716 bought · $0 sold · 30d window
Lavertu BrandonCFO
$179
Apr 30
BUY
Lavertu BrandonCFO
$179
Apr 30
BUY
Lavertu BrandonCFO
$179
Apr 30
BUY
Lavertu BrandonCFO
$179
Apr 30
BUY
Sullivan Maura EllenDir
$41K
Feb 9
BUY
Sullivan Maura EllenDir
$1K
Dec 9
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.
787K
2
BlackRock, Inc.
395K
3
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
154K
4
Sachetta, LLC
119K
5
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
88K
6
STATE STREET CORP
80K
7
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
63K
8
Oppenheimer & Close, LLC
61K
News & Activity

ECBK News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Industry
Monetary Authorities-Central Bank
Brandon LavertuExecutive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
John A. CitranoSecretary, Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President
John MigliozziExecutive Vice President & Chief Lending Officer
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ECBK
$17.52-3.58%$153M14.7+1645.6%977.5%1500
$297.81-0.70%$798.0B14.1+330.7%2039.3%1503
$325.75+1.00%$624.4B28.0+1134.0%5014.5%1500
$494.20+0.87%$436.7B28.3+1641.6%4564.7%1490
$49.77-0.16%$353.2B11.4-45.1%1592.6%1495
$192.51-1.04%$303.6B16.6+1147.7%1466.4%1526
$948.47-2.11%$279.8B15.9-138.4%1373.0%1526
Sector avg-0.82%18.4+816.6%2432.6%1506