EFSI
Next earnings: Jul 23, 2026
Signal
Bullish Setup1
Price
1
Move-0.45%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.7× avgHeavy volume
PRICE
Prev Close
37.41
Open
38.01
Day Range37.00 – 38.01
37.00
38.01
52W Range28.70 – 41.12
28.70
41.12
69% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
13.7K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
9.8x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-0.45%
5D
-0.03%
1M
-2.69%
3M
-4.81%
6M
+3.16%
YTD
-6.43%
1Y
+16.56%
Best: 1Y (+16.56%)Worst: YTD (-6.43%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +19% YoY · 68% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 10x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 19.0 · FCF $4.66/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$201.56M
Revenue TTM$113.92M
Net Income TTM$18.93M
Free Cash Flow$25.28M
Gross Margin67.9%
Net Margin16.6%
Operating Margin16.4%
Return on Equity10.2%
Return on Assets1.0%
Debt / Equity0.21
Current Ratio18.95
EPS TTM$3.49
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin trajectory - the spread between loan yields and deposit costs, highly sensitive to Fed policy and competitive deposit pricing

Loan portfolio growth in commercial real estate and C&I lending within the Shenandoah Valley market

Credit quality metrics including non-performing asset ratios and provision expense, particularly in agricultural and small business segments

Deposit franchise stability and cost of funds relative to regional competitors

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-to-high - Community bank profitability is directly tied to regional economic health. Eagle Financial's Shenandoah Valley footprint depends on agricultural activity, small business formation, and residential real estate activity. Economic slowdowns increase credit losses on commercial and consumer loans while reducing loan demand. The -46.5% net income decline suggests recent pressure from either credit deterioration or margin compression, both cyclically sensitive factors.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity with complex dynamics. Rising short-term rates initially compress margins as deposit costs reprice faster than fixed-rate loan portfolios (liability-sensitive balance sheet typical of community banks). However, sustained higher rates eventually benefit NIM as variable-rate loans reprice and new originations occur at higher yields. The current 7.9% net margin and declining profitability suggest Eagle Financial experienced deposit beta pressure as rates rose 2022-2023. Falling rates from current levels would likely pressure NIM as loan yields decline while deposit costs remain sticky downward.

Key Risks

Scale disadvantage versus larger regional and national banks in technology investment, regulatory compliance costs, and operational efficiency - efficiency ratios typically 10-15 percentage points higher than $50B+ banks

Geographic concentration in Shenandoah Valley limits diversification and creates vulnerability to localized economic shocks in agriculture, tourism, or small business sectors

Digital banking disruption as fintech competitors and national banks offer superior mobile/online experiences, eroding the relationship advantage that justifies community bank premium pricing

Investor Profile

value - The 1.1x price-to-book ratio and 2.0x price-to-sales suggest investors view this as a value play trading near tangible book value. Typical shareholders include local investors with community ties, value-oriented small-cap funds seeking regional bank consolidation plays, and dividend-focused investors (though current profitability challenges may pressure dividend sustainability). The -69.9% EPS decline and 4.5% ROE indicate this is NOT attracting growth or momentum investors.

Watch on Earnings
Federal Funds Rate and 10-year Treasury yield spread (yield curve steepness drives NIM potential)Regional unemployment rates in Virginia's Shenandoah Valley and Winchester MSACommercial real estate vacancy rates and cap rates in Eagle Financial's footprintAgricultural commodity prices (corn, soybeans, cattle) affecting farm borrower creditworthiness
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
40/100
Liquidity
18.95Strong
Leverage
0.21Strong
Coverage
0.5xConcern
ROE
10.2%Watch
ROIC
0.8%Concern
Cash
$14MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE3 analysts
BUY
+15.5%upside to target
Buy
267%
Hold
133%
2 Buy (67%)1 Hold (33%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 4 signals bullish
6/10
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 18.95 — healthy liquidity

1 signal unavailable — limited data for this stock

Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 27, 2026
In 102 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$41.12+10.4%
Current
$37.24
52W Low
$28.70-22.9%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$28.7069th %ile$41.12
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:2
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)14K
Recent Vol (5D)
14K+0%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$61.7M
$61.3M$62.1M
$1.85
±1%
Low1
FY2025
$80.7M
$80.2M$81.2M
+30.7%$2.54+37.3%
±1%
Low1
FY2026(current)
$86.0M
$85.7M$86.3M
+6.6%$3.60+41.5%
±1%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryEFSI
Last 8Q
-0.5%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
+5%
Q3'11
-21%
Q4'11
+21%
Q2'12
-33%
Q2'25
+20%
Q3'25
+30%
Q4'25
-6%
Q1'26
-20%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
5 Buys/1 SellNet Buying
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $15K sold · 30d window
Schmidt MarianneEXECUTIVE OFFI…
$15K
Apr 29
SELL
Hamberger Scott MDir
$30K
Mar 11
BUY
Hill Edward IiiDir
$33K
Mar 5
BUY
Hamberger Scott MDir
$34K
Feb 27
BUY
Lorey Brandon CraigDir
$12K
Mar 2
BUY
Hamberger Scott MDir
$23K
Jan 30
BUY
Financials
Dividends3.33% yield
+1.9% avg annual growth
Annual Yield3.33%
Quarterly Div.$0.3100
Est. Annual / Share$1.24
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Fourthstone LLC
532K
2
BlackRock, Inc.
281K
3
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
280K
4
GRAHAM CAPITAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT, LLC
137K
5
MALTESE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
107K
6
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.
104K
7
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
103K
8
STATE STREET CORP
85K
News & Activity

EFSI News

About

No company information available

PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
EFSI
$37.24-0.45%$202M10.7-130.6%785.7%1500
$297.81-0.70%$798.0B14.11501
$325.75+1.00%$624.4B28.0+1134.0%5014.5%1501
$494.20+0.87%$436.7B28.3+1641.6%4564.7%1492
$49.77+0.00%$353.2B-45.1%1496
$192.51-1.04%$303.6B16.6+1147.7%1466.4%1528
$948.47-2.11%$279.8B15.9-138.4%1373.0%1524
Sector avg-0.35%18.9+601.5%2640.9%1506