EHC
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+7.48%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume1.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 63Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
100.00
Open
101.39
Day Range101.39 – 109.32
101.39
109.32
52W Range92.77 – 127.99
92.77
127.99
42% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.2M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
18.4x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
0.77
Low vol
Performance
1D
+7.48%
5D
+5.82%
1M
+10.36%
3M
+14.55%
6M
-5.60%
YTD
+1.26%
1Y
-7.85%
Best: 3M (+14.55%)Worst: 1Y (-7.85%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +10% YoY · 59% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 18x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.2 · FCF $1.74/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$10.69B
Revenue TTM$6.07B
Net Income TTM$609.20M
Free Cash Flow$172.50M
Gross Margin58.8%
Net Margin10.0%
Operating Margin17.9%
Return on Equity23.4%
Return on Assets8.3%
Debt / Equity0.08
Current Ratio1.17
EPS TTM$6.14
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Medicare reimbursement rate updates announced annually by CMS (typically October for following calendar year implementation) - 100-200 basis point changes materially impact margins

Same-store admission growth and discharge volumes - 3-5% organic growth drives earnings leverage

Labor cost inflation and nursing staff availability - contract labor usage vs full-time employee ratios directly impact margins by 200-300 basis points

De novo hospital ramp performance - new facilities reach breakeven in 18-24 months and mature profitability in 3-4 years

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Healthcare utilization, particularly post-acute rehabilitation, is relatively non-discretionary and driven by medical necessity rather than economic conditions. However, elective orthopedic procedures (joint replacements) that feed rehabilitation admissions show modest correlation to consumer confidence and employment levels. Medicare patient volumes (70% of mix) are demographically driven by aging population trends rather than GDP growth.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through two channels: (1) Valuation multiple compression as rising rates make defensive healthcare stocks less attractive relative to risk-free yields - typically trades at 12-15x EBITDA, which contracts 1-2 turns when 10-year Treasury exceeds 4.5%. (2) Modest impact on expansion financing costs for new hospital development, though the company maintains low leverage (0.08x Debt/Equity) and generates strong operating cash flow ($1.2B annually) to self-fund most growth capex. Refinancing risk is minimal given conservative capital structure.

Key Risks

Medicare reimbursement policy changes - CMS could modify IRF-PPS payment methodology, tighten the 60% compliance rule, or shift reimbursement toward value-based models that pressure per-discharge rates. Budget reconciliation efforts periodically target post-acute care spending.

Site-of-care migration - increasing pressure from Medicare Advantage plans and ACOs to shift rehabilitation services to lower-cost settings (skilled nursing facilities, home health, outpatient therapy) could compress inpatient volumes despite clinical evidence supporting IRF outcomes for complex cases

Regulatory compliance risk - maintaining 60% rule compliance across all facilities is operationally intensive; violations result in loss of IRF designation and reimbursement downgrades to lower acute care hospital rates

Investor Profile

growth - The company attracts growth-oriented healthcare investors seeking exposure to demographic tailwinds (aging population driving rehabilitation demand), consistent double-digit earnings growth (24% net income growth TTM), and strong returns on equity (22.6% ROE). The combination of 10%+ revenue growth, margin expansion potential, and capital deployment optionality (new hospital development, M&A, buybacks) appeals to investors willing to accept healthcare regulatory risk for above-market growth rates. Modest 3.9% FCF yield limits appeal to pure income investors.

Watch on Earnings
CMS Inpatient Rehabilitation Facility market basket update (annual Medicare rate adjustment announced each August)Bureau of Labor Statistics healthcare wage inflation data and nursing employment trendsMedicare Advantage penetration rates (MA plans negotiate more aggressively than traditional Medicare)Occupancy rates and length-of-stay trends across the IRF industry
Health Radar
3 strong2 watch1 concern
59/100
Liquidity
1.17Watch
Leverage
0.08Strong
Coverage
8.8xStrong
ROE
23.4%Strong
ROIC
13.3%Watch
Cash
$103MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE26 analysts
BUY
+42.4%upside to target
Strong Buy
14%
Buy
2077%
Hold
415%
Sell
14%
21 Buy (81%)4 Hold (15%)1 Sell (4%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 63 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.17
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentOct 30, 2026
In 180 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 7.3%

+3.9% vs SMA 50 · -3.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI62.8
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.19
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$128.0+19.1%
EMA 200
$110.6+2.9%
Current
$107.5
EMA 50
$103.6-3.6%
52W Low
$92.77-13.7%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$92.7742th %ile$128.0
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:7
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)809K
Recent Vol (5D)
915K+13%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 11 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$5.3B
$5.3B$5.4B
$4.30
±1%
High11
FY2025
$5.9B
$5.9B$5.9B
+10.9%$5.31+23.5%
±1%
High10
FY2026(current)
$6.4B
$6.4B$6.4B
+8.3%$5.93+11.6%
±4%
High9
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryEHC
Last 8Q
+10.3%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+10%
Q3'24
+10%
Q4'24
+11%
Q1'25
+15%
Q2'25
+14%
Q3'25
+3%
Q4'25
+13%
Q1'26
+6%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Fay EdmundSr. Vice Pres.…
$1.3M
Mar 9
SELL
Tarr Mark JDir
$1.8M
Feb 11
SELL
Tarr Mark JDir
$1.4M
Feb 11
SELL
Tarr Mark JDir
$1.7M
Feb 11
SELL
Tarr Mark JDir
$1.2M
Feb 11
SELL
Tarr Mark JDir
$678K
Feb 11
SELL
Financials
Dividends0.69% yield
+14.5% avg annual growth
Annual Yield0.69%
Quarterly Div.$0.1900
Est. Annual / Share$0.76
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
929K
2
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
691K
3
REINHART PARTNERS, INC.
427K
4
CONGRESS ASSET MANAGEMENT CO /MA
422K
5
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
380K
6
abrdn plc
338K
7
Leeward Investments, LLC - MA
337K
8
BRAUN STACEY ASSOCIATES INC
236K
News & Activity

EHC News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

as a national leader of post-acute care, encompass health offers facility-based and home-based patient care through our network of inpatient rehabilitation hospitals, home health agencies and hospice agencies. we are committed to delivering high-quality, cost-effective care across the post-acute continuum. driven by a set of shared values, encompass health is the result of the union between healthsouth corporation and encompass home health & hospice.our approach to post-acute care sets us apart. we firmly believe that every success starts with our dedicated team of professionals, so we make sure they are empowered with the tools they need to help our patients be successful. innovative technologies, advanced therapies, customized treatment plans, coordinated care teams – these are all part of our promise to deliver the highest level of care.

CEO
Mark Tarr
Rusty YeagerChief Information Officer & Senior Vice President
Mark J. TarrChief Executive Officer, President & Director
Mark MillerSenior Vice President of Investor Relations & Strategic Planning
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
EHC
$107.48+7.48%$10.7B17.5+1045.9%954.0%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$316.0B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.4-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg+0.50%20.8+873.9%1894.2%1500