EXE
Next earnings: Aug 4, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.00%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
TrendFull DowntrendBelow 50D & 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
100.77
Open
99.66
Day Range98.76 – 100.53
98.76
100.53
52W Range91.02 – 126.62
91.02
126.62
25% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
4.1M
Float
239.2M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
7.4x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
$13.44
Div Yield
No dividend
Quick Read
Trend
DOWNTREND
Price below SMA50 & SMA200
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +164% YoY · 53% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 7x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.1 · FCF $11.94/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$23.87B
Revenue TTM$14.10B
Net Income TTM$3.23B
Free Cash Flow$2.86B
Gross Margin53.4%
Net Margin22.9%
Operating Margin29.0%
Return on Equity17.4%
Return on Assets10.9%
Debt / Equity0.26
Current Ratio1.11
EPS TTM$13.45
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Henry Hub natural gas spot and forward curve pricing (primary driver given 90% gas weighting)

LNG export facility announcements and permitting (drives long-term demand expectations for US gas)

Haynesville and Marcellus production volumes and well productivity metrics (EUR per well, drilling days)

Free cash flow generation and capital allocation decisions (debt paydown versus buybacks/dividends)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-to-high - Natural gas demand has both non-cyclical (residential heating, baseload power) and cyclical (industrial, petrochemical feedstock) components. US industrial production drives ~30% of gas demand through manufacturing and chemicals. However, the structural shift toward gas-fired power generation and LNG exports provides demand support even during economic slowdowns. The company's revenue correlates strongly with GDP growth through industrial gas consumption but has defensive characteristics from utility demand.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through two channels: (1) Valuation multiples compress when rates rise as investors demand higher equity risk premiums for commodity-exposed stocks, and (2) Financing costs are minimal given zero net debt position as of latest data, eliminating direct interest expense impact. Rising rates can indirectly pressure natural gas prices by strengthening the dollar (reducing LNG export competitiveness) and slowing economic activity that drives industrial gas demand.

Key Risks

Energy transition policies and renewable power penetration reducing long-term natural gas demand for electricity generation, though LNG exports and industrial uses provide offset

Regulatory restrictions on natural gas infrastructure (pipelines, LNG terminals) or drilling permits limiting market access and production growth

Haynesville and Marcellus parent-child well interference reducing ultimate recoveries as drilling density increases in core acreage

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at 4.6x EV/EBITDA and 2.0x P/S with a 7.8% free cash flow yield, attracting value investors seeking commodity exposure at depressed multiples. The zero net debt and strong cash generation appeal to investors prioritizing balance sheet strength and capital return potential. Recent 15% three-month decline despite positive six-month performance suggests momentum investors have rotated out, leaving contrarian value players and energy specialists. The 187% revenue growth and 355% net income growth reflect merger effects rather than organic expansion, so growth-at-any-price investors are less interested.

Watch on Earnings
Henry Hub natural gas spot price and 12-month forward strip pricingUS natural gas storage levels versus 5-year average (EIA weekly reports)LNG export volumes from US Gulf Coast terminals (FERC data)Haynesville rig count and completion activity (Baker Hughes weekly data)
Health Radar
3 strong2 watch1 concern
56/100
Liquidity
1.11Watch
Leverage
0.26Strong
Coverage
17.4xStrong
ROE
17.4%Strong
ROIC
12.2%Watch
Cash
$696MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE19 analysts
BUY
+39.3%upside to target
L $123.00
Med $139.00consensus
H $146.00
Strong Buy
15%
Buy
1579%
Hold
316%
16 Buy (84%)3 Hold (16%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 7 signals bullish
3/10
Trend
Trend StateDowntrend (below both MAs)
Above SMA 50$103.67 (-3.8%)
Above SMA 200$105.05 (-5.0%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentDeath Cross (50D vs 200D -1.3%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.11
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 7, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 4, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 10, 2026
In 96 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$126.6+26.9%
SMA 200
$105.1+5.3%
SMA 50
$103.7+3.9%
Current
$99.76
52W Low
$91.02-8.8%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$91.0225th %ile$126.6
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 14 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$11.6B
$11.4B$11.9B
$6.00
±3%
High12
FY2026(current)
$13.5B
$13.0B$14.0B
+16.3%$8.95+49.1%
±13%
High12
FY2027
$13.5B
$12.6B$14.1B
+0.3%$9.35+4.5%
±17%
High14
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryEXE
Last 8Q
-1891.9%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
-15576%
Q3'24
+414%
Q4'24
+6%
Q1'25
+6%
Q2'25
-4%
Q3'25
+8%
Q4'25
+7%
Q1'26
+4%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Analysts turning cautious
30d01
90d01
William BlairOutperform → Market Perform
Apr 30
DOWNGRADE
Roth CapitalNeutral
Aug 18
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral → Overweight
May 13
UPGRADE
UBSBuy
Dec 9
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Wichterich MichaelDir
$108K
Mar 6
BUY
Wichterich MichaelDir
$107K
Mar 6
BUY
Gallagher MatthewDir
$101K
Feb 19
BUY
Viets Joshua J.EVP & COO
$184K
Aug 18
BUY
Dell'osso Domenic J…Dir
$240K
Aug 15
BUY
Dell'osso Domenic J…Dir
$249K
Mar 5
BUY
Financials
Dividends3.20% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield3.20%
Quarterly Div.$0.5800
Est. Annual / Share$2.32
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
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1.1M
2
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
1.1M
3
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
982K
4
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
941K
5
Artemis Investment Management LLP
848K
6
Stephens Investment Management Group LLC
759K
7
Nuveen, LLC
618K
8
SG Americas Securities, LLC
553K
News & Activity

EXE News

20 articles · 4h ago

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