EXFY
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.00%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 49Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
1.14
Open
1.12
Day Range1.11 – 1.15
1.11
1.15
52W Range0.69 – 2.64
0.69
2.64
23% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
875.8K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-5.2x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.54
High vol
Performance
1D
5D
+7.55%
1M
+31.03%
3M
-10.94%
6M
-25.00%
YTD
-24.50%
1Y
-51.07%
Best: 1M (+31.03%)Worst: 1Y (-51.07%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
50% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
STRONG
CR 3.5 · FCF $0.15/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$96.08M
Revenue TTM$140.00M
Net Income TTM-$20.56M
Free Cash Flow$13.68M
Gross Margin49.6%
Net Margin-14.7%
Operating Margin-13.2%
Return on Equity-15.3%
Return on Assets-10.8%
Debt / Equity0.04
Current Ratio3.48
EPS TTM$-0.22
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net revenue retention rate and customer churn metrics - critical given negative revenue growth trajectory

New customer acquisition velocity in SMB segment (sub-500 employee companies) versus enterprise wins

Product differentiation announcements relative to Concur, Coupa, Brex competitive feature releases

Path to profitability milestones - operating margin improvement and cash burn rate reduction

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-high - SMB customers (core segment) reduce discretionary software spending during recessions, leading to churn and downgrades. Enterprise sales cycles extend 3-6 months in downturns. However, expense management can be viewed as cost-saving infrastructure during margin pressure periods. Historical SaaS spending correlates 0.6-0.7 with GDP growth, with SMB segment showing higher beta than enterprise.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create dual pressure: (1) valuation multiple compression for unprofitable SaaS companies (current negative earnings amplify this), and (2) reduced venture funding for competitors may ease competitive intensity. Higher rates also increase discount rates applied to future cash flows, disproportionately impacting growth stocks trading on forward multiples. Customer financing costs rise, potentially reducing IT budget flexibility.

Key Risks

Commoditization of expense management features as accounting platforms (QuickBooks, Xero) build native capabilities, reducing standalone product demand

AI-driven automation reducing need for manual expense categorization and approval workflows, compressing pricing power and differentiation

Shift toward embedded finance models where corporate cards (Brex, Ramp) bundle free expense software to capture interchange economics

Investor Profile

value/turnaround - current 0.8x P/S and 0.8x P/B multiples reflect deep value pricing for distressed SaaS asset. Attracts contrarian investors betting on stabilization, potential acquirers seeking technology/customer base, or special situations funds. Growth investors exited given negative revenue growth and profitability challenges. Not suitable for income investors (no dividend) or momentum strategies (67% annual decline).

Watch on Earnings
Monthly active business accounts and year-over-year growth rate to assess market share trajectoryNet revenue retention rate (target: >100% for SaaS health, current likely sub-95% given -7.6% revenue decline)Rule of 40 score (revenue growth % + FCF margin %) - currently negative indicating value destructionSMB formation rates and business bankruptcy filings as leading indicators of customer base expansion/contraction
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
50/100
Liquidity
3.48Strong
Leverage
0.04Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-15.3%Concern
ROIC
-12.7%Concern
Cash
$63MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE9 analysts
HOLD
+1106.1%upside to target
L $2.50
Med $13.75consensus
H $25.00
Buy
444%
Hold
444%
Sell
111%
4 Buy (44%)4 Hold (44%)1 Sell (12%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 49 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.48 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 27, 2026
In 103 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 32.4%

+3.9% vs SMA 50 · -29.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI49.0
Neutral territory
MACD-0.00
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$2.64+131.6%
EMA 200
$1.60+40.1%
Current
$1.14
EMA 50
$1.08-5.6%
52W Low
$0.6910-39.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$0.691023th %ile$2.64
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:2
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)816K
Recent Vol (5D)
1.1M+34%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$138.5M
$134.6M$144.7M
-$0.36
±5%
Low1
FY2024
$141.5M
$137.5M$147.8M
+2.2%$0.24
±5%
Moderate3
FY2025
$142.4M
$138.3M$148.7M
+0.6%$0.12-49.6%
±5%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryEXFY
Last 8Q
-22.5%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates falling
Q3'24
+17%
Q4'24
+43%
Q1'25
-14%
Q2'25
-137%
Q3'25
-13%
Q4'25
-175%
Q1'26
+100%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
JMP SecuritiesOutperform → Perform
Nov 25
DOWNGRADE
JMP SecuritiesOutperform
Aug 9
UPGRADE
CitigroupBuy → Market Outperform
Aug 9
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyUnderweight → Equal-Weight
May 24
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight
Jun 12
UPGRADE
Loop Capital MarketsBuy
Aug 11
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Buy
Jul 18
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
4 Buys/2 SellsNet Buying
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $63K sold · 30d window
Barrett David Micha…CEO
$32K
May 1
SELL
Alvarez Divo Carlos…Dir
$31K
Apr 28
SELL
Mclaughlin Steven J.10 Percent Own…
$420K
Mar 11
BUY
Mclaughlin Steven J.10 Percent Own…
$433K
Mar 9
BUY
Mclaughlin Steven J.10 Percent Own…
$462K
Mar 6
BUY
Mclaughlin Steven J.10 Percent Own…
$335K
Mar 4
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
4.0M
2
Palogic Value Management, L.P.
2.5M
3
Verition Fund Management LLC
2.4M
4
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC
2.2M
5
CastleKnight Management LP
1.7M
6
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
1.4M
7
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.
1.3M
8
MARSHALL WACE, LLP
914K
News & Activity

EXFY News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
EXFY
$1.14+0.00%$96M+205.8%-1505.2%1500
$225.32-4.42%$5.5T45.6+6547.4%5560.3%1502
$300.23+0.68%$4.4T36.0+642.6%2691.5%1482
$421.92+3.05%$3.1T25.0+1493.2%3614.6%1460
$425.19-3.32%$2.0T80.7+2387.4%3619.8%1500
$724.66-6.62%$817.2B33.8+4885.1%2284.5%1532
$424.10-5.69%$691.5B138.6+3433.8%1251.5%1516
Sector avg-2.33%60.0+2799.3%2502.4%1499