EXP
Next earnings: May 19, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move+0.34%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 62Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
210.11
Open
209.95
Day Range206.21 – 213.01
206.21
213.01
52W Range171.99 – 243.64
171.99
243.64
54% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
439.6K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
15.9x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
1.15
Market-like
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +1% · 28% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 16x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 4.3 · FCF $7.19/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$6.63B
Revenue TTM$2.30B
Net Income TTM$430.13M
Free Cash Flow$231.81M
Gross Margin28.3%
Net Margin18.7%
Operating Margin24.6%
Return on Equity28.8%
Return on Assets11.2%
Debt / Equity1.21
Current Ratio4.27
EPS TTM$13.34
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Texas and Mountain West housing starts - these regions represent 70%+ of cement volumes and drive capacity utilization

Cement pricing announcements in Texas/Oklahoma markets - $5-10/ton price changes materially impact annual EBITDA by $30-50M

Infrastructure bill funding releases and state DOT letting schedules for highway projects

Natural gas and coal prices affecting kiln fuel costs (15-20% of cement production costs)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Construction materials demand correlates directly with GDP growth, particularly residential investment and non-residential construction spending. Housing starts drive 50-60% of cement demand through foundations, driveways, and infrastructure. Commercial construction provides another 20-25%. During the 2008-2011 downturn, industry cement volumes declined 45%. The company's Sunbelt exposure provides some insulation as Texas/Arizona population growth (+1.5-2.0% annually) creates structural demand floor, but cyclical swings in building activity drive 30-40% earnings volatility.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Eagle through two channels: (1) Mortgage rates above 7% reduce housing affordability, dampening single-family starts which consume 500-600 pounds of cement per square foot; (2) Higher commercial real estate financing costs delay non-residential projects. The company carries $1.1B debt, so 100bps rate increases add $11M annual interest expense. However, most debt is fixed-rate, limiting immediate P&L impact. Valuation multiples compress as rates rise since construction materials trade as bond proxies during stable growth periods.

Key Risks

Decarbonization pressure on cement production - kilns emit 0.9 tons CO2 per ton of cement produced. California and potential federal regulations could require costly carbon capture retrofits ($150-200M per plant) or carbon taxes reducing competitiveness

Shift toward engineered lumber and steel framing in residential construction reducing cement intensity per housing start

Extended permitting timelines (5-7 years) and NIMBY opposition preventing capacity additions to meet demand in high-growth markets, potentially capping volume growth

Investor Profile

value - The stock attracts cyclical value investors who buy during construction downturns when multiples compress to 6-8x EBITDA, anticipating margin expansion during recovery. The 4.8% FCF yield appeals to investors seeking cash generation. Not a dividend story (likely modest payout) or growth story given mature markets. Momentum investors rotate in during housing recovery phases when earnings revisions turn positive.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly housing starts in Texas, Arizona, and Colorado (Census Bureau data) - leading indicator for cement demand 3-6 months forwardTexas cement pricing surveys (Portland Cement Association) - tracks competitive pricing dynamics in largest marketNatural gas spot prices (Henry Hub) - directly impacts kiln fuel costs with 1-2 quarter lagFederal and state infrastructure spending releases under IIJA - drives highway cement demand
Health Radar
3 strong2 watch1 concern
63/100
Liquidity
4.27Strong
Leverage
1.21Watch
Coverage
8.1xStrong
ROE
28.8%Strong
ROIC
12.3%Watch
Cash
$20MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE24 analysts
BUY
-0.4%downside to target
L $208.00
Med $210.00consensus
H $246.00
Buy
1667%
Hold
729%
Sell
14%
16 Buy (67%)7 Hold (29%)1 Sell (4%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 62 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 4.27 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 8.5%

+5.6% vs SMA 50 · -3.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI62.5
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+3.34
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$243.6+15.6%
EMA 200
$212.8+0.9%
Current
$210.8
EMA 50
$203.0-3.7%
52W Low
$172.0-18.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$172.054th %ile$243.6
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:2
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)448K
Recent Vol (5D)
319K-29%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 9 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$2.3B
$2.2B$2.3B
$14.25
±3%
Moderate4
FY2025
$2.3B
$2.2B$2.3B
+0.1%$14.26+0.0%
±1%
High8
FY2026(current)
$2.3B
$2.3B$2.3B
+0.5%$12.91-9.4%
±0%
High9
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryEXP
Last 8Q
-5.7%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 6 Estimates falling
-17%
Q2'24
+11%
Q3'24
-8%
Q4'24
-10%
Q1'25
-16%
Q2'25
+1%
Q3'25
-3%
Q4'25
-3%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
JefferiesBuy → Hold
Dec 16
DOWNGRADE
Loop Capital MarketsBuy
Jan 8
UPGRADE
CFRABuy
Jan 30
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
1 Buy/1 SellNeutral
Rush David EDir
$208K
Nov 5
BUY
Devlin William RSVP, Controller
$466K
Aug 19
SELL
Financials
Dividends0.47% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield0.47%
Quarterly Div.$0.2500
Est. Annual / Share$1.00
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
VAUGHAN NELSON INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, L.P.
282K
2
Hodges Capital Management Inc.
149K
3
FORT WASHINGTON INVESTMENT ADVISORS INC /OH/
124K
4
Raiffeisen Bank International AG
98K
5
GUYASUTA INVESTMENT ADVISORS INC
96K
6
WHITTIER TRUST CO
84K
7
Pictet Asset Management Holding SA
57K
8
Hi-Line Capital Management, LLC
52K
News & Activity

EXP News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

eagle materials inc. (nyse: exp) is a leading u.s. manufacturer and distributor of building materials including gypsum wallboard, portland cement, recycled paperboard, and concrete and aggregates. the construction industry uses our products to build and renovate america’s residential, commercial and industrial structures and to build and improve our country's public infrastructure. founded in 1964, we are the nation’s fifth largest wallboard producer and twelfth largest cement manufacturer.

Industry
Cement Manufacturing
CEO
Michael Haack
D. Craig KeslerExecutive Vice President of Finance & Administration and Chief Financial Officer
Matthew NewbyExecutive Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary
William R. DevlinSenior Vice President, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
EXP
$210.82+0.00%$6.6B2050.1%1500
$397.67+0.00%$2.1T1500
$91.95+0.00%$316.0B14.11510.7%1500
$131.46+0.00%$305.1B23.71305.9%1500
$184.74+0.00%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57+0.00%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98+0.00%$251.9B14.4668.4%1500
Sector avg+0.00%20.1+730.1%1640.9%1500